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Realities of Forex Investment
rcarter
#1161 Posted : Wednesday, August 03, 2011 4:04:19 AM
Rank: Hello


Joined: 8/3/2011
Posts: 4
It was my philosophy professor who really got me into fore trading. He gave me some tips on how to know when to go in and when to save myself. I don't what your experiences are but patience sure played a vital role in this type of game. I tried to study the trend. Stretching as much as two years only to finally conclude that it is impossible to beat the game through records as you would never know when it will rise up or sink down. You just have to trust your instincts, actually.
hisah
#1162 Posted : Wednesday, August 03, 2011 6:12:26 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
And behold, CME aka knight is shining armor comes to rescue SNB by slaying the CHF dragon round 2... What a circus show... Mum (SNB) can I get some more popcorn... Hollywood is indeed boring smile

http://www.cmegroup.com/...g/files/Chadv11-270.pdf
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mnandii
#1163 Posted : Wednesday, August 03, 2011 7:04:14 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
TOKYO (Dow Jones)--The Bank of Japan said Wednesday it is supplying Y1.40 trillion against pooled collateral at its headquarters, starting Aug 5 and ending Aug 25.

Tokyo Bureau, Dow Jones Newswires; 813-6269-2770

(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 03, 2011 00:00 ET (04:00 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2011 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
fxtech
#1164 Posted : Wednesday, August 03, 2011 8:47:32 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/31/2010
Posts: 325
Location: NAIROBI
considering GOING LONG on AUDUSD
Discipline & sticking to your strategy even when you loosing defines great traders.
Ceinz
#1165 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 4:32:29 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Forex: Yen surges on confirmed BoJ intervention.

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The Japanese Yen has gone wild in the past minuted of trading, rising at light speed from 77.10 to just find resistance at 78.00. At present, the pair is correcting, reaching 77.70 only to rebound higher towards the high end of its recent swing high. With no apparent reason (Update: Noda confirms Japan intervened), the Yen's sudden depreciation suggests the BoJ may be finally taking action instead of just watching. Update: USD/JPY continues to rise, now at resistance 78.40.
“small step for man”
Ceinz
#1166 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 6:02:46 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Long USD/JPY @ 78.46, Sl now adjusted to 78.50(Trade: risk free). TP open.
“small step for man”
mnandii
#1167 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 6:40:30 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
* 04 Aug 11: 03:23 GMT (SGA) - FX NOW! NZD/USD, AUD/USD FLOWS - English: High NZD hard for exporters, no big RBNZ changes

Kiwi under pressure, as Greenback generally higher after BoJ intervention (still intervening) in USD/JPY and SNB measures to curb CHF rise. BoJ buying absorbing strong offers at 79.00. Not surprised to hear talks of commercial sales in AUD from RBA and possible RBNZ in NZD? NZ Finmin Bill English says significant changes in monetary policy are neither needed nor planned now, even though NZD is hurting exporters. Earlier, NZ Q2 employment growth flat, and unemployment rate for Q2 6.5%. On FX, comments from NZ English - seems to suggest - as done by SNB and possibly BoJ - more easing/ instead of tightening - to curb the strong Kiwi? NZD/USD dipping lower to 2-week lows 0.8526, eye break of 0.8500 - eye big 0.8000.WL

* 04 Aug 11: 02:57 GMT (SGA) - FX NOW! EUR/CHF, USD/CHF FLOWS - Japan + Switzerland working together to ease + intervene?

Good to watch for any SNB FX action today - interesting "coordination" with BoJ/MoF? SNB eased policy yesterday, and then BoJ/MoF intervention today, before easing policy later. Then SNB will come in the FX market to intervene to send a message that both Japan and Switzerland are working together to prevent their currencies to rising to record highs on safe haven, global risk aversion? So both Switzerland and Japan are sending a message that they are working together as both currencies bear the "brunt" (some will say gains) of the global risk aversion. USD/JPY at 78.88-90 - talks BoJ in machine at 78.50 now. EUR/CHF at 1.1089-90, off yest 1.1149 highs, but talks of covert SNB intervention - on way up from all time lows 1.0795. USD/CHF at 0.7755-58, off



SOURCE: OANDA.COM NEWS
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
hisah
#1168 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 8:07:55 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Yesterday CME hiked margin rates for EURCHF futures contracts. Later the SNB lowers their fund rate to almost 0% & supply swissies in the market to kill off the CHF rhino charge. Indeed it is a 'free' market this one...

BoJ finally decides to launch the yen short bazooka. Game on...

Conclusions - Very desperate times call for very desperate measures aka untested/unconventional methods. Very desperate central planners across the global. Prof. Ndungu I hope u taking notes to see how to kill off KES shortsellers and burn off their fx accounts to a margin call to remind them who's the boss...

I'm avoiding both yen & swissie trades for a while until the emotions cool off. Due to the one-sided yen & swissie trades, shorts are bound to get squeezed going forward even without intervention.

NZDUSD below 0.8600, weekly short setup lining up.
AUDUSD - this one is an outright short.

If any of these 2 rally on NFP news tomorrow, I'll be looking for weekly shorts.

Gold is overdone, but likely to test $1700 before it gets clobbered back to $1600 - $1580 level.

Anyone shorting Italian banks, it's been 5 weeks of handsome profits. Coming up next Spanish banks...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Ceinz
#1169 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 9:43:15 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:


I'm avoiding both yen & swissie trades for a while until the emotions cool off. Due to the one-sided yen & swissie trades, shorts are bound to get squeezed going forward even without intervention.

NZDUSD below 0.8600, weekly short setup lining up.
AUDUSD - this one is an outright short.

If any of these 2 rally on NFP news tomorrow, I'll be looking for weekly shorts.

Gold is overdone, but likely to test $1700 before it gets clobbered back to $1600 - $1580 level.

Anyone shorting Italian banks, it's been 5 weeks of handsome profits. Coming up next Spanish banks...


My yen trade doing good, I see it headed to 82.0 levels before any meaningful correction.

Im also bearish on AUD/USD when they maintained their rates on tuesday, I knew that was it, I expect it test previous support level at 1.0500 before a correction up. Fxtech take note.

NZD falling along with the JPY.

Hisah how do you short 'Italian banks' im curious.
“small step for man”
fxtech
#1170 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 10:32:28 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/31/2010
Posts: 325
Location: NAIROBI
The Dow made a false break of 11,777 support and hammered in a pin bar today at this level, is there a bounce on the cards into Friday? Time will tell, but it’s one to watch though with 11,777 support holding
Discipline & sticking to your strategy even when you loosing defines great traders.
fxtech
#1171 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 10:57:36 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/31/2010
Posts: 325
Location: NAIROBI
LONG NZDCAD @ 0.8224 SL 0.8375 TP open
Discipline & sticking to your strategy even when you loosing defines great traders.
hisah
#1172 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 12:34:12 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ceinz wrote:

Hisah how do you short 'Italian banks' im curious.


hansafx.net with CFD Trading.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
fxtech
#1173 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 2:15:50 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/31/2010
Posts: 325
Location: NAIROBI
@Hisah nice move on AUD,

Looking for a possible short entry on EURAUD on confirmation.

GPBJPY Looks set to retrace after a powerful bull movement.
Discipline & sticking to your strategy even when you loosing defines great traders.
jeddy
#1174 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 3:12:02 PM
Rank: Hello


Joined: 8/4/2011
Posts: 1
am learning much here about forex n thanx so much guys.

am currently practising on demo a/c but not doing good. can someone please advise me on the techiniques to use inorder to know when to go long, short or flat.
fxtech
#1175 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 3:40:09 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/31/2010
Posts: 325
Location: NAIROBI
GPBAUD possible SHORT opportunity emerging,

WL be trading Short GPBJPY frm 130.00 area

EURJPY short frm 113.50
Discipline & sticking to your strategy even when you loosing defines great traders.
Ceinz
#1176 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 4:07:07 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:
Ceinz wrote:

Hisah how do you short 'Italian banks' im curious.


hansafx.net with CFD Trading.


Gratias, will check it out.
“small step for man”
hisah
#1177 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 5:47:07 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Gold?! Yawa! Above $1680 now @1681. Silver up 7% since Friday, now above $42... (Silver trade still in play since June). All these after US passes their debt plan... Aug 20th is yet to come for the eurozone...

As usual SNB's intervention is already taking in loads of water less than a day of spooking CHF bulls. Hopeless venture. Since 2010 SNB has used billions to stem the bulls and lost all together. Who's money is being lost here? Taxpayers... Swiss guys should boot those goons at SNB for losing their billions in these worthless interventions...

BoJ intervention - I'm give it a half life of 2 days, then we will be seeing new lows!

The major warning for crosses that depend on risk appetite is currently flashing on as S&P and Dow go negative for the year. In Europe, it is worse, support levels getting trumped since last week. And the most bizarre thing is that while swissie has been on rhino charge, their stock market has tanked 20% (that a bear territory there).

Bank of America (BAC) breaks below $9.50... Goldman Sachs below $130... XLF index breaking down. Global financial stocks are now turning bearish. Italian banks are not bear, but dead-end bears... Soon Spain will join them.

But Mr Market will turn around against these extremes when the time comes. These interventionists should wait for that turn around. Then they can intervene in harmony with Mr Market. What part of market dynamics don't these central planners understand. The days when they ran the market is over! E.g. Apple has more cash-flow than the US Treasury! What the heavens!? Will US Treasury seek for bailout from Apple in future?

Anyone watching USDCAD. This one is turning bullish!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
fxtech
#1178 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 6:21:42 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/31/2010
Posts: 325
Location: NAIROBI
Bullish opportunity on EURUSD@ 1.4136 SL 1.4090 TP 1.4300
Discipline & sticking to your strategy even when you loosing defines great traders.
Ceinz
#1179 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 8:23:43 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:

BoJ intervention - I'm give it a half life of 2 days, then we will be seeing new lows!

The major warning for crosses that depend on risk appetite is currently flashing on as S&P and Dow go negative for the year.


Your take is spot on, am bullish on the yen, NZ and AU, will now bemore cautious.
“small step for man”
Ceinz
#1180 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 8:25:39 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Ceinz wrote:
Long USD/JPY @ 78.46, Sl now adjusted to 78.50(Trade: risk free). TP open.


Was stopped out at 79.30, wish I had run with the loot at 80.0d'oh!
“small step for man”
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