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Exchange Bar: Results forecast
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obiero
#1501 Posted : Friday, March 23, 2018 12:36:35 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,547
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q4 2017, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 30.1 Actual 29.1
EQTY 25.3 Actual 26.9
COOP 18.1 Actual 16.4
DTB 10.6
BBK 10.1 Actual 10.4
SCBK 8.9 Actual 10
I&M 8.1
NIC 5.6 Actual 5.6
CFC 5.5 Actual 5.4
HFCK 0.41
NBK 0.21

Only the Indian banks remain pending

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Angelica _ann
#1502 Posted : Friday, March 23, 2018 12:37:27 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,908
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q4 2017, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 30.1 Actual 29.1
EQTY 25.3 Actual 26.9
COOP 18.1 Actual 16.4
DTB 10.6
BBK 10.1 Actual 10.4
SCBK 8.9 Actual 10
I&M 8.1
NIC 5.6 Actual 5.6
CFC 5.5 Actual 5.4
HFCK 0.41
NBK 0.21

Only the Indian banks remain pending


NBK & HFCK ?????
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Ericsson
#1503 Posted : Friday, March 23, 2018 12:42:03 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q4 2017, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 30.1 Actual 29.1
EQTY 25.3 Actual 26.9
COOP 18.1 Actual 16.4
DTB 10.6
BBK 10.1 Actual 10.4
SCBK 8.9 Actual 10
I&M 8.1
NIC 5.6 Actual 5.6
CFC 5.5 Actual 5.4
HFCK 0.41
NBK 0.21

Only the Indian banks remain pending


NBK & HFCK ?????


Those two are on ICU
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Horton
#1504 Posted : Friday, March 23, 2018 1:39:59 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q4 2017, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 30.1 Actual 29.1
EQTY 25.3 Actual 26.9
COOP 18.1 Actual 16.4
DTB 10.6
BBK 10.1 Actual 10.4
SCBK 8.9 Actual 10
I&M 8.1
NIC 5.6 Actual 5.6
CFC 5.5 Actual 5.4
HFCK 0.41
NBK 0.21

Only the Indian banks remain pending



We have indian banks listed?
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littledove
#1505 Posted : Friday, March 23, 2018 1:42:18 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 903
Location: sky
Horton wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q4 2017, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 30.1 Actual 29.1
EQTY 25.3 Actual 26.9
COOP 18.1 Actual 16.4
DTB 10.6
BBK 10.1 Actual 10.4
SCBK 8.9 Actual 10
I&M 8.1
NIC 5.6 Actual 5.6
CFC 5.5 Actual 5.4
HFCK 0.41
NBK 0.21

Only the Indian banks remain pending



We have indian banks listed?

may be dtb and i&m
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
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murchr
#1506 Posted : Friday, March 23, 2018 4:51:29 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q4 2017, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 30.1 Actual 29.1
EQTY 25.3 Actual 26.9
COOP 18.1 Actual 16.4
DTB 10.6
BBK 10.1 Actual 10.4
SCBK 8.9 Actual 10
I&M 8.1
NIC 5.6 Actual 5.6
CFC 5.5 Actual 5.4
HFCK 0.41
NBK 0.21

Only the Indian banks remain pending


@Obiero why did you underestimate SCBK that much?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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Angelica _ann
#1507 Posted : Friday, March 23, 2018 4:55:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,908
murchr wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q4 2017, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 30.1 Actual 29.1
EQTY 25.3 Actual 26.9
COOP 18.1 Actual 16.4
DTB 10.6
BBK 10.1 Actual 10.4
SCBK 8.9 Actual 10
I&M 8.1
NIC 5.6 Actual 5.6
CFC 5.5 Actual 5.4
HFCK 0.41
NBK 0.21

Only the Indian banks remain pending


@Obiero why did you underestimate SCBK that much?


Coop Bank overestimated smile smile smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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obiero
#1508 Posted : Sunday, March 25, 2018 11:37:20 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,547
Location: nairobi
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q4 2017, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 30.1 Actual 29.1
EQTY 25.3 Actual 26.9
COOP 18.1 Actual 16.4
DTB 10.6 Actual 10.1
BBK 10.1 Actual 10.4
SCBK 8.9 Actual 10
I&M 8.1
NIC 5.6 Actual 5.6
CFC 5.5 Actual 5.4
HFCK 0.41
NBK 0.21

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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obiero
#1509 Posted : Sunday, March 25, 2018 11:38:58 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,547
Location: nairobi
murchr wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q4 2017, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 30.1 Actual 29.1
EQTY 25.3 Actual 26.9
COOP 18.1 Actual 16.4
DTB 10.6
BBK 10.1 Actual 10.4
SCBK 8.9 Actual 10
I&M 8.1
NIC 5.6 Actual 5.6
CFC 5.5 Actual 5.4
HFCK 0.41
NBK 0.21

Only the Indian banks remain pending


@Obiero why did you underestimate SCBK that much?

