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2020 Watch List - Buy/Sell
Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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Source: Cytonn *Target Price as per Cytonn Analyst estimates
**Upside/ (Downside) is adjusted for Dividend Yield
***Banks in which Cytonn and/ or its affiliates are invested in
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Rank: New-farer Joined: 8/1/2019 Posts: 86
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mwekez@ji wrote:Source: Cytonn *Target Price as per Cytonn Analyst estimates
**Upside/ (Downside) is adjusted for Dividend Yield
***Banks in which Cytonn and/ or its affiliates are invested in Unfortunately my kenya-re wounds are still fresh. Kidonda ndugu hainiruhusu
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Rank: Member Joined: 7/6/2018 Posts: 175 Location: Kinshasa
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McGill wrote:mwekez@ji wrote:Source: Cytonn *Target Price as per Cytonn Analyst estimates
**Upside/ (Downside) is adjusted for Dividend Yield
***Banks in which Cytonn and/ or its affiliates are invested in Unfortunately my kenya-re wounds are still fresh. Kidonda ndugu hainiruhusu How come the promoters are not buying Kenya Re - it's been tops on their charts for weeks now? If it don't make dollars, it don't make sense
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,103 Location: Nairobi
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Balaa wrote:McGill wrote:mwekez@ji wrote:Source: Cytonn *Target Price as per Cytonn Analyst estimates
**Upside/ (Downside) is adjusted for Dividend Yield
***Banks in which Cytonn and/ or its affiliates are invested in Unfortunately my kenya-re wounds are still fresh. Kidonda ndugu hainiruhusu How come the promoters are not buying Kenya Re - it's been tops on their charts for weeks now? Perhaps it is about liquidity of the shares. I like KenRe (except the GoK control aspect) as a value play but I also have to accept I will have to hold onto these for a long, long time. Perhaps Cytonn does not have that luxury. It is easier to buy and sell KCB, etc given the liquidity. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: New-farer Joined: 8/1/2019 Posts: 86
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Balaa wrote:McGill wrote:mwekez@ji wrote:Source: Cytonn *Target Price as per Cytonn Analyst estimates
**Upside/ (Downside) is adjusted for Dividend Yield
***Banks in which Cytonn and/ or its affiliates are invested in Unfortunately my kenya-re wounds are still fresh. Kidonda ndugu hainiruhusu How come the promoters are not buying Kenya Re - it's been tops on their charts for weeks now? Good question. According to them it is the stock with the highest upside potential but they are not buying it.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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Kenya Re is worth Kshs 9 per share but has remained a value trap for years. Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,684 Location: NAIROBI
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sparkly wrote:Kenya Re is worth Kshs 9 per share but has remained a value trap for years. If they increase their dividend payout,then share price rally will follow. If dividend issuance rises to 40 cents share price will be in the range of 8-9 Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Member Joined: 6/26/2008 Posts: 384
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Kenya Re is one boring share, it's like watching paint dry. Guess that's why people like it
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,103 Location: Nairobi
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xtina wrote:Kenya Re is one boring share, it's like watching paint dry. Guess that's why people like it Warren Buffett loves to watch paint dry. https://money.cnn.com/20...paint-company/index.htmlGreedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Member Joined: 7/1/2019 Posts: 119
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mwekez@ji wrote:Source: Cytonn *Target Price as per Cytonn Analyst estimates
**Upside/ (Downside) is adjusted for Dividend Yield
***Banks in which Cytonn and/ or its affiliates are invested in Any stock on this list with a multiple of <= 1.0 is dirt cheap. Take action now. KCB and Equity had the same kind of multiples pre rate cap lifting and now they are a bit expensive
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,103 Location: Nairobi
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Receptor wrote:mwekez@ji wrote:Source: Cytonn *Target Price as per Cytonn Analyst estimates
**Upside/ (Downside) is adjusted for Dividend Yield
***Banks in which Cytonn and/ or its affiliates are invested in Any stock on this list with a multiple of <= 1.0 is dirt cheap. Take action now. KCB and Equity had the same kind of multiples pre rate cap lifting and now they are a bit expensive Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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GENGHIS PLAYBOOK 2020…Harnessing Value Dear Investors, The Kenyan market still trades at a historical discount despite rally on key counters and potential downward shifts in the market will lead to attractive entry points. Valuations are still attractive for some of the counters especially stocks that missed out on last year’s rally despite their attractive prices and strong fundamentals including EABL, KenGen and KCB. Foreign investor inflow at the NSE is expected to persist during the year from stronger earnings from the key stocks and anchored by a stable currency (estimated at KES 100 - 104), which gained against USD for second year running. On the economic front, we expect a GDP growth rate of 5.7% with expected protracted challenges in private consumption due deterioration in the business environment. Additionally, we do not see government achieve its fiscal consolidation efforts (5.6% fiscal deficit) expected at 7.0% this year. By incorporating the key macro and corporate factors, the Genghis Capital Playbook 2020 seeks to bridge the gap between our clients and our research material. We move away from the traditional valuation reports and run our own Kenyan notional Equities and Fixed Income portfolios. These are constructed along similar mandates to those faced by our clients and the performance is tracked and our commentary along with our results published via our Genghis Weekly Report and Bloomberg terminal.
