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Estimated 71 Billion Barrels...
hisah
#831 Posted : Friday, April 19, 2013 9:31:39 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
That private placement got a number pissed off. But this is what strengthened my consideration that a lot is at stake for the placement to be done by a chosen few... Think
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
youcan'tstopusnow
#832 Posted : Friday, April 19, 2013 9:41:25 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
hisah, I'm fine as long as the drill keeps running. Keep on making new discoveries and opening up new basins as they also continue derisking the Lokichar Basin.
Explorers move on news. The one and a half month delay no doubt disheartened some. But delays in this line of business are nothing unprecedented.
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
youcan'tstopusnow
#833 Posted : Friday, April 19, 2013 9:45:29 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
hisah wrote:
That private placement got a number pissed off. But this is what strengthened my consideration that a lot is at stake for the placement to be done by a chosen few... Think

Note that KH also declined an extra $200m for the PP. This points to the fact that he was not happy with the $7.75 price.
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Mainat
#834 Posted : Friday, April 19, 2013 9:54:14 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
hisah wrote:
That private placement got a number pissed off. But this is what strengthened my consideration that a lot is at stake for the placement to be done by a chosen few... Think

Note that KH also declined an extra $200m for the PP. This points to the fact that he was not happy with the $7.75 price.

It was a 20%+ dilution from the $9.5-10.5 range that share was trading at prePP.
Youcant- the drills will continue for a while, but the key call which will move the price past $8 will be whether Tullow deems the project commercially viable once either a pipeline or other transportation costs are factored. Otherwise, the dream for AOI investors is for a major Oiler to buy out AOI
Sehemu ndio nyumba
youcan'tstopusnow
#835 Posted : Friday, April 19, 2013 11:43:45 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
It's only been a year since Ngamia was dicovered. Uganda first made a hit in Jan 2006. An 'Integrated Project Team' was only established in Feb 2009 as "commercial threshold for development (was) exceeded". Granted, Kenya should take less time as threshold is lower.

In the mean time: Drill Baby Drill!

On price, the market has a mind of its own.
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
hisah
#836 Posted : Thursday, May 02, 2013 3:00:38 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Did someone let the cat out - http://www.businessdaily...2/-/d7snd0/-/index.html

Quote:
Kenya is likely to start producing oil in six to seven years, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected.


$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
MoneyMonger
#837 Posted : Thursday, May 02, 2013 7:26:17 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/25/2012
Posts: 110
hisah wrote:
Did someone let the cat out - http://www.businessdaily...2/-/d7snd0/-/index.html

Quote:
Kenya is likely to start producing oil in six to seven years, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected.




That is sooner than I expected. The cat is out I think, just wondering what this means for KK and TOTAL going forward. I need to verse myself with any export regulations, if already drafted, involved in the Kenyan oil.
There is nothing as dangerous as an Idea, when there is only one Idea
mlennyma
#838 Posted : Thursday, May 02, 2013 8:18:39 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
2,812 bpd??who is fooling who,?was it 281 communicated or i read a wrong article?
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
youcan'tstopusnow
#839 Posted : Friday, May 03, 2013 10:32:57 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
East Africa's 'embarrassment of riches' in energy
http://www.upi.com/Busin...rgy/UPI-37341367514714/
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
youcan'tstopusnow
#840 Posted : Wednesday, May 08, 2013 11:29:54 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
From Tullow:

Our high impact exploration campaign continues across Kenya and Ethiopia, with significant ongoing seismic operations, three active rigs and a further rig contracted to start activities in September 2013. In the remainder of 2013 we plan to acquire 2D and 3D seismic, drill a further seven wells and perform significant testing operations.

In Kenya, the Paipai-1 well was drilled in March 2013 and encountered light hydrocarbon shows whilst drilling and has been suspended pending agreement on future evaluation options. The testing of the Twiga South-1 discovery was completed in February 2013; a constrained combined rate of 2,812 bopd was achieved and has the potential to be increased to an unconstrained rate of over 5,000 bopd. Testing at the Ngamia-1 discovery is still in progress and the first test, from a zone previously considered to be non-productive and not included in previous estimates of net pay, flowed at a cumulative rate of 281 bopd. A further five tests are planned over the next month and are expected to lead to an increase in the previous total net pay of 100 metres. The test results to date on Twiga South and Ngamia are extremely encouraging for the Lockichar Basin and are important steps towards understanding the commerciality of these discoveries and the overall potential of the basin.

The next exploration well is Etuko-1, which is expected to spud within the next two weeks. This well is testing the first prospect in the Basin Flank play, and is more centrally located in the basin compared to Ngamia and Twiga South which were drilled along the basin bounding fault. A lighter, more mobile rig has been contracted to start work in September 2013 which will primarily be used to increase drilling efficiency by conducting testing operations and drilling shallow prospects and evaluation wells.

The first exploration well in Ethiopia, Sabisa-1 has been drilled to a total depth of 1,810 metres, recording hydrocarbon indications in sands beneath a thick claystone top seal. Due to hole instability issues, a sidetrack will be drilled to enable us to log and sample the zones of interest, with a result expected in late May 2013.

Seismic activity has included an extensive survey in Block 10BB/North West Block 12A in Kenya and 1,174 km 2D seismic has been acquired over the Chew Bahir basin in the South Omo block in Ethiopia. Both surveys have identified numerous attractive leads and prospects, some with amplitude anomalies characteristic of hydrocarbons, raising the total prospect and lead count in the acreage to over 120.

DRILL BABY DRILL
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
119 Pages«<8283848586>»
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