Nabwire wrote:Murchr the bubble will burst when supply outstrips demand, that is when people no longer feel the need to live and work in Nairobi. If your sell price was 250 m an acre, then you start getting best offers of 150, 100, 75, that will be the indication that the bubble is bursting. How long before it bursts is the question, but there is no way that a price of 250m/acre is sustainable, even Beverly Hills is not that expensive!!
There are so many other factors that will determine if the bubble will burst or not. What is constant is the land mass of Kenya, the other variables will keep changing. Inflation, population growth, and the constant demand for shelter and expansion of industry.
To me I compare Nairobi to Newyork where an apartment costs about $1 000 000 (+/-) A block sits on about 3/4 or 1 acre of land. Zoning will help stabilize prices (you know what i mean, create cities as you and I know it and have a population limit). The other thing Kenyans will first have to accept that they cant all own land as a right. Everyone should have a decent shelter but not land.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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