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,684 Location: NAIROBI
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Top 5 Performing Stocks YTD Kenya Airways +16.59% Carbacid Investments +12.50% CIC Insurance +10.07% BOC Kenya +8.62% WPPScangroup +8.43% Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 4/16/2014 Posts: 1,420 Location: Bohemian Grove
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only DTB has potential of recovery in the loss list. The rest might die for good.
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Rank: Member Joined: 4/15/2008 Posts: 202
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mwekez@ji wrote:GENGHIS PLAYBOOK 2020…Harnessing Value Dear Investors,
The Kenyan market still trades at a historical discount despite rally on key counters and potential downward shifts in the market will lead to attractive entry points. Valuations are still attractive for some of the counters especially stocks that missed out on last year’s rally despite their attractive prices and strong fundamentals including EABL, KenGen and KCB. Foreign investor inflow at the NSE is expected to persist during the year from stronger earnings from the key stocks and anchored by a stable currency (estimated at KES 100 - 104), which gained against USD for second year running.
On the economic front, we expect a GDP growth rate of 5.7% with expected protracted challenges in private consumption due deterioration in the business environment. Additionally, we do not see government achieve its fiscal consolidation efforts (5.6% fiscal deficit) expected at 7.0% this year.
By incorporating the key macro and corporate factors, the Genghis Capital Playbook 2020 seeks to bridge the gap between our clients and our research material. We move away from the traditional valuation reports and run our own Kenyan notional Equities and Fixed Income portfolios. These are constructed along similar mandates to those faced by our clients and the performance is tracked and our commentary along with our results published via our Genghis Weekly Report and Bloomberg terminal.
KENGEN IS A VALUE TRAPDo it today! Tomorrow is promise to no-one.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,684 Location: NAIROBI
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mufasa wrote:mwekez@ji wrote:GENGHIS PLAYBOOK 2020…Harnessing Value Dear Investors,
The Kenyan market still trades at a historical discount despite rally on key counters and potential downward shifts in the market will lead to attractive entry points. Valuations are still attractive for some of the counters especially stocks that missed out on last year’s rally despite their attractive prices and strong fundamentals including EABL, KenGen and KCB. Foreign investor inflow at the NSE is expected to persist during the year from stronger earnings from the key stocks and anchored by a stable currency (estimated at KES 100 - 104), which gained against USD for second year running.
On the economic front, we expect a GDP growth rate of 5.7% with expected protracted challenges in private consumption due deterioration in the business environment. Additionally, we do not see government achieve its fiscal consolidation efforts (5.6% fiscal deficit) expected at 7.0% this year.
By incorporating the key macro and corporate factors, the Genghis Capital Playbook 2020 seeks to bridge the gap between our clients and our research material. We move away from the traditional valuation reports and run our own Kenyan notional Equities and Fixed Income portfolios. These are constructed along similar mandates to those faced by our clients and the performance is tracked and our commentary along with our results published via our Genghis Weekly Report and Bloomberg terminal.
