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Law Capping interest rates
Ngogoyo
#691 Posted : Thursday, August 25, 2016 4:03:26 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/22/2011
Posts: 561
Location: House
MaichBlack wrote:
wukan wrote:
What you may not realize is that we are in the beginning of a credit crunch. If your employer was relying on overdraft facility to pay your salaries at the end of the month start negotiating with your landlord mapema mapema.

You are talking to Kenyans!

They don't realize until it is way past the event.

Of course by Kenyans I don't mean all. Just most.


so you mean Kenyan economy is controlled by banks only?

I call it cow shit

So the only employer in kenya is a bank? What if after i get laid off, i approach the bank for the 14.5% and i establish a business that can even create and absorb the jobs laid off?

I can even bet on this...within a 6 month timeframe, the market will stabilize

Wanjiku will get his loans at lower rate and deposit at favorable rate and banks will improvise to ensure moral profits are reported.

You @Maich & @Wukan are just scared, its okay to be scared but stop fearmongering.

The banks have big asset base that's why they declare huge profits (oooh and they need to considering those assets)...but i ask, how did they accumulate these assets? Is it not by charging exorbitant rates to Wanjiku

Banks behaving like high school students is a NO. they will not get their way

I was supporting them but now if they decide to not accept the deposits and loan to wanjiku, wanjiku will go to FOSA & saccos to deposit her cash and borrow from there

And that will be the rise of that sector....well until they decide to act like banks after say 20yrs from now.
watesh
#692 Posted : Thursday, August 25, 2016 4:04:07 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/10/2014
Posts: 992
Location: Kenya
MaichBlack wrote:
Those who have just started their course work on an MBA you are very lucky.

Just watch and take notes. In the next 8 months or one year your thesis will be complete. You just need to do a bit of panel beating, put it in an academic language and present it!

Applause Applause Applause Applause Applause great idea
maka
#693 Posted : Thursday, August 25, 2016 4:12:32 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Ngogoyo wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
wukan wrote:
What you may not realize is that we are in the beginning of a credit crunch. If your employer was relying on overdraft facility to pay your salaries at the end of the month start negotiating with your landlord mapema mapema.

You are talking to Kenyans!

They don't realize until it is way past the event.

Of course by Kenyans I don't mean all. Just most.


so you mean Kenyan economy is controlled by banks only?

I call it cow shit

So the only employer in kenya is a bank? What if after i get laid off, i approach the bank for the 14.5% and i establish a business that can even create and absorb the jobs laid off?

I can even bet on this...within a 6 month timeframe, the market will stabilize

Wanjiku will get his loans at lower rate and deposit at favorable rate and banks will improvise to ensure moral profits are reported.

You @Maich & @Wukan are just scared, its okay to be scared but stop fearmongering.

The banks have big asset base that's why they declare huge profits (oooh and they need to considering those assets)...but i ask, how did they accumulate these assets? Is it not by charging exorbitant rates to Wanjiku

Banks behaving like high school students is a NO. they will not get their way

I was supporting them but now if they decide to not accept the deposits and loan to wanjiku, wanjiku will go to FOSA & saccos to deposit her cash and borrow from there

And that will be the rise of that sector....well until they decide to act like banks after say 20yrs from now.


Well said....
possunt quia posse videntur
obiero
#694 Posted : Thursday, August 25, 2016 4:34:21 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,261
Location: nairobi
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
wukan wrote:
What you may not realize is that we are in the beginning of a credit crunch. If your employer was relying on overdraft facility to pay your salaries at the end of the month start negotiating with your landlord mapema mapema.

You are talking to Kenyans!

They don't realize until it is way past the event.

Of course by Kenyans I don't mean all. Just most.

Banks will squeeze this one to the wall. Ask me later on what I mean

I know what you mean. I guess. In one year, this law will be reversed or watered down. And by then Wanjiku will not be having bank shares.

I watched Donde yesterday on KTN and he opened up my eyes
COOP, IMH, KQ, MTNU
murchr
#695 Posted : Thursday, August 25, 2016 4:36:55 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Ngogoyo wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
wukan wrote:
What you may not realize is that we are in the beginning of a credit crunch. If your employer was relying on overdraft facility to pay your salaries at the end of the month start negotiating with your landlord mapema mapema.

You are talking to Kenyans!

They don't realize until it is way past the event.

Of course by Kenyans I don't mean all. Just most.


so you mean Kenyan economy is controlled by banks only? No, but most employers bank their money in Kenyan banks and have access to credit/overdraft facilities. If these are denied...

I call it cow shit

So the only employer in kenya is a bank? What if after i get laid off, i approach the bank for the 14.5% and i establish a business that can even create and absorb the jobs laid off? Why do you think the only employer in Kenya is a bank? If you get laid off, you will not have access to any credit facility unless you see a shylock

I can even bet on this...within a 6 month timeframe, the market will stabilize

Wanjiku will get his loans at lower rate and deposit at favorable rate and banks will improvise to ensure moral profits are reported. From who?

