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East African Breweries H1 pretax profit down 8 pct
muganda
#1 Posted : Tuesday, February 16, 2010 2:09:34 PM
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Joined: 9/15/2006
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After the departure of the Mahinda money making machine...

NAIROBI (Reuters) - Kenya's East African Breweries posted an 8 percent drop in first-half pretax profit, thanks to drought, the global downturn, weak local currencies and higher taxes on spirits in Kenya, its CEO said on Tuesday.

EABL's Chief Executive Officer Seni Adetu also told an investor briefing that the volume of beer and spirits sold fell 10 percent in the period to the end of December from a year earlier while turnover rose 3 percent.

The company maintained its interim dividend at 2.50 shillings per share and said the total payout would be 2 billion shillings.
Chaka
#2 Posted : Tuesday, February 16, 2010 2:21:09 PM
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volume of beer and spirits sold fell 10 percent
Did keroche industries contribute to the above?
VituVingiSana
#3 Posted : Tuesday, February 16, 2010 2:51:28 PM
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Main drop due to taxes (not Keroche though I am sure that helped a little)...

2H will be better since taxes have been reduced... 1Q sales of spirits down 50%...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
muganda
#4 Posted : Tuesday, February 16, 2010 3:01:42 PM
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@VituVingiSana, sale of spirits down 50%? That's concerning - where did the customers go or what did they switch to?

On another note maybe they should tread carefully vis-a-viz the whole SABL issue. Now see that EABL may be more vulnerable, than I thought, to a full blown out war.
simonkabz
#5 Posted : Tuesday, February 16, 2010 3:36:38 PM
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Keroche is a big threat with its cheap spirits n summit.
TULIA.........UFUNZWE!
VituVingiSana
#6 Posted : Tuesday, February 16, 2010 3:40:13 PM
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muganda wrote:
@VituVingiSana, sale of spirits down 50%? That's concerning - where did the customers go or what did they switch to?

On another note maybe they should tread carefully vis-a-viz the whole SABL issue. Now see that EABL may be more vulnerable, than I thought, to a full blown out war.

Press release said 1Q sales of spirits down 50%. I have reduced my intake of spirits... & when possible I get them duty free (often non-EABL) thru friends flying in...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#7 Posted : Tuesday, February 16, 2010 3:42:04 PM
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simonkabz wrote:
Keroche is a big threat with its cheap spirits n summit.

Only way to confirm would be if Keroche released numbers too... IMHO, they are hurting even more than EABL is...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
sparkly
#8 Posted : Tuesday, February 16, 2010 7:53:59 PM
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I humbly submit that the reduced sales are a result of the death of the 'social drinker'. This is the working class man/woman who will join his/her friends on a friday or over the weekend for a drink, catch up or rave. They typicaly take tusker malt/ smir ice or redds. They are generous and will buy a round or 2 for the pals. Now since booze hit 150-200 in places where they visit, boozing became quite expensive. For them booze is not No. 1 Priority neither are they willing to bend backwards to take senator. So they quit booze. EABL can rediscover 2x growth if they introduce cheaper but trendy products for this class.
Life is short. Live passionately.
TUPAC
#9 Posted : Tuesday, February 16, 2010 8:32:20 PM
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@sparkly I think EABL can achieve volumes and more profit if they can ensure that their products are sold at recomended or reasonable prices. i dont see why on earth i should pay 200bob for a beer whose recomended price is 85bob. why waste a whole 115bob? am i an MP? you see it makes no sense to work hard only for your sweat to be enjoyed by the beer proprietors!
...things fall apart...the centre cannot hold..mere anarchy is loosed upon the world...w b yeats
gathinga
#10 Posted : Wednesday, February 17, 2010 5:54:38 AM
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sparkly wrote:
e. EABL can rediscover 2x growth if they introduce cheaper but trendy products for this class.



