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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
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youcan'tstopusnow
#1821 Posted : Tuesday, January 08, 2013 12:03:01 PM
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Joined: 3/24/2010
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Location: Black Africa
"Such performance will only continue to highlight the investment opportunity of Kenya to investors globally,” said Jonathan Cooper, the
FTSE Group managing
director for Middle East and Africa.
http://www.businessdaily...8/-/akdl2v/-/index.html
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youcan'tstopusnow
#1822 Posted : Tuesday, January 08, 2013 4:45:12 PM
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NSE 20-share index up 35.25 points ( 0.84%) to close at 4,247.74
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hisah
#1823 Posted : Tuesday, January 08, 2013 4:55:54 PM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
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EABL and mpesa bank... I wonder which specs are pushing these two counters to the current overextended price levels. I wonder what info is out there to make them bet this hard... #Bralirwa

Is it Ethiopia? And if so, this is far off into the future.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mwekez@ji
#1824 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 9:57:14 AM
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Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
@hisah, welcome back from your break.

So far, this market is looking good smile ... on safari, i think Mpesa_Mshwari are the drivers. World (including the likes of Bill Gates) are discussing this Mpesa_Mshwari stuff

On EABL, the Alcoholic Drinks Control Act 2010 and the amendments that Mututho is introducing are not good for the counter. The share price defiance leaves a lot of Qs
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hisah
#1825 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 10:47:10 AM
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mwekez@ji wrote:
@hisah, welcome back from your break.

So far, this market is looking good smile ... on safari, i think Mpesa_Mshwari are the drivers. World (including the likes of Bill Gates) are discussing this Mpesa_Mshwari stuff

On EABL, the Alcoholic Drinks Control Act 2010 and the amendments that Mututho is introducing are not good for the counter. The share price defiance leaves a lot of Qs

I don't understand what foreigners are chasing on mpesa bank. Forward P/E is too high at this price level. EABL too is overextended but from the huge buy volume back in Oct 2012 at 230 - 235 level it meant the price would likely head towards 300 as supply got dried out - same pattern with BAT. NSE is getting owned by outsiders. KE fund managers that plan to get in after post elections may find it hard assuming the polls are peaceful.

Mr Market so far has defied my expectation and we may not get a sideways market due to the foreigner bid pressure that I discussed from the long term technicals that I saw on the MSCI KE index. We're at 5yr levels here and broken out of that falling trendline in Nov 2012. Remember the volume in Nov as the index slipped a bit? That was a reloading point.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Aguytrying
#1826 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 11:07:14 AM
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Joined: 7/11/2010
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could this be like the referendum where the index priced in peace and the market actually rallied towards the event? but my instinct tells me there must be a sell off before elections
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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hisah
#1827 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 11:40:46 AM
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Aguytrying wrote:
could this be like the referendum where the index priced in peace and the market actually rallied towards the event? but my instinct tells me there must be a sell off before elections

Cross reference Accra index for the likely pattern.

Still waiting for the Mongolia parabolic moment at NSE as hydrocarbons go commercial as well as rare earth minerals...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1828 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 12:26:20 PM
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BAT and EABL turnover so far is around 270M intraday with prices still stretching. d'oh! Think Brick wall
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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the deal
#1829 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 12:30:42 PM
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Joined: 9/25/2009
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Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
NSE should introduce derivatives! I would be on shorting spree right now!
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hisah
#1830 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 12:35:06 PM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
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Someone has bought member 26.25/-
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1831 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 12:36:11 PM
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the deal wrote:
NSE should introduce derivatives! I would be on shorting spree right now!

Shorting would be nice to check the madness periods, but for now the bid pressure is not local...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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the deal
#1832 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 12:43:35 PM
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Joined: 9/25/2009
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Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
hisah wrote:
the deal wrote:
NSE should introduce derivatives! I would be on shorting spree right now!

Shorting would be nice to check the madness periods, but for now the bid pressure is not local...

A classic case of hot money overvaluing frontier assets...post March 4 should be interesting!
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youcan'tstopusnow
#1833 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 1:01:05 PM
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Joined: 3/24/2010
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Location: Black Africa
hisah wrote:
Someone has bought member 26.25/-

And HFCK at 16.50. Equity's supply is thin!
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Aguytrying
#1834 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 1:54:26 PM
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Joined: 7/11/2010
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this is sheer madness. the board is all green. im seeing record high prices. look at arm thats past 250. bat going to 550!
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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ChessMaster
#1835 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 2:00:59 PM
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Joined: 2/23/2009
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Who's eating and whose being eaten?
Uncertainty is certain.Let go
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FUNKY
#1836 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 2:21:30 PM
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Joined: 4/30/2010
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Market is going haywire!!
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Mukiri
#1837 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 2:33:51 PM
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Joined: 7/11/2012
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We'll wake up to find we own nothing in Kenya other than a bank account. I can foresee Waiganjio asking if I have a Kenyan visaSad

Proverbs 19:21
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hisah
#1838 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 3:40:20 PM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
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EABL finished with turnover of 292M with VWAP @292 and a million shares traded. BAT VWAP @524 with turnover of 152M. Mpesa bank and KCB close in behind on turnover.

KPLC vs Kengen - interesting game going on here. Watch it so that you don't get wrong footed...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mnandii
#1839 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 3:45:47 PM
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Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:
EABL finished with turnover of 292M with VWAP @292 and a million shares traded. BAT VWAP @524 with turnover of 152M. Mpesa bank and KCB close in behind on turnover.

KPLC vs Kengen - interesting game going on here. Watch it so that you don't get wrong footed...

Do open my eyes a little. smile
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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hisah
#1840 Posted : Wednesday, January 09, 2013 3:54:20 PM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
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mnandii wrote:
hisah wrote:
EABL finished with turnover of 292M with VWAP @292 and a million shares traded. BAT VWAP @524 with turnover of 152M. Mpesa bank and KCB close in behind on turnover.

KPLC vs Kengen - interesting game going on here. Watch it so that you don't get wrong footed...

Do open my eyes a little. smile

I mean +Kengen and -KPLC if you hold both in your portfolio.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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