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Stocks to Watch Goin Forward
qw25041985
#1 Posted : Wednesday, July 14, 2010 9:49:11 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
I have been looking at my charts for a while now and i feel that the following stocks are about to explode in value because they are forming very bullish chart patterns.And i strongly believe that sooner rather than latter they'll start goin up.

1. Scan Group - i believe this stock is the favourite of the institutional investors and since that Ogilvy Transaction-it has been very transformative with respect to SSA for the Group.The share price has been testing Ksh 40.00 which is its highest level since listing and i know that will push it up even futhure past that.

2. KCB - i know most of you are scared stiff about the dilution but this share's movement if sustained will give a profit over 30% once it breaks into the twenties.Supply is goin to be thinnin out in a few weeks time.Personally i got in at Ksh 17.30 and i am all set for the ride.

ARM - Athi river moining which of late has been expanding is just showing very bullish chart formations and it keeps touching all time highs and supply that was there at below Ksh 140.00 is thinnin out and a move higher is imminent.Also results are underway as with most of the industrials and i am exited to own a few of these shares for short term.

KenolKobil - Today (14.07.2010) it closed a coupleof cents shy of its all time high and with the good half year guidance showing good profits a major rally is on the way.I expect supply at lower prices to thinnen and demand for ,this counter to pick up.

Keep an eye on these shares.Happy Investin, yo all.
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
StatMeister
#2 Posted : Wednesday, July 14, 2010 11:09:24 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/23/2010
Posts: 868
Location: La Islas Galápagos
@qw, you have 4 counters here and need only 1 more to sign up for the 'best wazua stock analyst - 2010.

Seriously, i need a benchmark for the signings (all the wazuans in are fundamentalists) and i need some TA in there. come on, show them what you got
A bad day fishing is better than a good day at work
PKoli
#3 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 12:15:17 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
Sorry I do not do any technical analysis. I have the following as stocks that will return atleast 40% on today's clossing price, some are likely to give more.

1. ARM-Most loved by Kenyan fund managers. Extremely undervalued. Capacity expansion cannot be compared to any industrial expansion in the country.
2. KPLC- Rights issue and share split will excite the market. Value will be unlocked. Key pillar of Kenya's V2030.
3. CFC-still has value to be unlocked. Return of profitability is almost being realized. Spinoff details should excite the market.
4. KCB - Fund managers are going to scramble for this stock. Extremely underprised compaired to its peers.
5. BOC - suffered misfortune in its earlier strategy when Carbacid slipped its hands. There is going to be a market correction soon and it should trade at a fair price.

My thoughts.
qw25041985
#4 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 12:36:17 AM
Rank: User


Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
Ooooops. I forgot KQ from the list. But i think thats self explanatory.
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
qw25041985
#5 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 1:30:58 AM
Rank: User


Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
@pkoli. I must say that you hav used very nice fundermental analysis to pick your stocks. I hav used t.a and more precisly 12 month highs because in t.a we ar taught that when a stock makes these new highs it even goes to make newer highs in the future....so its a win win case if u look at it from the fundermental side and the technical side.
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
PKoli
#6 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 2:11:44 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
@qw25041985

Three years ago I bought a book on TA and I have read. I will surely read over weekend when I am back in Nai.

Happy picking
PKoli
#7 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 2:23:56 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
qw25041985,

I meant I never read it. Tried to edit my previous post but could not post the edited version
mkonomtupu
#8 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 9:05:22 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
I invest on fundamentals and the following are the stocks am watching going forward
1. NIC bank- medium sized growing at comfortable pace. It has a niche in asset financing and medium sized businesses which is picking up. Very good numbers and very good management.
2. KCB- a large bank with a lot of cash tied in treasury bills 43b. It's going to be dominant in real estate development financing and large scale projects. Regional diversification will work for them.
3. KPLC- Given that utility stocks have low P/E around 7-10 it still has some way to go
4. Carbacid- I have this stock on my watch list from last year. It's now expensive but still has value.
5. Total- It's a good stock to hedge against the market falls. it's chevron assets will start giving returns. It still has some service stations to dispose off. It doesn't have as much controversy as Kenol.
6.Uchumi-when is this damn share coming back to the market. There is nothing that works well in kenya like retail even in recessions retail will always give returns. I was impressed by its turn around i don't think a business in other sectors would have done that with so little capital.
Surealligator
#9 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 9:56:31 AM
Rank: User


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 709
Location: Velayat-e Faryab
qw25041985 wrote:


KenolKobil - Today (14.07.2010) it closed a coupleof cents shy of its all time high and with the good half year guidance showing good profits a major rally is on the way.I expect supply at lower prices to thinnen and demand for ,this counter to pick up.

Keep an eye on these shares.Happy Investin, yo all.


Martha Koome seems to have a different idea about KK. Kenya Pipeline seems to be out on a war path to destroy KK. Read this

Oil marketer KenolKobil will not process crude oil at the Kenya Petroleum Refineries Limited, a court has ruled.

The two firms have been in a long-standing dispute.

Lady Justice Martha Koome ruled that KPRL had a right to terminate a processing agreement entered into by the two.

She declined to refer the dispute for arbitration, saying KenolKobil wrongly invoked the exercise of the court’s jurisdiction.

“The notice issued by KPRL to terminate the agreement is in accordance with the contract,” said the Judge.

Locking out the company has adversely affected its marketing and distribution given that KenolKobil runs a chain of petrol stations in the country.

KPRL has had a drawn-out dispute with KenolKobil over what it said was non-payment of Sh456 million processing charges.

http://www.businessdaily...4/-/votktr/-/index.html
Go overdrive in purchasing the goods when there's blood on the streets, expecially if the blood is your own
the sage
#10 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 10:15:14 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/20/2008
Posts: 367
@Guys what about the NMG's 10:1 share split.
Horton
#11 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 11:09:36 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
Gowsh look at stanchart!!!!
youcan'tstopusnow
#12 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 12:07:18 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
mkonomtupu wrote:
I invest on fundamentals and the following are the stocks am watching going forward
6.Uchumi-when is this damn share coming back to the market. There is nothing that works well in kenya like retail even in recessions retail will always give returns. I was impressed by its turn around i don't think a business in other sectors would have done that with so little capital.

mkonomtupu, Tusky's is the new Uchumi. I hope it lists some time soon.
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
youcan'tstopusnow
#13 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 12:11:18 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Horton wrote:
Gowsh look at stanchart!!!!

What about Barclays? It has been rising consistently for the last couple of trading days. 70 haiko mbali.
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
cnn
#14 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 12:28:23 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,619
@Horton,i looked at Stanchart at 198 and just had to pick it.39% growth in first quarter,dividend yield around 5%,a rights issue which i reckon will be sweetly priced,slowly it is now testing 240.
atiriri
#15 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 1:11:52 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/7/2009
Posts: 320
Location: nairobi
1. East Africa Breweries

2. KQ

3. Centrum

4. British American Tobacco

5. Nation Media Group
qw25041985
#16 Posted : Thursday, July 15, 2010 1:28:14 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
Bytheway ,guyz if you give your recommendations its courtesy to leave a sentence or two on why you hav choosen what you have choosen. To give us some direction. I so far love the picks. And some counters ar standing out in all the posts.
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
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