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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/13/2011 Posts: 5,964
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Stop being naive guys. Show me one country that was built with hard cash.
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Rank: Member Joined: 9/29/2010 Posts: 679 Location: nairobi
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Cde Monomotapa wrote:Stop being naive guys. Show me one country that was built with hard cash. read your history, when did nations start borrowing to finance their deficits? your assertion is that NO nation grew other than from debt?
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Rank: Member Joined: 9/29/2010 Posts: 679 Location: nairobi
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from wiki
HistoryThe first ever government bond was issued by the English government in 1693 to raise money to fund a war against France. It was in the form of a tontine. Later, governments in Europe started issuing perpetual bonds (bonds with no maturity date) to fund wars and other government spending. The use of perpetual bonds ceased in the 20th century, and currently governments issue bonds of limited duration.
so to answer your question...every prosperous nation before 1693
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/4/2009 Posts: 700 Location: Nairobi
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hisah wrote:Thanks @scubidu. I had forgotten the name of this thread. scubidu wrote:USD 2.0 Billion 4-Year Fixed Rate; Coupon: 1.125% - August 18, 2010 http://treasury.worldban...billionGlobal_Bond.html
But the curious thing is that all the USD bonds before and after it had a basis for their pricing; a spread over a corresponding US Treasury Note. However, the August 2010 auction had no pricing details and the coupon rate was significantly lower than all the others (you just need to compare the coupon rates on the April and May 2010 issues; The rate on the 3-year bond in April was considerably higher than the 4-year). Nobody saw this nor questioned this world bank houdini act. See no evil... Goodluck with the rains for they'll 'fix' the economy... @Hisah. Yes nobody questioned it. Well... but think about it World Bank tells you to buy bonds it's issuing (you really don't have no choice). And what's the return? Interest income on World Bank RAMP for fiscal year June 2011 was 355m from a 38b investment... oh dear. “We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/4/2009 Posts: 700 Location: Nairobi
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Mainat wrote:Scubidu-you've been MIA hope its for a good cause. Yes, ile ndeni this mzee will leave us with is a work of ugly art. Imho, its easy to look good when you are splashing out but even when its on good projects, you still need to remember its borrowed cash. Imho, our choice of the next president must be informed by: Either we get a president with the strategy to grow the economy at 10% pa (without additional borrowing). Or one who will help Kenya cuts its cloth accordingly. @mainat. Always for a good cause, but u still have the record... u were away for year, last i remember. We're pretty much screwed on the borrowing side... as long as cbk is not independent. But we borrow for so much unncessary crap, like military... we can't even take museveni on in a fair fight. Unfortunately for prezzo, the latest increase in debt has been pure revaluation... guess that's why he's getting serious on exchange rates. Off topic though. Ive been catching up on The Banking (Amendment) Bill, 2011. The new sections are limiting the interest rates spread. The MPC will set the lending rate and a cbk base rate will determine deposit rates. Bankers will not be happy. “We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/4/2009 Posts: 700 Location: Nairobi
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Fingers crossed. Hoping we don't buy this! http://treasury.worldban...D4billionGlobalBond.html“We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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Kenya's domestic debt now stand at 759 bln, interest rate payment up to July top last year.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/4/2009 Posts: 700 Location: Nairobi
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the deal wrote:Kenya's domestic debt now stand at 759 bln, interest rate payment up to July top last year. @the deal. Actually it's around 795 bln. Add to that the 799 bln on external and things start to look crazy (glad the exchange rate has come down). Oh yeah that's external debt figures was before IMF gave us the emergency loan and KenGen the new one. Keep your eye out for the domestic debt figure on 12th & 19th December though. Interesting times ahead. I foresee injections. “We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
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Rank: Member Joined: 4/2/2011 Posts: 629 Location: Nai
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Scubidu wrote:Mainat wrote:Scubidu-you've been MIA hope its for a good cause. Yes, ile ndeni this mzee will leave us with is a work of ugly art. Imho, its easy to look good when you are splashing out but even when its on good projects, you still need to remember its borrowed cash. Imho, our choice of the next president must be informed by: Either we get a president with the strategy to grow the economy at 10% pa (without additional borrowing). Or one who will help Kenya cuts its cloth accordingly. @mainat. Always for a good cause, but u still have the record... u were away for year, last i remember. We're pretty much screwed on the borrowing side... as long as cbk is not independent. But we borrow for so much unncessary crap, like military... we can't even take museveni on in a fair fight. Unfortunately for prezzo, the latest increase in debt has been pure revaluation... guess that's why he's getting serious on exchange rates. Off topic though. Ive been catching up on The Banking (Amendment) Bill, 2011. The new sections are limiting the interest rates spread. The MPC will set the lending rate and a cbk base rate will determine deposit rates. Bankers will not be happy. Guys do you think the CBK has been acting as the lender of last resort?
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Gubberment debt at a squeeze crossroad... I can hardly wait for the June 2012 budget. http://www.businessdaily...2/-/o405ocz/-/index.html$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Member Joined: 6/27/2011 Posts: 301 Location: Nairobi
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Cde Monomotapa wrote:Stop being naive guys. Show me one country that was built with hard cash. My guy! who is naive here I'm not sure you know what you are talking about. You really need to understand how some of the G20 countries operate and then come back to your comment.
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/13/2011 Posts: 5,964
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Maybe u school me on the Euro SOVEREIGN DEBT crisis about cash or credit?
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Rank: Member Joined: 11/21/2006 Posts: 608 Location: Ruiru
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I just read the Highlights of Kenya’s Debt Strategy by Treasury present at the OECD Forum in Paris in Nov 2009. The number of assumptions made in the strategy is mind-boggling. How do they manage with so many assumptions? No wonder am not an economist. "..I am because we are. "― Ubuntu, Umtu,
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/4/2009 Posts: 700 Location: Nairobi
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accelriskconsult wrote:Scubidu wrote:Mainat wrote:Scubidu-you've been MIA hope its for a good cause. Yes, ile ndeni this mzee will leave us with is a work of ugly art. Imho, its easy to look good when you are splashing out but even when its on good projects, you still need to remember its borrowed cash. Imho, our choice of the next president must be informed by: Either we get a president with the strategy to grow the economy at 10% pa (without additional borrowing). Or one who will help Kenya cuts its cloth accordingly. @mainat. Always for a good cause, but u still have the record... u were away for year, last i remember. We're pretty much screwed on the borrowing side... as long as cbk is not independent. But we borrow for so much unncessary crap, like military... we can't even take museveni on in a fair fight. Unfortunately for prezzo, the latest increase in debt has been pure revaluation... guess that's why he's getting serious on exchange rates. Off topic though. Ive been catching up on The Banking (Amendment) Bill, 2011. The new sections are limiting the interest rates spread. The MPC will set the lending rate and a cbk base rate will determine deposit rates. Bankers will not be happy. Guys do you think the CBK has been acting as the lender of last resort? I think recently they've tried to reinforce that point... I think they are doing a good job of restoring their lender-of-last-resort facility. But they start doing it now when perhaps the market needs them to be a little bit more lenient. Ino some Tier 3 banks paying a high cost of funds right now, it would be good for them to access cheaper money rather than go bankrupt. “We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/4/2009 Posts: 700 Location: Nairobi
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GGK wrote:I just read the Highlights of Kenya’s Debt Strategy by Treasury present at the OECD Forum in Paris in Nov 2009. The number of assumptions made in the strategy is mind-boggling. How do they manage with so many assumptions? No wonder am not an economist. I think the assumptions are not too bad. I'm sure they try to build really complicated models (when sometimes things aren't so complex). But without the assumptions you'd probably be groping in the dark. One good thing for sure is that although our debt is rising fast we're not yet facing a payment crisis. The external debt is concessionary (with payments suspended for many years) and domestic debt is increasingly becoming short (cause people expect inflation to fall). In terms of making assumptions on debt sustainability... it shouldn't be too hard given the above. The debt strategy has been thrown out of whack momentarily becoz of inflation, but it's safe to assume we're not in bad shape with regard to paying off the cost of debt in the long term. In the short term... let's wait and see. “We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/4/2009 Posts: 700 Location: Nairobi
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So the stats guys crunched the numbers. They told us Kenya debt to GDP was 56.6% in September 2011, then 46.6% in November 2011. I was shocked, in awe. We cut debt to GDP by 10% in two months? Or put another way GDP grew 19.1% in two months... keep cooking those figures boys (cos right now it's well done). Download the reports below: http://www.treasury.go.k...mp;gid=108&Itemid=54“We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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[quote=Scubidu]So the stats guys crunched the numbers. They told us Kenya debt to GDP was 56.6% in September 2011, then 46.6% in November 2011. I was shocked, in awe. We cut debt to GDP by 10% in two months? Or put another way GDP grew 19.1% in two months... keep cooking those figures boys (cos right now it's well done). Download the reports below: http://www.treasury.go.k...p;gid=108&Itemid=54[/quote] KE Treasury houdini stuff... With ponzinomics anything is possible. Don't be shocked, this is not taught in normal schools you know That GDP growth would even get the chings to camp here to learn the bewitching tricks...$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/13/2011 Posts: 5,964
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Haven't U factored KES strength over the period? OMG...
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/4/2009 Posts: 700 Location: Nairobi
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Cde Monomotapa wrote:Haven't U factored KES strength over the period? OMG... yes. the change in November is 80b in that one month alone when shilling appreciated. That's a 10% change in debt from reval alone. very impressive. But that's can't explain the GDP ratio. “We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/13/2011 Posts: 5,964
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Scubidu wrote:Cde Monomotapa wrote:Haven't U factored KES strength over the period? OMG... yes. the change in November is 80b in that one month alone when shilling appreciated. That's a 10% change in debt from reval alone. very impressive. But that's can't explain the GDP ratio. GDP is static my friend.
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