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EABL profit warning
Sure
#1 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 8:25:08 AM
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Joined: 9/9/2010
Posts: 546
Location: Garissa
EABL spent about 20 billion to acquire the 20% of SABmiller's share in EABL.

EABL is used another 4.9 billion to increase its shareholding Serengeti to 51% in order to have a controlling share in Serengeti.

The company is offloading its shareholding in TBL for a miserable 6.9 billion. TBL controls over 86% of Tz market.

Mututho laws are still going strong.

If you have ears, run out of this company like yesterday. Otherwise, go to bed with the EABL bear for the next three to four years.
Wisdom to detect when share prices hit rock bottom.
When interest on bonds keep going up, you know the bear run is on high street. When interest on bonds start leveling, the bear has met the bull and they have hit rock bottom. When the interest rates on bonds start coming down, the bull has overpowered the bear and you better be riding the bull.
FUNKY
#2 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 8:32:44 AM
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Joined: 4/30/2010
Posts: 1,635
Sure
#3 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 8:58:59 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/9/2010
Posts: 546
Location: Garissa
Analysts reckon that EABL could tap a shareholder loan from its parent Diageo or bridge the deficit with a combination of debt and internal resources in a transaction that observes say has hugely favoured SABMiller.

Is the EABL MD called Anedu or Adetu? This Nigerian cannot handle the East African cut throat competition. He should be running Bata Shoe company and leave the likes of Mahinda to do what they knwo best.

http://www.businessdaily...20/-/490wkc/-/index.html
Wisdom to detect when share prices hit rock bottom.
When interest on bonds keep going up, you know the bear run is on high street. When interest on bonds start leveling, the bear has met the bull and they have hit rock bottom. When the interest rates on bonds start coming down, the bull has overpowered the bear and you better be riding the bull.
Cde Monomotapa
#4 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 9:03:29 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Times like this I wish NSE allowed short-selling.
Iborian
#5 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 10:06:56 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/17/2009
Posts: 194
Now I feel like having a beer to celebrate the fact that I exited this behemoth a while back.
FUNKY
#6 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 10:14:15 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/30/2010
Posts: 1,635
Guys do not underestimate this counter,it is still the KING in Kenya and the best thing right would be to just hold onto the shares and wait for the year end results. Incase if they do not declare a dividend or give a less dividend i am sure they will declare a good bonus.
BGL
#7 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 10:44:34 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2009
Posts: 1,223
EABL should do what TPSEA did last year!
Declare a dividend,a bonus and a rights issue. If we as shareholders cannot take up all the rights then DIAGEO can increase its shareholding. However, i would not like the route taken by total of creating billions of preference shares.
History will not remember you for your IQ. It will remember you for what you did. “Genius is 1 percent inspiration, 99 percent perspiration.” Thomas Edison
cmk
#8 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 10:46:11 AM
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Joined: 1/24/2008
Posts: 479
that will be the time to buy..sell if you wan't to..we r waiting to collect them as u shed them..
Every man is guilty of all the good he didn't do-
Voltaire
Sober
#9 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 11:14:08 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
profit warning that is out of question. maybe dwindling volumes which will later pick up once there is stabilization in sales. i see the price dipping but not for long, so i will wait for it and buy as much as i can
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
mwanahisa
#10 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 11:46:01 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
I think it is more appropriate to talk of reduced dividends on account of expected cash outflows. But let's face it. EABL has not been doing too well of late - anaemic growth in profits over the last couple of years does not exactly fill me with confidence. But Hey, the market loves it. So it's worth a speculative play when it dips.
KulaRaha
#11 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 12:00:46 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Keep dreaming!!!

I will be buying EABL as you dreamers sell.

I recall a similar profit warning a year ago, and I bet the guy who issued it accumulated shares while poor suckers sold.

EABL IS THE ONLY TRUE BLUE CHIP ON THE NSE!
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
Insurgent
#12 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 12:10:03 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 8/6/2010
Posts: 594
FUNKY wrote:
Guys do not underestimate this counter,it is still the KING in Kenya and the best thing right would be to just hold onto the shares and wait for the year end results. Incase if they do not declare a dividend or give a less dividend i am sure they will declare a good bonus.


Bonuses are declared at the strength of retained profits or reserves which is then used to back the bonuses issued while the reserves are converted into capital accumilation. EABL has exhausted its reserves, its now driving on the rims. So please, don't make me feel like we are cultivating novice tendencies on line.


"One man gives freely, yet gains even more; another withholds unduly, but comes to poverty. A generous man will prosper; he who refreshes others will himself be refreshed." Rev Canon Karanja.

2012
#13 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 1:59:33 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
EABL should take lessons from BAT. I swear I would l also love to know how they do it. You know in SWOT how they tell you to turn your Threats into Opportunities? I never thought it was possible until BAT... Always comes out stronger.

BBI will solve it
:)
Barrywhite
#14 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 4:46:00 PM
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Joined: 12/2/2009
Posts: 286
Location: Nairobi
What are the conditions necessary to declare a profit warning at the NSE? Is it a 20% drop? Safaricom dropped 12% and didnt declare a profit warning? EABL is facing turbulent times, but l doubt there will be a profitability drop of such high magnitude to warrant a profit warning? In between, Equity could beat EABL to become the second most profitable company in Kenya this year?
The laudable is more often than not rendered laughable by overclaim
mwanahisa
#15 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 4:58:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
@Barrywhite. 25% drop or more in profits from the previous comparative period. SO NO PROFIT WARNING FROM EABL. Still, there are better stocks out there but EABL remains a good speculative play at this price range and especially if it continues dropping.

Barrywhite wrote:
What are the conditions necessary to declare a profit warning at the NSE? Is it a 20% drop? Safaricom dropped 12% and didnt declare a profit warning? EABL is facing turbulent times, but l doubt there will be a profitability drop of such high magnitude to warrant a profit warning? In between, Equity could beat EABL to become the second most profitable company in Kenya this year?

Barrywhite
#16 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 5:07:55 PM
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Joined: 12/2/2009
Posts: 286
Location: Nairobi
@Mwanahisa. Thanks plenty for info. I totally concur that 25% drop is simply put, impossible at this point.
The laudable is more often than not rendered laughable by overclaim
accelriskconsult
#17 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 5:35:42 PM
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Joined: 4/2/2011
Posts: 629
Location: Nai
How much was EABL paying out to SABMILLER as dividends? This portion of dividends may be quite significant if reinvested.
mwanahisa
#18 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 5:37:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
Barrywhite wrote:
@Mwanahisa. Thanks plenty for info. I totally concur that 25% drop is simply put, impossible at this point.


Agreed!
sparkly
#19 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 8:28:24 PM
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Joined: 9/23/2009
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Location: Enk are Nyirobi
mwanahisa wrote:
Barrywhite wrote:
@Mwanahisa. Thanks plenty for info. I totally concur that 25% drop is simply put, impossible at this point.


Agreed!

EABL is the super defensive stock of east and central africa. With the EAC common market, EABL has a potential market of close to 50 million thirsty customers.
Life is short. Live passionately.
the deal
#20 Posted : Tuesday, July 12, 2011 8:33:30 PM
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Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
sparkly wrote:
mwanahisa wrote:
Barrywhite wrote:
@Mwanahisa. Thanks plenty for info. I totally concur that 25% drop is simply put, impossible at this point.


Agreed!

EABL is the super defensive stock of east and central africa. With the EAC common market, EABL has a potential market of close to 50 million thirsty customers.

I agree @Sparkly....companies with proven regional operations are the ultimate defensive stocks not Safconsmile
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