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Investment in the Republic of Kenya
muganda
#1 Posted : Monday, June 21, 2010 1:36:23 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
Michael E Porter, professor Harvard Business School, visited Kenya for the first time in 2007, and held a seminar at the Strathmore Business School. But today, I wonder aloud how relevant his most famous work applies to Kenya?

You see at only 26 years of age, the young professor earned his PhD in Business Economics from Harvard and 6 years later (in 1979) developed his famous business strategy framework - Porter's five forces:

attractiveness of industry determined by rivalry, substitutes, buyer power, supplier power, and new entrants


But in Kenya, the biggest and by far most uncertain factor is GOVERNMENT. I read the headlines of the East African and Business Daily today with empathy:
1. How does government decide in one fell swoop to award market dominance to a laggard in the sector of fibre optic and data business?
2. How does government decide to perpetuate the same monopoloy by giving preference to a crippled player in all future government data contracts?
3. How does government hand over majority ownership of TEAMS - a telecom competitors joint venture - to one player at the expense of all the others?
4. How does government hand over, in a silver platter, management of taxpayers nationwide fibre backbone and trust it will be managed competitively?

All the while:
5. Instituting lopesided legislation to "improve competitiveness" in the telecoms sector
6. Insisting acquisition of small telecom companies - shells issued with licenses/spectrum by same government - require their approval so as to eliminate speculators


Business made in Kenya I tell you; business made in Kenya.

How the French got their way in battle for Telkom Kenya
Tough rules for buyers of telecoms companies

Wa_ithaka
#2 Posted : Monday, June 21, 2010 2:04:02 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
Muganda - French Telecom bribed to get Kenya Telecom (PNU campaign cash). It was either ithe wa Jimmy repaid the pripe, give the French what they wanted or they'd squeal.

If you've been watching the World Cup you can see how much drama the French can bring.
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
VituVingiSana
#3 Posted : Monday, June 21, 2010 2:56:39 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,362
Location: Nairobi
The French are not above paying bribes... see Turkwell Gorge Dam... and Kenyan politicians are effing corrupt...

They would even demand bribed from their mothers...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
muganda
#4 Posted : Monday, June 21, 2010 3:44:55 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
Well said @Wa_ithaka, @VituVingiSana. The French are indeed showing themselves to be a quarrelsome bunch (both in the WorldCup and in Orange).

Just so shocking how GOVERNMENT can ruin the most competitive sector, responsible for growth in the country of late, by too much handling.

Investors such as Nassir Ibrahim Ali of World Duty Free would agree if I said Michael E Porter didn't know the half of it! His framework, weighed against Kenya, missed out the largest cog...


The Merchant
#5 Posted : Monday, June 21, 2010 4:35:23 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/24/2010
Posts: 846
Location: KENYA
Well, what you seem to be referring to is political risk. With every risk one has to decide how much his business can take. In Kenya political risk is very high but alot of MNCs still make it here. They play the field using the rules as they find them.
If a certain sector is undermined by poor government policy eventually no business will thrive there so the government will be forced to do something about it. At the exact time that they enact reforms a new entrant will come in and do very well.
So its all about risk and timing. The five forces model then applies after these have been considered.
muganda
#6 Posted : Wednesday, June 23, 2010 12:58:36 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
Quite happy to read Safaricom named Africa telecom firm of the year. Happy because it makes me proud that a Kenyan bred company can be feted in such a competitive sector in the whole of Africa.

http://www.businessdaily.../-/1conxhz/-/index.html

I always buy the African magazine that showcases 100 largest businesses in Africa, and woefully note that South Africa and West Africa continue their lead over us in banking, industry.

But in Telecoms, Africa is looking at Kenya - bravooo!
GOVERNMENT, don't mess up this industry... please.

Rahatupu
#7 Posted : Thursday, June 24, 2010 11:04:47 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 1,982
Location: matano manne
Mugunda, your observations are spot on. Why do West and South Africa lead Kenya in the banking industry? My take is that, what we have had in Kenya as banks before Equity are foreign owned multinationals, I observed in Nigeria that Std Chartered and Barclays have a very small presence and even were not as popular as Eco, IBE, Oceanic etc which are all local. Down south the same story.

For a long time we've tended to depend too much on "foreign investors" that we have forgotten that e.g E.A Inidustries (Unilever) products "made in Kenya" cannot pass as genuinely Kenyan products. This has somehow resulted in slow growth of local industries/businesses to match other countries in the continent. As for telekoms/mobile telephony, West, South Africa and indeed the world is looking up to Kenya - Safaricom are the trail blazers.
VituVingiSana
#8 Posted : Thursday, June 24, 2010 11:55:37 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,362
Location: Nairobi
Rahatupu wrote:
Mugunda, your observations are spot on. Why do West and South Africa lead Kenya in the banking industry? My take is that, what we have had in Kenya as banks before Equity are foreign owned multinationals, I observed in Nigeria that Std Chartered and Barclays have a very small presence and even were not as popular as Eco, IBE, Oceanic etc which are all local. Down south the same story.

For a long time we've tended to depend too much on "foreign investors" that we have forgotten that e.g E.A Inidustries (Unilever) products "made in Kenya" cannot pass as genuinely Kenyan products. This has somehow resulted in slow growth of local industries/businesses to match other countries in the continent. As for telekoms/mobile telephony, West, South Africa and indeed the world is looking up to Kenya - Safaricom are the trail blazers.


LOLest... After all the 'African' arguments... what do you say? Safaricom is a 'Kenyan' trailblazer?

1) Safaricom's largest shareholder (40%) is Vodaphone of UK
2) Safaricom was a dud until Vodaphone seconded MJ, Les Baille among others to nurture the business
3) M-Pesa for which Safaricom is famous is only Kenyan in name. The underlying technology is British
4) Safaricom imports almost 100% of its equipment. Phones from China. Network equipment from Sweden, Finland, USA & China. Laptops from Taiwan & China. Even the scratchcards are imported!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
muganda
#9 Posted : Thursday, June 24, 2010 12:57:54 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
@VituVingiSana, very many factually correct assertions. But would you say EABL is foreign just because of Diageo? What about Equity and all their help from European Union, China, Helios? Or Scangroup with WPP?

I said Kenyan bred because:
-company was started in Kenya
-is run by Kenyans in toto except the 2
-is patronised by Kenyans in toto
-if transplanted from Kenya to elsewhere, wouldn't work the same

By the way, as a matter of investment, I'm personally leaning on companies that are Kenyan bred, with some international oversight - the best of both worlds in this global village.

@Rahatupu, good stuff. And for the record: In last year’s edition of the ABA, Equity Bank won the prestigious African Business of the Year award.
VituVingiSana
#10 Posted : Friday, June 25, 2010 8:26:14 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,362
Location: Nairobi
@mugunda - I believe in VALUE... If I can get same value from a Kenyan firm, I will support it...

Petrol - I fill up at Kenol unless the price is cheaper elsewhere (no shady petrol stations akina hashi...)

Beer - EABL damu kabisa tho I do like Sierra. Not much of a jamaa for Heineken, etc

Prepared foods - Kenya almost 100% coz cheaper & fresher. Those imported stuff is often expired & labels changed!

Simu - I use YU but all the firms have substantial foreign ownership!

Flights - KQ is my #1 choice. I also use Fly540 coz often cheaper.

Lakini, all that said... if I can get a cheaper BA, VA flight... I will fly them... The Kenyan firms have to compete & give me the BEST value...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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