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Realities of Forex Investment
qw25041985
#741 Posted : Saturday, February 19, 2011 11:08:48 AM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
A summary of the USD index . We are currently at a critical area.a drop below and close of the blue rising trendline will be very bearish a violent.

Enjoy the image..

http://chart.ly/uploads/oqih2iq.png?1297989160
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
qw25041985
#742 Posted : Saturday, February 19, 2011 11:10:46 AM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
kasheshe wrote:
Qw,

It appears the stars are all lined up for a long bear run for Eur/Usd. The break out south has already began. I have had some sell trades for some time and I will hold on to ride on the forming bear trend. I almost exited as the bull momentun appeared too unrelenting.
smile


LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOLL .bear run when we just closed above the bull flag on the daliy chart...e/u (eur/usd) now targets 1.4 level...
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
qw25041985
#743 Posted : Saturday, February 19, 2011 11:13:46 AM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
[quote=qw25041985]Things DONOT look so good for the dollar .

USD Index Suggests Downside May Be In Store For The Buck

Fundamentals suggest the greenback should be trading firmer considering mostly positive U.S. data surprises, improving growth outlooks, and inflows from emerging markets to developed economies but the buck has not been able to maintain its recent gains. The buck was sold today on the back of continued equity market upside and disappointing weekly jobless claims. Price action has led to a number of technical developments in the USD Index and EUR/USD that suggests near term dollar selling may continue.

USD INDEX

The technical picture in the USD Index seems quite bearish as today’s close under 78.25 bear flag support that projects a measured move objective towards the Dec. ’09 74.00 lows.

Look at image below

http://www.actionforex.c...forexcom/2011021811.gif

EUR/USD

EUR/USD is close to confirming the bearish dollar outlook suggested by the USD Index - hourly closes above 1.3625 declining wedge resistance suggests a measured move objective towards the 1.3900 figure.

Image below :

http://www.actionforex.c...forexcom/2011021812.gif[/quote]


WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOWWWWWWW !!!!!!!!!!! smile smile smile smile I must say i am pleased by this commentary.Worked out so perfectly and gave me some good pips.@ hisah . i hope you came of it with something....I mean one pattern complementing another pattern...
hope there'll be follow through next week....
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
hisah
#744 Posted : Saturday, February 19, 2011 6:14:28 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Hmmm... Someone sold a large eurodollar contract - 100k contract for march 90 day euro futures. That's a sizable bet for the euro to decline next month.
This might just tempt me to start selling the eur/usd cross again.
Something else to note, net spec longs doubled GBP contracts this week. This is hinting to a short eur/gbp trade and long trades in gbp/chf & gbp/jpy pairs.

@qw, i'm more bullish on gbp than eur in europe and that is why i never buy the eur apart from the euro debt crisis. This is not to say that gbp is better, all G10 econs are saddled with debt to the neck. So fx this days is about trading between ugly sisters pairings...

http://www.zerohedge.com...on%20havenstein/EDH1.jpg
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Ceinz
#745 Posted : Sunday, February 20, 2011 8:42:48 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
AUD/USD Weekly Outlook
After dipping to 0.9943, AUD/USD rebounded strongly from there. Recent outlook in AUD/USD has been quite mixed as it's been clearly losing upside momentum as seen in bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Nevertheless, AUD/USD is still having strong support from 55 days EMA and refused to stay below this support for multiple attempt. Recent up trend would still continue further and above 1.0119 will target another high above 1.0254. On the downside, break of 0.9943 support is needed to be the first signal of topping. Otherwise, we won't turn bearish yet.

Action fx

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook
GBP/JPY extended recent rise to as high as 135.48 last week and the close above 134.19 resistance suggests that the cross has bottomed out in medium term already. Initial bias remains on the upside this week and further rise should now be seen towards 137.75 resistance and then 38.2% retracement of 163.05 to 125.48 at 138.83. On the downside, break of 132.48 resistance turned support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, we'll stay bullish even case of retreat.

Action fx

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook
EUR/CHF's fall from 1.3203 extended further to as low as 1.2894 last week and touched 38.2% retracement of 1.2401 to 1.3203 at 1.2897. The development, with daily MACD crossed below signal line, suggests that rebound from 1.2401 is over. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for deeper decline to 1.2779 support next. On the upside, above 1.3028 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But risk will now remain on the downside as long as 1.3203 resistance holds.

[url=http://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/eurchf-outlook/eur%10chf-weekly-outlook-20110219133643/[/url]
“small step for man”
qw25041985
#746 Posted : Sunday, February 20, 2011 3:30:11 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
[quote=hisah]Hmmm... Someone sold a large eurodollar contract - 100k contract for march 90 day euro futures. That's a sizable bet for the euro to decline next month.
This might just tempt me to start selling the eur/usd cross again.
Something else to note, net spec longs doubled GBP contracts this week. This is hinting to a short eur/gbp trade and long trades in gbp/chf & gbp/jpy pairs.

@qw, i'm more bullish on gbp than eur in europe and that is why i never buy the eur apart from the euro debt crisis. This is not to say that gbp is better, all G10 econs are saddled with debt to the neck. So fx this days is about trading between ugly sisters pairings...

http://www.zerohedge.com...n%20havenstein/EDH1.jpg[/quote]


i know you follow S&P 500 allot and i think there's no stopping this bus. a > 20% rise in the index without e correction LOl ! thats a first....and most of the stocks are pre resesion levels...

check-out the link....

http://jutiagroup.com/20...rkets-have-more-upside-–-and-gold-some-uncertainty/?refresh

am also bullish on gbp if inflation keeps rising we might see some monetary policy action ( rates) and that good for the currency.....Traders might be factoring in such a move later on bytheway !!!!!!
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
fxtech
#747 Posted : Monday, February 21, 2011 10:57:02 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/31/2010
Posts: 325
Location: NAIROBI
wow.. new week. Im bull EURAUD@1,3515 TP 1,3585 SL 1,3460,
AUDUSD watchng closely
Discipline & sticking to your strategy even when you loosing defines great traders.
fxtech
#748 Posted : Monday, February 21, 2011 5:43:51 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/31/2010
Posts: 325
Location: NAIROBI
possibilty that AUDUSD might hit 1,5000 in th medium term if it breaks n holds above 1,2000
Discipline & sticking to your strategy even when you loosing defines great traders.
hisah
#749 Posted : Monday, February 21, 2011 10:56:48 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@Qw - as long as the global debt continues to inflate, i expect the global markets to plunge badly. The grinding 7 month rally has been on thin volume & extremely overbought. This one wil be a spectacle when the reverse gear is engaged. And that wil hit all markets! So be ready for a $ squeeze while gold & silver break out to new highs.
I expect the Irish friday elections to spook the euro going forward coz the new faces are likely to be anti ECB & bank bailout.
With growing arabic unrest, i expect brent oil futures to bypass $120 mark! And ERC will have no choice, but to abandon the fuel price control. KQ will break below 40 - down to 30 in the process.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
fxtech
#750 Posted : Tuesday, February 22, 2011 7:30:13 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/31/2010
Posts: 325
Location: NAIROBI
EURAUD TP hit @ +60pips, today I'm trading eurusd

BEARISH EURUSD@1.3588 TP 1.3518 SL 1.3625

BULLISH USDCHF@ 0.9488 TP 0.9560 SL 0.9440

I will be watching the trade very very closely just in case.

Discipline & sticking to your strategy even when you loosing defines great traders.
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