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CHEAP OIL=GOOD LIFE IN EAC!! DON'T PANIC!!
Cde Monomotapa
#1 Posted : Friday, August 05, 2011 10:11:18 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
The greatest benefit out of the recession abroad will be cheaper oil and commodities for net importer regions like our EAC!!
Cde Monomotapa
#2 Posted : Friday, August 05, 2011 10:14:23 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Cheaper global commodities means less pressure on EAC currencies hence they'll strengthen. Finally, all the imported inflation should reduce SIGNIFICANTLY!!
Cde Monomotapa
#3 Posted : Friday, August 05, 2011 10:50:55 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
On the otherhand, tea,coffee,tourism,horticulture will feel pressure from a strong shilling.
Cde Monomotapa
#4 Posted : Friday, August 05, 2011 10:53:13 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Industrial & Manufacturers will be the largest benefactors of cheaper imported inputs. GDP growth will be in high gear.
VituVingiSana
#5 Posted : Friday, August 05, 2011 12:37:52 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,223
Location: Nairobi
My friends... Kenya does not have oil [well, I hope we strike it!] so it is Uganda & South Sudan who will benefit from 'cheap' oil but where Kenya benefits is from lowered transport costs & we can sell 'shovels' the Ugandans & South Sudanese.

Singapore does not have oil but is richer than Malaysia on a Per Capita basis. Why? Singapore supplies stability, good education & financial services...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Lolest!
#6 Posted : Friday, August 05, 2011 12:52:53 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
VituVingiSana wrote:

Singapore does not have oil but is richer than Malaysia on a Per Capita basis. Why? Singapore supplies stability, good education & financial services...

God seems to be blessing our already blessed neighbours with more minerals. With our strategic location in EA, we must build on those factors you've mentioned plus transport!!
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