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mumias sugar results-560% growth half year-unaudited
VituVingiSana
#51 Posted : Tuesday, February 02, 2010 10:25:11 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,346
Location: Nairobi
There is a fair bit of profit-taking on the counter... Unless a large buyer steps in... the sellers will hold sway for the next few sessions...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Scubidu
#52 Posted : Tuesday, February 02, 2010 11:20:59 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/4/2009
Posts: 700
Location: Nairobi
Interesting. I read they estimate to earn about 10% of revenues from co-generation...Sh800 m ($10 m) annually...only a 3 year period to recover the $35 m capital cost.

What do you think will happen to the price once the comesa mart is opened in 2012?
“We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
mwanafunzi
#53 Posted : Tuesday, February 02, 2010 11:40:18 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/3/2008
Posts: 113
is it to late to add more sugar to my pot-folio.i have some kenya re which my average price is 13.5..do i dispose some at a loss when commissions are factored in and then buy more sugar.i think the pe is stil very low for sugar of this quality.whats your take on this?
guru267
#54 Posted : Tuesday, February 02, 2010 12:37:06 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@mwanafunzi
in my opinion you should hold on to your kenya re simply because when it announces its full year results which will be positive even 20bob will look really cheap for it... (at 20bob you'll be up about 50% on your holdings)

this year msc will settle around 15-16 basing on current half year results and current market valuations(you'll only be up 38% if you go in now)

just keep the patience and you'll also have your time to reap
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
2012
#55 Posted : Tuesday, February 02, 2010 1:23:17 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
KenyaRe at 13.5 is a bargain. Add more.

BBI will solve it
:)
mwanafunzi
#56 Posted : Tuesday, February 02, 2010 7:52:07 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/3/2008
Posts: 113
@guru and 2012 why the sudden price fall with massive volumes trading.
Cicero
#57 Posted : Tuesday, February 02, 2010 10:02:15 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/7/2009
Posts: 111
Thought this thing was going to go to 15 in two days .... how wrong can one be?Sad
Don't gamble; take all your savings and buy some good stock and hold it till it goes up, then sell it. If it don't go up, don't buy it...
guru267
#58 Posted : Wednesday, February 03, 2010 7:05:16 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@mwanafunzi are you asking about mumias or kenya re?

if its about kenya re the volumes are large and the price is falling simply because right now this counter is full of profit takers who bought at 10bob trying to sell...


I CANT BELIEVE SUGAR IS DOWN TODAY!!
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
B.Timer
#59 Posted : Wednesday, February 03, 2010 7:18:23 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/31/2008
Posts: 1,076
Someone offered that at Ksh 9-10, it is very probable that the the good results were already factored in.
Look this stock has registered some impresive capital gains in the recent past. Where do we attibute that.

Eventually and steadily it will be going to 15+ in anticipation to full year resulsts.
Dunia ni msongamano..
mwanahisa
#60 Posted : Wednesday, February 03, 2010 8:08:52 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
I am betting that it does not go any lower than 9.50 and possibly no lower than 9.80 if the resurgence in Safaricom continues. I am a buyer at the current prices of 10.15 - 10.20 albeit in small quantities at the moment. Targetting Kshs 14-15 by the time of results. CNBC reported that Renaissance had raised their target price for MSC to Kshs 13+. Note, In April last year African Alliance had valued MSC at 4.20. 9 months is really a long time in the stock market.
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