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KenolKobil, KPLC or KCB?
earthvoice
#1 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 3:46:35 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/29/2011
Posts: 257
Must admit I'm bit of a novice, been trading (on n off for ~ 5yrs). Only recently stumbled on Wazua - great stuff.
Looking to make notable buy in any of the 3Ks - KK, KPLC or KCB. Essentially a medium priced share with potential for good ROI. Not speculative as such, more medium term, looking at 1yr or so.
Can't decide which is more promising of the three - could use some insights from the gurus on here, to make up my mind.
"All intelligent investing is value investing -- acquiring more than you are paying for. You must value the business in order to value the stock." - Charlie Munger.
Tommy
#2 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 8:33:28 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 12/9/2010
Posts: 894
Location: Nairobi
buy either kplc or kcb, i dont like the fuel companies due to the price regulations
Don't wait for the Last Judgment. It happens every day. ~Albert Camus, The Fall, 1956
bartum
#3 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 9:25:36 AM
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Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
go for kcb at 23 you will not go wrong. My only worry is they use so much money to produce a peanut.
Aguytrying
#4 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 9:34:29 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
At their current prices, i honestly dont think you can go wrong with either of the three, with a one yr outlook. I have kplc n kk. I keep eyeing kcb, though cant buy it, coz im maxed out.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
youcan'tstopusnow
#5 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 10:42:09 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Ati KKK? You can add 1 more K ikuwe the 4K Clubsmile Anyway, they all seem to be great companies at fair prices with promising futures
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
mlennyma
#6 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 10:45:05 AM
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Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,191
Location: nairobi
One kplc&kcb share is equivalent to 2.3 kk shares at the moment.so for the two to give you more return than kk,they must gain more than two times what kk is gaining.can this happen?
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
Bettertry
#7 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 10:46:51 AM
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Joined: 9/19/2010
Posts: 237
Location: Republic of Graham & Doddsville
Jamaa(assuming u r), do ur own background research coz l can tell u this for sure; here u'll also get opinions disguised as facts, kati ya hawa maguru kuna machizi pia, but u will realize it's a norm in every market place!!!
We Will Either Find a Way or Create One - HANNIBAL
invest0r
#8 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 11:58:36 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/15/2010
Posts: 162
KPLC and KCB have very good potential from the near term to long term. Both are headed to KES 30+ in the near term. KK has not made any notable move in a while now
Sober
#9 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 12:04:44 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
KK has been stagnant sine the split, but should not be underated. it may pull a surprise.
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
erifloss
#10 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 12:28:54 PM
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Joined: 6/21/2010
Posts: 514
Location: Nairobi
Kcb & kplc, their potential is good. As for kk alot of mixed fortunes....
'They say money cannot buy me happiness but when i compare when i had none and now, i'm happier' Kevin O'leary
PKoli
#11 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 5:51:19 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
bartum wrote:
go for kcb at 23 you will not go wrong. My only worry is they use so much money to produce a peanut.


I agree with you on returns on equity and assets being a little low. They have recognized this that is why they brought in Mckinzy consultants. I am sure they will start making strong headways as they leverage on the huge asset base and diversified branch network.
bartum
#12 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 6:56:56 PM
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Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
@pkoli,mckinzy recommendations is said to take 5yrs to be implemented. By then kcb will be trading at over 100 if they dont come for rights again and no bonus
madebe
#13 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 9:43:15 PM
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Joined: 10/7/2010
Posts: 251
Location: nairobi
i have worked with mc kinsgny. they are very good. but they make very bad assuptions. like the economy will grow by 10% for kenya in medium term.if they make this kinds of assumtioms with kcb sijui kama itatoboa. they also do not understand our culture and u cannot negate our culture and attitude to business models, work ethics etc
PKoli
#14 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 9:43:58 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
bartum wrote:
@pkoli,mckinzy recommendations is said to take 5yrs to be implemented. By then kcb will be trading at over 100 if they dont come for rights again and no bonus


That could be reasonable for manufacturing company or utilities. I think the banks will be a little shorter. I hope that will be trading price for KCB in 5 years. I think the best way to re-organise some of these companies is by having a competent board and ofcourse CEO. I am not sure if JM of Equity and his team required the fancy boys of consultancy.
earthvoice
#15 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 11:42:01 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/29/2011
Posts: 257
I guess the real question is this (without considering dividend income in the interim):

"which is more likely to happen sooner?
KK rise from 10/= to 15/=, OR
KCB rise from 24/= to 36/=, OR
KPLC rise from 22/= to 33/=?"
All 50% rise in price.

I wonder...Think
"All intelligent investing is value investing -- acquiring more than you are paying for. You must value the business in order to value the stock." - Charlie Munger.
earthvoice
#16 Posted : Sunday, January 30, 2011 12:54:31 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/29/2011
Posts: 257
Interesting news - looks rosier for KCB than KK:
KCB: http://www.businessdaily.../-/nw3u0lz/-/index.html

KK: http://www.businessdaily...on/-/lobms2/-/index.html
"All intelligent investing is value investing -- acquiring more than you are paying for. You must value the business in order to value the stock." - Charlie Munger.
bartum
#17 Posted : Sunday, January 30, 2011 8:48:19 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
@pkoli its true jm and mj dont recquire those consultants they only want your money. And who else to manage you business.
@eatvoice kplc is now 24 not 22. Kplc and kcb have high of 50% gain than kk at same time interval
jerry
#18 Posted : Sunday, January 30, 2011 11:08:01 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
[quote=earthvoice]Interesting news - looks rosier for KCB than for KK:
@earthvoice. I didn't understand the PE bit. KK's PE being10 and Total's 19 makes KK better in terms of growth prospects. ama?
However, the article was written in Sep 2010 and things might have changed.
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
sparkly
#19 Posted : Sunday, January 30, 2011 11:42:03 AM
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Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
mlennyma wrote:
One kplc&kcb share is equivalent to 2.3 kk shares at the moment.so for the two to give you more return than kk,they must gain more than two times what kk is gaining.can this happen?

you will kill me laughing. This kind of thinking appears logical when picking stocks, but beware of the dangerous lure of penny stocks! A good company will rise and rise while a bad one will stagnate or fall. E.g eabl trading at 200 and kk at 10. If eabl posts good results it may easily rise to 500 while kk may find it hard to rise to 12.
Life is short. Live passionately.
erifloss
#20 Posted : Sunday, January 30, 2011 12:31:40 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/21/2010
Posts: 514
Location: Nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
One kplc&kcb share is equivalent to 2.3 kk shares at the moment.so for the two to give you more return than kk,they must gain more than two times what kk is gaining.can this happen?

Makes no sense at all, while kk has been stagnating at around 10 making no money for people i've invested on shares not considered as 'penny stocks' & made money. During the same period that kk has been swinging around 9.40 - 10.50, i've made money on Scbk & nmg. Its all about returns and upswing potential not whether it is penny or not, look at a share from the perspective of owning something that will & is working. If a share is going at 10 with an outrageous p/e & bad div yield & another share with a moderate p/e with good div yield goes for200 what would you go for? As they say money has no soul it doesn't care thus never fall in love with a stock coz we are all here to make money!
'They say money cannot buy me happiness but when i compare when i had none and now, i'm happier' Kevin O'leary
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