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Stock traders Corner.
hisah
#71 Posted : Friday, March 02, 2012 3:23:14 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
guru267 wrote:
hisah wrote:
Equity - likely to test 16/- If this support breaks the acceleration down will be swift all the way to 12/-

KCB - very ugly chart. More downside coming aiming 11 - 12/-


I think you are over estimating the bears on these stocks.. But I do agree we need volumes otherwise prices can drop irrationally..

at 14 & below the support from fundamentalists will be overwhelming on both counters so I do not support your vision of 12bob.. To say that is to assume there are no fundamentals present on the NSE...



1-0 to @guru smile - Lakini hizo volumes are very thin to offer solid support.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#72 Posted : Friday, March 02, 2012 3:32:50 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
This cartoon (chart), I like coz of volume spread below 12/-
Grabbed some today for a traders play. Target 15/-


Also scoping this chart after sellside target has been hit @7.50. A double bottom (support) most likely to form around 6.50.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mwekez@ji
#73 Posted : Friday, March 02, 2012 10:05:50 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
@hisah, what will drive coop to 15? It underperformed in Q3 and is likely to underperform at Full year. EPS could be at 1.7 and DPS at 0.8 (On the higher side). And then they start talking of rights issue
hisah
#74 Posted : Saturday, March 03, 2012 8:04:07 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mwekez@ji wrote:
@hisah, what will drive coop to 15? It underperformed in Q3 and is likely to underperform at Full year. EPS could be at 1.7 and DPS at 0.8 (On the higher side). And then they start talking of rights issue

I'm looking at the volume spread and 11.70 is being defended.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mwekez@ji
#75 Posted : Sunday, March 04, 2012 8:45:58 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
hisah wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
@hisah, what will drive coop to 15? It underperformed in Q3 and is likely to underperform at Full year. EPS could be at 1.7 and DPS at 0.8 (On the higher side). And then they start talking of rights issue

I'm looking at the volume spread and 11.70 is being defended.


True, but 15 is a long shot. What informs that target?
guru267
#76 Posted : Sunday, March 04, 2012 9:49:51 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
mwekez@ji wrote:
@hisah,
True, but 15 is a long shot. What informs that target?


Dont you know... its the CHARTS speaking here smile
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
hisah
#77 Posted : Monday, March 05, 2012 7:45:59 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mwekez@ji wrote:
hisah wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
@hisah, what will drive coop to 15? It underperformed in Q3 and is likely to underperform at Full year. EPS could be at 1.7 and DPS at 0.8 (On the higher side). And then they start talking of rights issue

I'm looking at the volume spread and 11.70 is being defended.


True, but 15 is a long shot. What informs that target?

Using fibonacci forecast on assumption that 11.70 is a floor for now. Yep, doesn't make sense fundamentally! But someone or something is interested at those lows per volume spike. SCB rights come to mind when it rallied to 300. This is a risky trade going against the tea leaves. But those volume spikes say a lot.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mwekez@ji
#78 Posted : Tuesday, March 06, 2012 2:02:34 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
hisah wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
hisah wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
@hisah, what will drive coop to 15? It underperformed in Q3 and is likely to underperform at Full year. EPS could be at 1.7 and DPS at 0.8 (On the higher side). And then they start talking of rights issue

I'm looking at the volume spread and 11.70 is being defended.


True, but 15 is a long shot. What informs that target?

Using fibonacci forecast on assumption that 11.70 is a floor for now. Yep, doesn't make sense fundamentally! But someone or something is interested at those lows per volume spike. SCB rights come to mind when it rallied to 300. This is a risky trade going against the tea leaves. But those volume spikes say a lot.


K. Al z best
mwekez@ji
#79 Posted : Tuesday, March 06, 2012 2:05:17 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Interesting show by Coop as at 2pm

Foreign sales 14.6M
Foreign buys 2M
Total turnover – 47M
VWAP: 13.00

Good picking by locals as foreigners leave. Similar scenario @ Equity Bank counter.
hisah
#80 Posted : Tuesday, March 06, 2012 6:52:46 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@mwekez@ji - the foreign sellside behaviour is very interesting on NSE for a while now since H2 2011. Keep an eye on euroland, the party is getting interesting... The Greek 1yr bond yield closed at 1006% making the KE Tbills/bonds yields look like peanuts!?

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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