KENGEN IS A VALUE TRAP Explain Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Member Joined: 2/20/2015 Posts: 467 Location: Nairobi
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Ericsson wrote:mufasa wrote:mwekez@ji wrote:GENGHIS PLAYBOOK 2020…Harnessing Value Dear Investors,
The Kenyan market still trades at a historical discount despite rally on key counters and potential downward shifts in the market will lead to attractive entry points. Valuations are still attractive for some of the counters especially stocks that missed out on last year’s rally despite their attractive prices and strong fundamentals including EABL, KenGen and KCB. Foreign investor inflow at the NSE is expected to persist during the year from stronger earnings from the key stocks and anchored by a stable currency (estimated at KES 100 - 104), which gained against USD for second year running.
On the economic front, we expect a GDP growth rate of 5.7% with expected protracted challenges in private consumption due deterioration in the business environment. Additionally, we do not see government achieve its fiscal consolidation efforts (5.6% fiscal deficit) expected at 7.0% this year.
By incorporating the key macro and corporate factors, the Genghis Capital Playbook 2020 seeks to bridge the gap between our clients and our research material. We move away from the traditional valuation reports and run our own Kenyan notional Equities and Fixed Income portfolios. These are constructed along similar mandates to those faced by our clients and the performance is tracked and our commentary along with our results published via our Genghis Weekly Report and Bloomberg terminal.
KENGEN IS A VALUE TRAP Explain Last x years KenGen's share price has kept going down/stagnating. Investors are told to invest in KenGen for long term but how many years is long term? It is cheap but just locks in your capital. We can't tell the future but looking at the past 5 years KenGen was not the place to invest money. Methinks KenGen is like an Airline....very good as an Employer but not as a shareholder.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 4/30/2010 Posts: 1,635
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mufasa wrote:mwekez@ji wrote:GENGHIS PLAYBOOK 2020…Harnessing Value Dear Investors,
The Kenyan market still trades at a historical discount despite rally on key counters and potential downward shifts in the market will lead to attractive entry points. Valuations are still attractive for some of the counters especially stocks that missed out on last year’s rally despite their attractive prices and strong fundamentals including EABL, KenGen and KCB. Foreign investor inflow at the NSE is expected to persist during the year from stronger earnings from the key stocks and anchored by a stable currency (estimated at KES 100 - 104), which gained against USD for second year running.
On the economic front, we expect a GDP growth rate of 5.7% with expected protracted challenges in private consumption due deterioration in the business environment. Additionally, we do not see government achieve its fiscal consolidation efforts (5.6% fiscal deficit) expected at 7.0% this year.
By incorporating the key macro and corporate factors, the Genghis Capital Playbook 2020 seeks to bridge the gap between our clients and our research material. We move away from the traditional valuation reports and run our own Kenyan notional Equities and Fixed Income portfolios. These are constructed along similar mandates to those faced by our clients and the performance is tracked and our commentary along with our results published via our Genghis Weekly Report and Bloomberg terminal.
KENGEN IS A VALUE TRAP I will say kengen is value for money currently...it is one of the cheapest share available with very good fundamentals
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,684 Location: NAIROBI
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FUNKY wrote:mufasa wrote:mwekez@ji wrote:GENGHIS PLAYBOOK 2020…Harnessing Value Dear Investors,
The Kenyan market still trades at a historical discount despite rally on key counters and potential downward shifts in the market will lead to attractive entry points. Valuations are still attractive for some of the counters especially stocks that missed out on last year’s rally despite their attractive prices and strong fundamentals including EABL, KenGen and KCB. Foreign investor inflow at the NSE is expected to persist during the year from stronger earnings from the key stocks and anchored by a stable currency (estimated at KES 100 - 104), which gained against USD for second year running.
On the economic front, we expect a GDP growth rate of 5.7% with expected protracted challenges in private consumption due deterioration in the business environment. Additionally, we do not see government achieve its fiscal consolidation efforts (5.6% fiscal deficit) expected at 7.0% this year.
By incorporating the key macro and corporate factors, the Genghis Capital Playbook 2020 seeks to bridge the gap between our clients and our research material. We move away from the traditional valuation reports and run our own Kenyan notional Equities and Fixed Income portfolios. These are constructed along similar mandates to those faced by our clients and the performance is tracked and our commentary along with our results published via our Genghis Weekly Report and Bloomberg terminal.
KENGEN IS A VALUE TRAP I will say kengen is value for money currently...it is one of the cheapest share available with very good fundamentals Good fundamentals like delayed FY results Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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