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Aguytrying
#81 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 12:32:38 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Metasploit wrote:
39 just printed..# KCB


Yep! this is significant. equity also ready to go below 40.00. They should both be below NIC share price logically. NIC P/E now is 5.5! It has really led the race downwards
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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obiero
#82 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 12:41:42 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,461
Location: nairobi
Aguytrying wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
39 just printed..# KCB


Yep! this is significant. equity also ready to go below 40.00. They should both be below NIC share price logically. NIC P/E now is 5.5! It has really led the race downwards

@vvs will still state i shouldnt have sold kcb @60 bob.. :)
COOP 306,100 ABP 31.96, KEGN 112,100 ABP 10.64, MTNU 131,000 ABP 10.21
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Sam_Kibs
#83 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 12:50:30 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 7/1/2015
Posts: 67
Aguytrying wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
39 just printed..# KCB


Yep! this is significant. equity also ready to go below 40.00. They should both be below NIC share price logically. NIC P/E now is 5.5! It has really led the race downwards

just wondering...how far south can we go? is this trend likely to go to next year because if that be the case i will be a nomad in NSESad
“It’s no good, it’s no good!” says the buyer—
then goes off and boasts about the purchase-Proverbs 20:14
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Aguytrying
#84 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 1:09:29 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Sam_Kibs wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
39 just printed..# KCB


Yep! this is significant. equity also ready to go below 40.00. They should both be below NIC share price logically. NIC P/E now is 5.5! It has really led the race downwards

just wondering...how far south can we go? is this trend likely to go to next year because if that be the case i will be a nomad in NSESad


According to our resident chartists, it will go on to next year, this is just the beginning.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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maka
#85 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 1:49:11 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Aguytrying wrote:
Sam_Kibs wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
39 just printed..# KCB


Yep! this is significant. equity also ready to go below 40.00. They should both be below NIC share price logically. NIC P/E now is 5.5! It has really led the race downwards

just wondering...how far south can we go? is this trend likely to go to next year because if that be the case i will be a nomad in NSESad


According to our resident chartists, it will go on to next year, this is just the beginning.





Sad
possunt quia posse videntur
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hisah
#86 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 3:03:22 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
maka wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Sam_Kibs wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
39 just printed..# KCB


Yep! this is significant. equity also ready to go below 40.00. They should both be below NIC share price logically. NIC P/E now is 5.5! It has really led the race downwards

just wondering...how far south can we go? is this trend likely to go to next year because if that be the case i will be a nomad in NSESad


According to our resident chartists, it will go on to next year, this is just the beginning.





Sad

@maka I've read that strategy plan Pray Pray

2016 will be tight, real tight! The plan is completely obsolete with the current events. I'd like to see a revised version with the current madness unraveling in the money market.

Financial stocks will get clobbered badly! The last time I saw equity bank down 7% plus intraday was during the GFC! Those still attending the lesson learnt class will find the going getting tougher. Those who complete the class will be excellent students and will be well equipped on how to survive in the market in a profitable way.

#Golden handcuffs getting very shiny now
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, October 14, 2015 3:04 PM | Reason: Not specified
Aguytrying
#87 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 3:31:21 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Museveni wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
The bear is upon us! Emotions play a significant role in choosing what to buy and at what price. We all know the temptation to bottom fish to get the lowest prices, but its difficult to achieve.

Then there's the pain of being left by a share after a failed bottom fishing manoeuvre.

In light of this I've come up with a systematic way of buying this time round.
Using a P|E range of between 7-5.5 and EPS of 2014 or 2013 where necessary. Here is MY wishlist. There are many other good shares, ill be sticking with these for now.

STOCK EPS TARGET PRICE PE 5.5-7 CURRENT PRICE

EQUITY 4.63 25-33 40.00
KCB 5.63 30-40 40.25
NIC 7.07 38-49 35.75
NSE 2.13 12-15 20.75
DTB 21.92 120-154 194.00
HFCK 2.75 15-20 20.75

JUBILEE 48 264-340 425.00
PAN AFRICA 6.05 33-43 62.50

SAFARICOM 0.8 8-10(10-12 PE) 14.70
NATION 13.1 72-100 (unlikely) 139.00
TPS SERENA 3.45 20-25 (2013 EPS) 29.50

BAMBURI 9.80 98-130 152.00
KENOL KOBIL 0.74 5-7 (6.7-9.5 PE) 9.00
EABL 11.31 113- 170(10-15 PE) 254.00
ARM 3.01 30-45 37.50
BAT 42.55 300-450 780.00
CROWN PAINTS 3.01 17-21 60.00
FLAME TREE 0.99 6-7 7.00
BOC 11.76 65-85 117.00


Things are getting interesting, the bear is really starting to bite. Silently Jubilee has dropped 135 shilling since this list was made on 5th August 2015.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, October 14, 2015 3:33 PM | Reason: Not specified
lochaes
#88 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 3:35:25 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 6/30/2014
Posts: 86
Location: nairobi
hisah wrote:
maka wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Sam_Kibs wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
39 just printed..# KCB


Yep! this is significant. equity also ready to go below 40.00. They should both be below NIC share price logically. NIC P/E now is 5.5! It has really led the race downwards

just wondering...how far south can we go? is this trend likely to go to next year because if that be the case i will be a nomad in NSESad


According to our resident chartists, it will go on to next year, this is just the beginning.





Sad

@maka I've read that strategy plan Pray Pray

2016 will be tight, real tight! The plan is completely obsolete with the current events. I'd like to see a revised version with the current madness unraveling in the money market.

Financial stocks will get clobbered badly! The last time I saw equity bank down 7% plus intraday was during the GFC! Those still attending the lesson learnt class will find the going getting tougher. Those who complete the class will be excellent students and will be well equipped on how to survive in the market in a profitable way.

#Golden handcuffs getting very shiny now


buying a new notebook as the lessons have been many...smile Only option is to wait for the long tails and average down a good one.
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maka
#89 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 3:37:36 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
hisah wrote:
maka wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Sam_Kibs wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
39 just printed..# KCB


Yep! this is significant. equity also ready to go below 40.00. They should both be below NIC share price logically. NIC P/E now is 5.5! It has really led the race downwards

just wondering...how far south can we go? is this trend likely to go to next year because if that be the case i will be a nomad in NSESad


According to our resident chartists, it will go on to next year, this is just the beginning.





Sad

@maka I've read that strategy plan Pray Pray

2016 will be tight, real tight! The plan is completely obsolete with the current events. I'd like to see a revised version with the current madness unraveling in the money market.

Financial stocks will get clobbered badly! The last time I saw equity bank down 7% plus intraday was during the GFC! Those still attending the lesson learnt class will find the going getting tougher. Those who complete the class will be excellent students and will be well equipped on how to survive in the market in a profitable way.

#Golden handcuffs getting very shiny now


2016 will be one hard year...
possunt quia posse videntur
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kasibitta
#90 Posted : Wednesday, October 14, 2015 3:56:50 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/7/2014
Posts: 155
Its the last quarter of the year and things seem to be getting worse.In addition the chartist say 2016 will be worse.2017 is an election year and in Kenya Pyramid schemes crop up from everywhere during such times.

Based on above scenarios, seems we have to pack money in Market funds until there is some light at end of tunnel.
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