In Kenya and more so in the market you are alluding to, products are considered trendy of they are more expensive than other products. So this would be a catch 22 situation.I dont think there is significant opening for growth in the top end market. Me thinks the future of EABL top line growth lies in the 40% un-penetrated regions in Kenya that Adetu spoke of during the press interview. Coming to think of it, how comes senator has not penetrated 40% of Kenya, more than 6 years since its launch? Mobile phone companies, invest more in building networks in rural areas than EABL does in establishing distribution presence. Adetu should address this!
poundfoolish
#11 Posted : Wednesday, February 17, 2010 5:55:56 AM
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with the two arguments @sparky and @tupac.. then i think Safaricom and the rest will be recording good profits..
Rem MJ saying the Ruaraka was their competition..cos guys had to make an opportunity cost choice, between yapping and imbibing with that ka 100bob in their pocket(does he buy credit or does he buy another beer??).. i guess Airtime wins that war
the sage
#12 Posted : Wednesday, February 17, 2010 5:56:42 AM
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Another aspect to the story is the vindication of the Laffer Curve. Due to pornongraphic taxes on spirits the government had to back peddle as the taxes were milking th cash cow dry.
I love economics.
cmk
#13 Posted : Wednesday, February 17, 2010 6:16:32 AM
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the major reason is declining purchasing power,moreso since one has to balance between buying food and other luxuries..it is also right to say eabl is now feeling the effects of keroche and other cheap beers and proscribed drinks...but this is not to say that keroche is doing any better..summit sells at the production cost..so no profits at all just a marketing gimmick.
Every man is guilty of all the good he didn't do-
Voltaire
gathinga
#14 Posted : Wednesday, February 17, 2010 6:28:15 AM
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cmk wrote:
summit sells at the production cost..so no profits at all just a marketing gimmick.


Tehehe. Whats the point of sustaining this gimmick, or will it pay in the long run?
Chaka
#15 Posted : Wednesday, February 17, 2010 7:10:01 AM
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Did Adetu say how alvaro is faring?
VituVingiSana
#16 Posted : Wednesday, February 17, 2010 7:33:29 AM
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sparkly wrote:
EABL can rediscover 2x growth if they introduce cheaper but trendy products for this class.

Problem remains taxes... 65% of supermarket price goes to taxes...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#17 Posted : Wednesday, February 17, 2010 7:37:05 AM
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EABL (unlike safaricom) has a HUGE competitor in UNTAXED substitutes aka changaa, busaa, muratina...

You can't 'make' airtime credit... LOL... you can move to YU or Zain but all pay taxes...

So the majority of the population esp in the rural areas have options...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
cmk
#18 Posted : Wednesday, February 17, 2010 7:44:19 AM
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@gathinga,i think if keroche persists,profits will definately start trickling in once they raise the price of summit in the near future..for now they have to try and convert as many drinkers as possible..
Every man is guilty of all the good he didn't do-
Voltaire
2012
#19 Posted : Wednesday, February 17, 2010 7:47:23 AM
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VituVingiSana wrote:
EABL (unlike safaricom) has a HUGE competitor in UNTAXED substitutes aka changaa, busaa, muratina...


These brews have existed for as long as I can remember others longer than eabl. This can't be termed as competition but unconquered market. eabl needs to be innovative enough to get in there tax or no tax.

BBI will solve it
:)
VituVingiSana
#20 Posted : Wednesday, February 17, 2010 7:53:17 AM
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2012 wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
EABL (unlike safaricom) has a HUGE competitor in UNTAXED substitutes aka changaa, busaa, muratina...

These brews have existed for as long as I can remember others longer than eabl. This can't be termed as competition but unconquered market. eabl needs to be innovative enough to get in there tax or no tax.

@2012
65% tax vs innovation? The loser is Innovation coz it can't beat 65% tax...
Only option EABL has is asking the government to enforce the 'law' against untaxed brews...

Even if EABL made a beer for 10/- the taxes would add a MINIMUM of 40/- = 50/-

An inefficient but untaxed busaa sellers can compete coz even if costs 20/- (2x EABL's cost)... after taxes = 20/-

I bet you that keroche sells part of its production on the untaxed market... EABL, being a listed firm, cannot do so as easily...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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