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KENOL-KOBIL 2014
Aguytrying
#581 Posted : Friday, January 30, 2015 12:31:33 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
derick wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
kama hii ni keke iko top five gainers ya mungu ni mengi!


Na bado


Lets hope ule saitani wa monday hata rundi. KK shareholders please go to church this sunday we kick him outLaughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Metasploit
#582 Posted : Friday, January 30, 2015 1:32:07 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
FT real time chart on candlestick looks interesting...But 10 must be defeated and defeated squarely so that we have support at 10.80 -11

Too early to speak

ANY BODY WATCHING CIC ?? Looks interesting

CFC has also constricted for too long on the 125-126 price (9 months chart)

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
whiteowl
#583 Posted : Friday, January 30, 2015 1:59:43 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
Aguytrying wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
maka wrote:
derick wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
h2s wrote:
whiteowl wrote:
This stock needs prayers to break past 10/= Any pastors/bishops/ Imam in here?

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

if you love the stock just sacrifice and buy at 10bob and be helping it to touch new high's,.........the wildbeasts just want to see a leading beast to cross all.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly


Many sellers at 10....doubt it will go juu,at some point this year it will fika 12 that am sure about.

its trading on hidden demand


Exactly. hidden demand. All of a sudden the whole supply can be wiped out or all the demand can be supplied!

Looks like the wildebeest are crossing smile smile

Since 10/= has printed,what we need now is a weekend prayer rally to cast out the demons that push it down on Monday.
Realtreaty
#584 Posted : Friday, January 30, 2015 3:02:08 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 8/16/2011
Posts: 2,387
Metasploit wrote:
FT real time chart on candlestick looks interesting...But 10 must be defeated and defeated squarely so that we have support at 10.80 -11


Too early to speak

ANY BODY WATCHING CIC ?? Looks interesting

CFC has also constricted for too long on the 125-126 price (9 months chart)

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly hehheheeee all binoculars on KK here, I am attending the weekend rally kukomesha shetani who visits on mondays akitumia window ya KK.Pray Pray Pray . But we are on hiway to 12.80 soon, hope no toll stations!!!!!
h2s
#585 Posted : Friday, January 30, 2015 3:07:03 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/20/2012
Posts: 141
Realtreaty wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
FT real time chart on candlestick looks interesting...But 10 must be defeated and defeated squarely so that we have support at 10.80 -11


Too early to speak

ANY BODY WATCHING CIC ?? Looks interesting

CFC has also constricted for too long on the 125-126 price (9 months chart)

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly hehheheeee all binoculars on KK here, I am attending the weekend rally kukomesha shetani who visits on mondays akitumia window ya KK.Pray Pray Pray . But we are on hiway to 12.80 soon, hope no toll stations!!!!!

This thing needs a "Kenya Orchards" in addition to the prayerssmile
VituVingiSana
#586 Posted : Friday, January 30, 2015 3:27:00 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,354
Location: Nairobi
I expect good results for 2014.

See 1H 2014 results and then a drop in imports of oil (fuel) prices in Dec, while the new lower prices announced 14th Dec and then 14 Jan, will boost profits for 2H over 1H.

1H - Good results [including property sales]
2H - Lower fuel import costs + lower interest charges

2015: Now it gets harder coz ERC prices dropped by 9/- in Dec. Another decrease expected in Jan reducing margins.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
MaichBlack
#587 Posted : Friday, January 30, 2015 5:39:20 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,858
Aguytrying wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
derick wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Our bus has no fuel,may be tomorrow is Friday, there is no good reason why we have not seen 10bob this week


We should be seeing 10 plus kesho

its free to be optimistic

His optimism was valid. 10/= has printed.


you've been conspicuously quiet since mumias reversal. say something bana. you have many fans (followers/well wishers)

@ Aguytrying - I have been around all along my brother! Every single day.
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
Kausha
#588 Posted : Saturday, January 31, 2015 7:57:23 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
VituVingiSana wrote:
I expect good results for 2014.

See 1H 2014 results and then a drop in imports of oil (fuel) prices in Dec, while the new lower prices announced 14th Dec and then 14 Jan, will boost profits for 2H over 1H.

1H - Good results [including property sales]
2H - Lower fuel import costs + lower interest charges

2015: Now it gets harder coz ERC prices dropped by 9/- in Dec. Another decrease expected in Jan reducing margins.


@VVS property sales in1H? Where did you pick that. Their cashflow statement didnt have it.
mlennyma
#589 Posted : Saturday, January 31, 2015 12:34:59 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
Kausha wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
I expect good results for 2014.

See 1H 2014 results and then a drop in imports of oil (fuel) prices in Dec, while the new lower prices announced 14th Dec and then 14 Jan, will boost profits for 2H over 1H.

1H - Good results [including property sales]
2H - Lower fuel import costs + lower interest charges

2015: Now it gets harder coz ERC prices dropped by 9/- in Dec. Another decrease expected in Jan reducing margins.


@VVS property sales in1H? Where did you pick that. Their cashflow statement didnt have it.

this oil companies must calculate so well such that nobody is holding previous stocks of fuel during price announcing dates, I don't know where that remaining expensive stock goes when prices reduce.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
VituVingiSana
#590 Posted : Saturday, January 31, 2015 8:17:19 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,354
Location: Nairobi
Kausha wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
I expect good results for 2014.

See 1H 2014 results and then a drop in imports of oil (fuel) prices in Dec, while the new lower prices announced 14th Dec and then 14 Jan, will boost profits for 2H over 1H.

1H - Good results [including property sales]
2H - Lower fuel import costs + lower interest charges

2015: Now it gets harder coz ERC prices dropped by 9/- in Dec. Another decrease expected in Jan reducing margins.


@VVS property sales in1H? Where did you pick that. Their cashflow statement didnt have it.
Unfortunately the 1H Results are not as detailed but if I recall they mentioned (during the 2013 AGM held in 2014) pending sales to be completed in 2014. In abridged results (like the 1H 2014) results, some of this income is grouped under miscellaneous/other income.

My focus is on the OPEX for 2H 2014 to see if they can sustain the momentum into 2015. I wish we could have more detailed information for each subsidiary and what they want plan to do to increase sales/profits and/or cut OPEX losses.

BTW, I am happy with sensible CAPEX that serves to enhance future profitability at a rate greater than current ROE. I am more than a bit disappointed at the state of their stations vs competitors. I feel that KK will lose/lost loyalty to the brand. The K-Card is terrible vs other products e.g. M-Pesa or even debit cards.

I still believe the ultimate goal for the majority owners is a complete disposal seeing that tried to do just that earlier. What I cannot figure out is what makes KK interesting/attractive (at a premium) to a buyer seeing the current ROE is not that great.

Property: Some of these station should be demolished or reconfigured to put up buildings NOT for rent but for sale since Rental Yields are low. REIT in their future?

The PAT [from the entire supply chain] for every station should be benchmarked against the Interest Income [using Long-Term tax-free Infrastructure Bonds] from the (potential) Sale Proceeds. Currently, KK pays 12-14% on their CP on a pre-tax basis.

Your thoughts?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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