It's not me but TEB

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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obiero
#1510 Posted : Wednesday, March 28, 2018 7:46:04 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,547
Location: nairobi
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q4 2017, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 30.1 Actual 29.1
EQTY 25.3 Actual 26.9
COOP 18.1 Actual 16.4
DTB 10.6 Actual 10.1
BBK 10.1 Actual 10.4
SCBK 8.9 Actual 10
I&M 8.1 Actual 7.8
NIC 5.6 Actual 5.6
CFC 5.5 Actual 5.4
HFCK 0.41
NBK 0.21 Actual 0.78

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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obiero
#1511 Posted : Wednesday, March 28, 2018 8:55:44 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,547
Location: nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q4 2017, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 30.1 Actual 29.1
EQTY 25.3 Actual 26.9
COOP 18.1 Actual 16.4
DTB 10.6
BBK 10.1 Actual 10.4
SCBK 8.9 Actual 10
I&M 8.1
NIC 5.6 Actual 5.6
CFC 5.5 Actual 5.4
HFCK 0.41
NBK 0.21

Only the Indian banks remain pending

Terrible for the last two
NBK & HFCK ?????


Those two are on ICU


HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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obiero
#1512 Posted : Wednesday, March 28, 2018 9:46:13 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,547
Location: nairobi
Only HF remains pending.. Meanwhile Q1 results shall be released by the exchange bar in the next few days.. Banking in Kenya is undergoing tough times and the results show it.. Further reduction of the CBR last week doesn’t help matters

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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obiero
#1513 Posted : Thursday, March 29, 2018 7:39:39 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,547
Location: nairobi
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q4 2017, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 30.1 Actual 29.1
EQTY 25.3 Actual 26.9
COOP 18.1 Actual 16.4
DTB 10.6 Actual 10.1
BBK 10.1 Actual 10.4
SCBK 8.9 Actual 10
I&M 8.1 Actual 7.8
NIC 5.6 Actual 5.6
CFC 5.5 Actual 5.4
HFCK 0.41 Actual 0.39
NBK 0.21 Actual 0.78

HF bonus share 1:10 plus dividend of KES 0.35.. Generous!

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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obiero
#1514 Posted : Thursday, April 05, 2018 10:29:42 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,547
Location: nairobi
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2018, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 6.8
EQTY 6.4
COOP 4.1
SCBK 2.8
DTB 2.7
BBK 2.3
I&M 1.7
CFC 1.5
NIC 1.2
HFCK 0.18
NBK 0.14

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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obiero
#1515 Posted : Saturday, April 14, 2018 10:43:04 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,547
Location: nairobi

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Ericsson
#1516 Posted : Saturday, April 14, 2018 2:06:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:


I thought HY for KQ ends on June 30 after they adjusted their full year to end on December 31.
We still have 77 days to end of Half year
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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obiero
#1517 Posted : Saturday, April 14, 2018 2:20:11 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,547
Location: nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:


I thought HY for KQ ends on June 30 after they adjusted their full year to end on December 31.
We still have 77 days to end of Half year

@Ericsson yes. this is a forecast by the exchange bar

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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obiero
#1518 Posted : Tuesday, May 08, 2018 2:52:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,547
Location: nairobi
Next week the Q1 wheels start turning.. Still bearish. The green one Thursday 17th

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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obiero
#1519 Posted : Tuesday, May 08, 2018 3:05:54 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,547
Location: nairobi
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2018, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 6.6
EQTY 6.4
COOP 4.1
SCBK 2.8
DTB 2.7
BBK 2.3
I&M 1.7
CFC 1.5
NIC 1.2
HFCK 0.18
NBK 0.14

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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heri
#1520 Posted : Tuesday, May 08, 2018 8:05:04 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/14/2011
Posts: 834
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2018, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 6.6
EQTY 6.4
COOP 4.1
SCBK 2.8
DTB 2.7
BBK 2.3
I&M 1.7
CFC 1.5
NIC 1.2
HFCK 0.18
NBK 0.14
so all will be lower by 7% compared to 2017?

Q1 2017, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 6.9 Actual 6.6
EQTY 6.8 Actual 6.9
COOP 4.8 Actual 4.5
SCBK 3.4 Actual 3.0
DTB 2.9 Actual 2.6
BBK 2.8 Actual 2.5
I&M 2.1 Actual 2.08
CFC 1.6 Actual 1.5
NIC 1.5 Actual 1.3
HFCK 0.4 Actual 0.14
NBK 0.4 Actual 0.084
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