@Guru of Kenya stocksYou know I will be happy as a beneficiary if Kenya banks continue with their hey wire copycat unsustainable returns among big banks with their
prohibitive interest rates.
My opinion is not from Nigerian perspective but from global trend in financial market with
African markets as a ready example.
At least I invest in a few banks in Botswana, Ghana, RSA.
All except Kenya has undergone reforms. Reforms entail Central Bank hiring independent advisor to re-examine their books,
Setting new bench marks like raising the bar in the capital base to make the banks stronger and more liquid.
I hope you are aware in Africa Kenya banks as big as they are to us are not among the top 10 in in terms of capital base ?
Kenyan banks deserve to have a place in the top 10 ranking.
If CBK raises the bar on the advise of investment advisors, banks will retain more cash in their reserve, this will affect their performace, this
is part of the reform or correction I am talking about, it ussually leads to diminished performance but makes the bank stronger. I have seen it happen in Ghana, Botswana
etc , this is the reality and the right way to go. It requires wherewithal of the regulatory agencies. It is like taking the bull by the horn.
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GCB (Ghana Commercial Bank), the Kenyan roar equivalent had its dividend reduced by half and
the price tumbled by 40 percent because of this rejuvination. The NPL aspect , do not defend the banks so religiously. They have been consistently cooking the books, the assurance you have is that they have been paying improved dividend. This is temporary..
The familiar back door method Kenya banks are doing to cover their nakedness is to do rights issue every other year. It is an old fashioned trick that is not sustenable. They Raise cash from
investors every other year and pay back as improved dividend. It is a round robin approach.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .