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Realities of Forex Investment
Ceinz
#1281 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2011 1:30:21 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Yesterday's conference call between the leaders of Germany, France and Greece offered few new developments about the debt crisis solution, and yet market sentiment has managed to stabilize; with European and US equity markets closing strongly higher and the Nikkei trading +1.8% today. Much like previous statements, Merkel, Sarkozy and Papandreou committed to implementing the bailout agreements as soon as possible in a bid to allay market fears. Clearly their stand had the desired effect; markets have assumed that this declaration of faith in Greece from the Eurozone’s two most influential leaders means that the next tranche of EU/IMF funds will be paid out without further questioning. EURUSD is now trading comfortably above 1.3700 (having hit an overnight high of 1.3783), but the situation remains fragile, so we cannot rule out another setback.
-ac-markets.com-
“small step for man”
hisah
#1282 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2011 5:02:31 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Unbelievable kicking of the debt can down the road by ECB... ECB to Lend Dollars to Euro-Area Banks - And I thought the ponzinomics had seen the worst of crappy days... Absolutely broken markets. There will be nothing to save when the system dives off the cliff in 3yrs time!


ECB wrote:

The Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) has decided, in coordination with the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and the Swiss National Bank, to conduct three US dollar liquidity-providing operations with a maturity of approximately three months covering the end of the year. These operations will be conducted in addition to the ongoing weekly seven-day operations announced on 10 May 2010.


http://www.bloomberg.com...to-euro-area-banks.html


The bullentin from SNB --> http://www.snb.ch/en/mmr...e/pre_20110915_2.en.pdf


$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#1283 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2011 5:08:02 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Gold bugs, the warning was the H&S pattern on 4hr chart yesterday - the neckline 1795 is totally broken. The monthly candlestick is forming an inverted hammer. Gold will be a sell the whole of October as the central banks flood banks with useless dollar liquidity. Though dollars are being flooded, gold cannot rally since it was a defensive play with eurozone default being the drive.

Obviously my USDCHF long trade is now scrapped after this coordinated dollar hurricane!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#1284 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2011 5:08:15 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
X
Cde Monomotapa
#1285 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2011 5:13:45 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
@hisah meaning they view that the USD is less a piece of paper than EUR? What's all this.

I've got it! The American banksters don't trust their Euro counterparts with their USDs. Govt.to the rescue..AGAIN. Thanks.
hisah
#1286 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2011 10:30:31 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@Cde - These moves are very nasty currency wars. They usually lead to real wars Sad
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#1287 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2011 10:55:52 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
hisah wrote:
@Cde - These moves are very nasty currency wars. They usually lead to real wars Sad

WW3 is a given at some point mosdef. I expect to die rich nevertheless smile
Cde Monomotapa
#1288 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2011 10:58:04 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
In other news.. China attaches strings to its proposed Eurozone Buy-out (veiled as bail-out)
Cde Monomotapa
#1289 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2011 11:13:51 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
In other news.. China attaches strings to its proposed Eurozone Buy-out (veiled as bail-out)


http://m.cnbc.com/us_news/44534563/1

Wind of change.
Ceinz
#1290 Posted : Tuesday, September 20, 2011 2:00:06 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Ceinz wrote:
Piggy back trade, short gold @ 1808, SL 1830, target 1730.


Trade was exited at b/e. Moral: In this uncertain times closely trail those trades n avoid greens turning to reds.
“small step for man”
Ceinz
#1291 Posted : Tuesday, September 20, 2011 2:03:57 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
The headlines this morning are dominated by news that ratings agency S&P has downgraded Italy’s long-term debt to A from A+, maintaining an outlook negative. This comes as an additional blow to confidence as critical talks between the troika (EU, ECB and IMF) and Greece are already putting pressure on EURUSD and equity markets. The government announced that a further conference call between the sides would take place later today (17:00 GMT), with results of the talks anticipated as early as Wednesday. It seems from these early talks that the troika is willing to release the next instalment of EFSF cash to Greece in exchange for further austerity measures; in line with the speculation that had been swirling yesterday morning. For now, the official message is that talks have been constructive, but in worrying contrast a story published in Greek newspapers suggests that PM Papandreou is planning a referendum on Eurozone exit, (uuwii) with a bill possibly being pushed through parliament in the coming days. Were it true, such a scenario would certainly throw a spanner in the works and have a devastating effect on financial markets, but thus far the story has not gained much traction.
“small step for man”
hisah
#1292 Posted : Tuesday, September 20, 2011 6:13:46 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ceinz wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
Piggy back trade, short gold @ 1808, SL 1830, target 1730.


Trade was exited at b/e. Moral: In this uncertain times closely trail those trades n avoid greens turning to reds.


Yap. My gold short is still alive, but SL revised down at breakeven (1820). With the EU headlines getting cranky by the day, it is tricky to short gold on TA basis. At the moment market rumour is Slovenia might default this week...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#1293 Posted : Tuesday, September 20, 2011 6:41:26 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Interesting to see EURUSD is still bid despite fitch commenting negatively about Greece...Liar
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#1294 Posted : Wednesday, September 21, 2011 10:55:45 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
Interesting to see EURUSD is still bid despite fitch commenting negatively about Greece...Liar

And after stubbornly ignoring the foul news, EURUSD plunges 200 pips for the day. Commodo crosses have also been knocked about by USD.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
tonicasert
#1295 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 7:33:21 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
@ hisah,

Which broker do you use? Do they slip/hunt your stop losses like more than usual? Thinking of changing mine.

Cheers!
hisah
#1296 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 3:13:38 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
tonicasert wrote:
@ hisah,

Which broker do you use? Do they slip/hunt your stop losses like more than usual? Thinking of changing mine.

Cheers!


FXCM... By the way they were fined the other day for slippage malpractice...

The trick is to put 2 positions, one with a stop, the other without... Sharks lurk everywhere, so I know what you mean...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Ceinz
#1297 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 3:34:52 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:

And after stubbornly ignoring the foul news, EURUSD plunges 200 pips for the day. Commodo crosses have also been knocked about by USD.


oops, left some buy limits and forgot to remove the on aud/usd, badly hit.Sad
“small step for man”
tonicasert
#1298 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 3:40:59 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
hisah wrote:
tonicasert wrote:
@ hisah,

Which broker do you use? Do they slip/hunt your stop losses like more than usual? Thinking of changing mine.

Cheers!


FXCM... By the way they were fined the other day for slippage malpractice...

The trick is to put 2 positions, one with a stop, the other without... Sharks lurk everywhere, so I know what you mean...


OK. I started with FXCM sometime back but didnt like the experience - too much slippage on quotes. Guess there's no "genuine" broker. Cheers lakini!
hisah
#1299 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 4:26:24 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@Ceinz - remember margin call... A lot of traders will sweat blood with this volatility...

EURUSD - another 200pips plunge today...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#1300 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 6:30:28 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
This LIBOR 3mth chart confirms the Dollar index has turned bullish on the daily chart! Also check out the weekly chart to see the 2008 and 2010 patterns repeating the dollar bull signal. The dollar usually turns bullish for 3 - 6 months before it's hit by devaluation from the fed.

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$libor3
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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