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Estimated 71 Billion Barrels...
hisah
#611 Posted : Friday, December 14, 2012 6:28:07 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
murchr wrote:
The Top 5 Oil & Gas Plays for 2012

Quote:
2012 has been a stellar year for oil and gas. From East Africa to North America, new technology, major new discoveries, an unparalleled appetite for exploration and a metamorphosing perception of risk have changed the playing field.

We’re looking at potential rather than existing production, and here are our Top 5 picks for this year:

Turkana County, Kenya

We have to start with Kenya, the biggest success story of the year.

In March, the UK’s Tullow Oil and Canada’s Africa Oil Corp. discovered 100 meters of oil in the Ngamia-1 well. The euphoria was in part because this discovery was made on the very first try in the very first well. Stocks shot up to record highs as a result.

The euphoria has not abated. In late November, the same duo made another find of 30 meters of oil in the nearby Twiga-1 well.

September also saw Kenya strike 53 meters of natural gas in its first-ever offshore find in the Mbawa-1 well, off the coast of Malindi. US-based Apache Corp. owns 50% the well in a consortium with a handful of other companies. They’re still digging, hoping that going deeper will reveal the oil.

The bigger picture, however, is that only the surface has been scratched in terms of exploration. The East Africa Rift is believed to hold over 70 billion barrels of untapped crude oil, while offshore Kenya, Tanzania and Mozambique have a joint estimated 250 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. There may be offshore oil, too. The oil discoveries in Kenya so far have been confined to one massive basin, and there are six more.

In addition to the size of the prize here, Kenya is favorable for other reasons as well: It offers relative political stability in the midst of a rather restless Africa; it offers attractive fiscal terms; it offers easy access to export markets; and it has an appetite for infrastructure that is hard to beat.

While 2013 may see some changes in the regulatory environment that could be less favorable, as for 2012, Kenya remains THE number one East African play in terms of potential. Next year will give us a better idea of commercial viability.



http://oilprice.com/Ener...Gas-Plays-for-2012.html


Asante smile

I discovered a bit late a correlation on MSCI KE index & FTSE KE indices on where the money flow is being bet to go to in EA. Thus the selective crazy rally of some stocks despite the nasty macros that messed up the EA econs last year & spilling over into 2012.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mlennyma
#612 Posted : Friday, December 14, 2012 8:30:14 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
Wise investor vote for any other person except uhuru & ruto they will doom the economy.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
jonna
#613 Posted : Friday, December 14, 2012 10:23:14 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/16/2011
Posts: 196
Location: united states of africa
mlennyma wrote:
Wise investor vote for any other person except uhuru & ruto they will doom the economy.


And what about those investors like me who are anticipating that you people as usual vote for Uhuru and/or Ruto so that we can scoop stocks at NSE for nothing then hold for lets say three years?
Energy.
jonna
#614 Posted : Friday, December 14, 2012 10:34:20 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/16/2011
Posts: 196
Location: united states of africa
Nabwire wrote:
OK I understand that the governments responsibility is to its people, but at the same time as an investor, you invest with intentions of making money, would you guys really put in your money knowing that 87% doesnt belong to the company?? Plus 40% tax rate? Doesnt make sense, I was having this conversation with someone who said that for this exact reason, he cannot invest in oil stocks in developing countries. He basically told me I'll lose money if I invest in AOIFF, and the minute GoK starts making such demands I'll know he was right. No one wants to put their money where over three quarters is taken off from the start, you havent even paid employees or set aside funds for prospecting. Now im really worried with this AOIFF stock.


Just chill.
AOIFF will bounce back. People have been selling the stock because of the tax season and also the fiscal cliff but if the Republicans and Democrats get their house in order which i believe they will, then things will go back to normal. Am waiting for it to go all the way to 4$. And as for the demands that gok was proposing, it will only affect new entrants to the exploration business in Kenya.
Energy.
Mukiri
#615 Posted : Friday, December 14, 2012 11:24:49 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
I'm curious tho', other than the bull run in the NSE, how else can one benefit early from these new oil/gas discoveries?

Proverbs 19:21
sentinel prime
#616 Posted : Friday, December 14, 2012 2:12:25 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 11/12/2012
Posts: 92
there is a good chance oil will below $50 in a decade when fracking comes into full force. In the 1970 oil touched $100 and by 1999 it touched $10!!!
this commodity boom will come to an end.

the next crazy bull market will be led by cheap oil and natgas as the chief energy sources.

by then maybe we wont even be able to give ours for free.
Obi 1 Kanobi
#617 Posted : Friday, December 14, 2012 4:12:43 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/23/2008
Posts: 3,017
sentinel prime wrote:
there is a good chance oil will below $50 in a decade when fracking comes into full force. In the 1970 oil touched $100 and by 1999 it touched $10!!!
this commodity boom will come to an end.

the next crazy bull market will be led by cheap oil and natgas as the chief energy sources.

by then maybe we wont even be able to give ours for free.


No chance of that happening. The Brics are nearing boiling point and Africa is just taking off. The appetite for oil will continue to rise in the developing world even if the developed world's consumption shrinks.
"The purpose of bureaucracy is to compensate for incompetence and lack of discipline." James Collins
Mastermind
#618 Posted : Friday, December 14, 2012 5:45:39 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/25/2012
Posts: 1,624
Location: Langley
mlennyma wrote:
Wise investor vote for any other person except uhuru & ruto they will doom the economy.

Ditto.
If you have built castles in the air, your work need not be lost; that is where they should be. Now put the foundations under them.
sentinel prime
#619 Posted : Friday, December 14, 2012 5:53:07 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 11/12/2012
Posts: 92
the USA will be energy dependent in 10 yrs and one of the largest exporters of oil together with Canada and Norway.

opec will have no much power to control prices. middle eastern countries will go into deep economic decline.

though bric countries will continue to support demand, oil will no longer be the prime source of energy, natural gas is expected to supplant oil as the chief energy resource of the next century.
murchr
#620 Posted : Friday, December 14, 2012 6:03:08 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
sentinel prime wrote:
the USA will be energy dependent in 10 yrs and one of the largest exporters of oil together with Canada and Norway.

opec will have no much power to control prices. middle eastern countries will go into deep economic decline.

though bric countries will continue to support demand, oil will no longer be the prime source of energy, natural gas is expected to supplant oil as the chief energy resource of the next century.


Even experts in the economy and oil industry doubt that study that u just qouted. Another thing. The US has already recognized that China and Asia in gen will be the next heavy weights. The future is interesting.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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