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Market Direction with Election
Rank: Hello Joined: 7/28/2017 Posts: 1
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What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.
Thanks.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/11/2010 Posts: 1,011 Location: nairobi
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Trafalgar78 wrote:What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.
Thanks.
Will election be rigged first
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,183 Location: nairobi
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bartum wrote:Trafalgar78 wrote:What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.
Thanks.
Will election be rigged first catch 22 "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Member Joined: 4/14/2010 Posts: 806 Location: Nairobi
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/11/2010 Posts: 1,011 Location: nairobi
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winston wrote:million dollar question. A mganga can predict
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/2/2006 Posts: 1,206 Location: Nairobi
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bartum wrote:Trafalgar78 wrote:What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.
Thanks.
Will election be rigged first Of course it will be.Sell and buy after. Formally employed people often live their employers' dream & forget about their own.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,530 Location: nairobi
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bird_man wrote:bartum wrote:Trafalgar78 wrote:What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.
Thanks.
Will election be rigged first Of course it will be.Sell and buy after. Rather stay put.. Ya election liwe liwalo. NSE isn't closing
HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2012 Posts: 5,222
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Investors (foreign) seem to have confidence of a positive outcome. After (peaceful) elections, prices will be at their all time high. I'm staying put. Geedy when others are fearful.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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Trafalgar78 wrote:What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.
Thanks.
These are the potential outcomes after the election: 1. Elections are peaceful. Jubilee wins per the oponion polls - Market has factored in this possibility hence the sharp rise this year. No major change expected in market. 2. NASA wins elections are peacefull - Uncertainty on new government policies towards investments leading to a fall in market. 3. Either side wins, elections are violent - Market collapses. In conclusion 1/3 the market doesn't change, 2/3 the market falls. You are better off taking your 45% profits. Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,183 Location: nairobi
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sparkly wrote:Trafalgar78 wrote:What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.
Thanks.
These are the potential outcomes after the election: 1. Elections are peaceful. Jubilee wins per the oponion polls - Market has factored in this possibility hence the sharp rise this year. No major change expected in market. 2. NASA wins elections are peacefull - Uncertainty on new government policies towards investments leading to a fall in market. 3. Either side wins, elections are violent - Market collapses. In conclusion 1/3 the market doesn't change, 2/3 the market falls. You are better off taking your 45% profits. I also think take your 45% and if things are smooth sacrifice 10% of this 45% for commission and price appreciation to buy back "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Member Joined: 12/1/2007 Posts: 539 Location: Nakuru
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sparkly wrote:Trafalgar78 wrote:What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.
Thanks.
These are the potential outcomes after the election: 1. Elections are peaceful. Jubilee wins per the oponion polls - Market has factored in this possibility hence the sharp rise this year. No major change expected in market. 2. NASA wins elections are peacefull - Uncertainty on new government policies towards investments leading to a fall in market. 3. Either side wins, elections are violent - Market collapses. In conclusion 1/3 the market doesn't change, 2/3 the market falls. You are better off taking your 45% profits. Is NASA really that business unfriendly? For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases ~ WB
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,183 Location: nairobi
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winmak wrote:sparkly wrote:Trafalgar78 wrote:What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.
Thanks.
These are the potential outcomes after the election: 1. Elections are peaceful. Jubilee wins per the oponion polls - Market has factored in this possibility hence the sharp rise this year. No major change expected in market. 2. NASA wins elections are peacefull - Uncertainty on new government policies towards investments leading to a fall in market. 3. Either side wins, elections are violent - Market collapses. In conclusion 1/3 the market doesn't change, 2/3 the market falls. You are better off taking your 45% profits. Is NASA really that business unfriendly? not really but a new regime comes with wait and see altitude. .NASA has some agendas which are emotive like tjrc and hidden referendum calls which might see politics extended to 5years,NASA is also not solid in decision making like jubilee would be due to many competing interests "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/30/2007 Posts: 1,558 Location: Nairobi
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There will definitely be a rise in the market following peaceful elections. I have been told that there is lots of money waiting on the sidelines
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2012 Posts: 5,222
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Horton wrote:There will definitely be a rise in the market following peaceful elections. I have been told that there is lots of money waiting on the sidelines Now I'm even more greedy(ier) 
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2012 Posts: 5,222
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sparkly wrote:Trafalgar78 wrote:What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.
Thanks.
These are the potential outcomes after the election: 1. Elections are peaceful. Jubilee wins per the oponion polls - Market has factored in this possibility hence the sharp rise this year. No major change expected in market. 2. NASA wins elections are peacefull - Uncertainty on new government policies towards investments leading to a fall in market. 3. Either side wins, elections are violent - Market collapses. In conclusion 1/3 the market doesn't change, 2/3 the market falls. You are better off taking your 45% profits. I know you are just looking for a dip to get in  Violence that happened last was in Rift Valley, the hustler's backyard and escalated from there. Hustler is in bed with the majority Kikuyus and also in government. Nothing expected there, whomever wins. Violence, if any will happen in the lakeside and/or Kibra... inconsequential to the business community, if you ask me. Fear mongering might be a business tactic to keep current prices favourable, for a good harvest. Else market would have factored in the opposite... and it does have its sources
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,530 Location: nairobi
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Fear mongering ikome..It will end well
HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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mlennyma wrote:winmak wrote:sparkly wrote:Trafalgar78 wrote:What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.
Thanks.
These are the potential outcomes after the election: 1. Elections are peaceful. Jubilee wins per the oponion polls - Market has factored in this possibility hence the sharp rise this year. No major change expected in market. 2. NASA wins elections are peacefull - Uncertainty on new government policies towards investments leading to a fall in market. 3. Either side wins, elections are violent - Market collapses. In conclusion 1/3 the market doesn't change, 2/3 the market falls. You are better off taking your 45% profits. Is NASA really that business unfriendly? not really but a new regime comes with wait and see altitude. .NASA has some agendas which are emotive like tjrc and hidden referendum calls which might see politics extended to 5years,NASA is also not solid in decision making like jubilee would be due to many competing interests Ahsante @mlennyma yes, keyword is uncertainty and markets hate uncertainty. It's an open secret that NASA leans the socialist way and business men will wait and see if policies like rent controls will be effected. Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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Horton wrote:There will definitely be a rise in the market following peaceful elections. I have been told that there is lots of money waiting on the sidelines Who told you? We also want to be told  Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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obiero wrote:Fear mongering ikome..It will end well Violence has been a constant feature of our elections. 3/4 of the last elections have been violent. Even this election has had instances of localized violence in Garissa, Guthurai, Bomet, Homabay, Migori, Kisii, Machakos, Nairobi among other places. Nationalized violence is a real probability. Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/11/2010 Posts: 1,011 Location: nairobi
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sparkly wrote:Horton wrote:There will definitely be a rise in the market following peaceful elections. I have been told that there is lots of money waiting on the sidelines Who told you? We also want to be told Mine too on sidelines
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