You @Maich & @Wukan are just scared, its okay to be scared but stop fearmongering.

The banks have big asset base that's why they declare huge profits (oooh and they need to considering those assets)...but i ask, how did they accumulate these assets? Is it not by charging exorbitant rates to Wanjiku

Banks behaving like high school students is a NO. they will not get their way

I was supporting them but now if they decide to not accept the deposits and loan to wanjiku, wanjiku will go to FOSA & saccos to deposit her cash and borrow from there

And that will be the rise of that sector....well until they decide to act like banks after say 20yrs from now.

"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Obi 1 Kanobi
#696 Posted : Thursday, August 25, 2016 4:54:00 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/23/2008
Posts: 3,017
Gadaffi wrote:
If am not wrong CBK had scheduled to hold its MPC meeting in Sept. I strongly believe CBR will be reviewed upwards. Hii maneno ya 14.5% is simply not workable.

setting the CBR is not an abitrary process, there is a science to it. if the banks withhold funds from wanjiku and turn to govt securities, then the interest rate on the securities will go down due to more money chasing less goods. And the MPR whose major component among others is the interest on govt securities will likewise go down.
"The purpose of bureaucracy is to compensate for incompetence and lack of discipline." James Collins
Obi 1 Kanobi
#697 Posted : Thursday, August 25, 2016 5:09:49 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/23/2008
Posts: 3,017
The more I think about this bill the more I like it.

Unlike many who post out of panic, my take is the banks will immediately start looking to shore up the lost earnings from high interest rates.

Bankers have been very lazy in the way they allocate their capital, they have been getting free money from wanjiku and lending to the govt, with the other bit lent to corporates they can and anything left lent to SME's and Wanjiku and margin spreads of over 18%. The expensive loans have been used to average up the interest return/sh at say 14%

This changes now, banks will want to maintain their current average interest income return per shilling atleast coz they have to pay higher interest expense. The best way to do this is to lend to wanjiku at CBR+4% and leave out the lending to govt which was at CBR-?%

The govt will therefore have to source for funds from elsewhere.

Great bill, everyone wins.
"The purpose of bureaucracy is to compensate for incompetence and lack of discipline." James Collins
Wakanyugi
#698 Posted : Thursday, August 25, 2016 5:15:21 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/3/2007
Posts: 1,635
Obi 1 Kanobi wrote:
The more I think about this bill the more I like it.

Unlike many who post out of panic, my take is the banks will immediately start looking to shore up the lost earnings from high interest rates.

Bankers have been very lazy in the way they allocate their capital, they have been getting free money from wanjiku and lending to the govt, with the other bit lent to corporates they can and anything left lent to SME's and Wanjiku and margin spreads of over 18%. The expensive loans have been used to average up the interest return/sh at say 14%

This changes now, banks will want to maintain their current average interest income return per shilling atleast coz they have to pay higher interest expense. The best way to do this is to lend to wanjiku at CBR+4% and leave out the lending to govt which was at CBR-?%

The govt will therefore have to source for funds from elsewhere.

Great bill, everyone wins.


Pray Pray Pray You took the words out of my keyboard.
"The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)
moneydust
#699 Posted : Thursday, August 25, 2016 5:39:27 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/31/2007
Posts: 304
Obi 1 Kanobi wrote:
The more I think about this bill the more I like it.

Unlike many who post out of panic, my take is the banks will immediately start looking to shore up the lost earnings from high interest rates.

Bankers have been very lazy in the way they allocate their capital, they have been getting free money from wanjiku and lending to the govt, with the other bit lent to corporates they can and anything left lent to SME's and Wanjiku and margin spreads of over 18%. The expensive loans have been used to average up the interest return/sh at say 14%

This changes now, banks will want to maintain their current average interest income return per shilling atleast coz they have to pay higher interest expense. The best way to do this is to lend to wanjiku at CBR+4% and leave out the lending to govt which was at CBR-?%

The govt will therefore have to source for funds from elsewhere.

Great bill, everyone wins.


You are looking at everything upside down.Banks take deposits so that they can lend,if they cannot lend or invest the money in government securities,then,they would decline to take the deposit.Previously they would just offer a lower rate of interest for those deposits and life would go on.This discretion has been removed with the bill.So now is take it or leave it,there is nothing in between.
So banks don't have to lend if they feel they are going to lose their money and consequently don't have to take deposits if there is no one to lend to.
snifadog
#700 Posted : Thursday, August 25, 2016 5:46:28 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/6/2016
Posts: 167
Location: Nairobi
..if they cannot lend or invest the money in government securities,then,they would decline to take the deposit..

what other business will they be doing if they stop taking deposits and lending? they will stop being banks? maybe just maybe they will stop undermining the role of the CRBs now
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