VituVingiSana wrote:Yawn... the only thing that worries me is political stability... If we go to war in 2012... even the BEST Kenyan firm is in big trouble!
- DTBK, Equity, NIC all have foreign operations but they are all regional & will be affected by problems in Kenya. Also Kenya remains the largest profit center
- KenolKobil has diversified out of Kenya. Smart move but Kenya remains the Operations Center + Mombasa Port supplies Uganda. KK has a huge Kenya operation as well
- KQ can fly its planes out in 2012 but the hangars, HQ & operations remain in Kenya. They need a 2nd hub that decreases their reliance on Kenya.
- Tea firms export almost 100% of the produce but how do you harvest, process & transport the tea to the ports/airports?
So I am confident that the share prices will rise to match the profits of most firms... but if 2012 means a civil war... we are screwed. Completely.
Then you have little to worry about
Lessons were learnt last time, I doubt violence will break out any time soon... violence is usually politically instigated and this Hague thing has our politicians rattled (thank God)... they wouldn't dare rock the boat again... thats my opinion.
"I'd rather be lucky than clever... every time!" - ME
"The problem is not what we don't know... it's what we know for sure that just ain't!" - MARK TWAIN
"Space we can recover... time never!" - NAPOLEON BONAPARTE