Kausha wrote:That fair value is very wonky and based on gut estimates than the underlying book in the business. Look at pan africa's Embedded value and you will realize that the price is exegerated and highly unlikely a takeover would happen at such elevated Embedded Value multiples. At 75 the counter is trading at an approx EV multiple of 1.7 suggesting at least 50% premium to fair value.
Speculation cannot be fought. We can't sell short. And until Sanlam gets its 60% (or is it 75%) there is little one can do. Once it has what it wants, the price will probably stagnate. I would rather buy Britam for the long-haul.
As Warren Buffett says. In the long term, the market is a weighing machine not a popularity contest.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett