wazua Wed, Mar 18, 2026
Welcome Guest Search | Active Topics | Log In

4 Pages123>»
Athi River Mining - HY Ksh. 355.8 million loss
murchr
#1 Posted : Thursday, July 30, 2015 6:10:52 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Pesanane leta details

http://www.bloomberg.com...s-after-currencies-slide
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Aguytrying
#2 Posted : Thursday, July 30, 2015 6:26:22 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
murchr wrote:


@hisah. You were right about the liquidity squeeze or foreign fluctuations affecting companies. Interestingly the only thing I few in arm are debt levels, convertible bonds whatever and off course valuation. Otherwise awesome company. Unlike KQ they will bounce back. Even maybe before end year
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Gatheuzi
#3 Posted : Thursday, July 30, 2015 8:20:09 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/16/2009
Posts: 994
Gatheuzi wrote:
Gatheuzi wrote:
Watch out for highly geared companies. If debt is a high percentage of equity expect rate hikes to possibly erode vitually all profits.

Uchumi falls in this category. ARM needs to move fast to deal with the short term borrowings. Trancentary already planning a rights issue to deal with debts. Home Afrika may post a bigger loss as they keep digging themselves in funny arrangements. KQ - its obvious where they are headed. Mumias - already deep in debt and cant pay.


Rate hike of 300bps confirms my earlier worries. I expect 75% of firms above to give profit warnings this year.


Not surprised at all.

Post #118
Time is money, so money is time. Money saved is time gained in reverse! Money stores your life’s energy. You expend your energy, get paid money, and store that money for a future purchase made in a currency.
Othelo
#4 Posted : Thursday, July 30, 2015 8:51:37 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 1/20/2014
Posts: 3,528
Things are thick na bado Sad
Formal education will make you a living. Self-education will make you a fortune - Jim Rohn.
sparkly
#5 Posted : Thursday, July 30, 2015 11:24:49 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Gatheuzi wrote:
Gatheuzi wrote:
Gatheuzi wrote:
Watch out for highly geared companies. If debt is a high percentage of equity expect rate hikes to possibly erode vitually all profits.

Uchumi falls in this category. ARM needs to move fast to deal with the short term borrowings. Trancentary already planning a rights issue to deal with debts. Home Afrika may post a bigger loss as they keep digging themselves in funny arrangements. KQ - its obvious where they are headed. Mumias - already deep in debt and cant pay.


Rate hike of 300bps confirms my earlier worries. I expect 75% of firms above to give profit warnings this year.


Not surprised at all.

post #118

good call
Life is short. Live passionately.
researchfirst
#6 Posted : Friday, July 31, 2015 8:53:14 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/24/2015
Posts: 154
Location: Nairobi
Agree with @Aguytrying. Operating profit is up 7.0% YOY. EBITDA is up 9.0%. They'll get past this. It's a glitch. 5 year CAGR is 6.8%.Look at the trends: http://kenyainvestor.com.../arm-cement/financials/
Pesa Nane
#7 Posted : Friday, July 31, 2015 10:24:04 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
murchr wrote:
Pesanane leta details
Sleeping on the Job!

Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#8 Posted : Friday, July 31, 2015 10:33:22 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Quote:
OUTLOOK
Demand for cement increased by more than 10% during the 1st half of the year throughout East Africa driven by infrastructure and housing construction. Inspite of the recent depreciation and increase in interest rates, the fundamentals for continued economic and construction sector growing remain strong. The company expects to significantly improve performance in the second half of the year through cost efficiencies arising from self sufficiency in clinker and increased sales from business divisions, including Mavuno fertilizers.
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Ericsson
#9 Posted : Friday, July 31, 2015 10:36:42 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
I give this company share price at 30 to 40 based on the results and projections
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
VituVingiSana
#10 Posted : Saturday, August 01, 2015 11:16:34 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,344
Location: Nairobi
In most African countries, borrowing in USD (or even borrowing in LCY at very high rates) & selling in LCY is a disaster. As a country (Kenya) or region (EAC) or continent (Africa), we should dollars our economies. We need Fiscal discipline that is imposed on us and perhaps a Monetary Policy that we have little control over.

Some may look at it as neocolonialism but I see it as 'discipline' that is imposed on us OR we might just end up like Venezuela or Argentina (under the Peso).

Kenya issued a USD Eurobond. The KES got an artificial boost and when the euphoria ran out, the bill has come due. A 6% USD bond is now 16% when re-calculated in LCY.

I need help researching which country had the cash-in cash-out policy. My poor googling skills aren't helping.

I can't recall which country did it but they had moved to a cash accounting system for a little while i.e. books were balanced DAILY. If the Treasury had $10mn then it wrote cheques for $10mn. Everyone queued up for payment which also meant increased scrutiny for payments.

Therefore, Things of Desire would line up with a genuine supplier e.g. KenolKobil to be paid. All the payments would be listed and can be challenged by those in the queue.

Shady firms or deals would be shunted aside pending verification or sent to the back of the queue. Cash in, cash out. What happened was that inflation dropped like a rock as there was no printing of money. The economy did suffer a slow-down but I looked at it positively that there was genuine growth not inflationary filed growth.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
4 Pages123>»
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Copyright © 2026 Wazua.co.ke. All Rights Reserved.