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Realities of Forex Investment
The Merchant
#551 Posted : Tuesday, November 16, 2010 8:54:30 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/24/2010
Posts: 846
Location: KENYA
ngapat wrote:
what a rise by the pound. my profits wiped and a loss booked.

Hey, the cable dropped over 200 pips today. Maybe you are trading on very little capital? If not you need to adjust your lot size. A big factor in winning this forex game is making sure you are properly capitalized. Reduce your lot size and increase your time frames then I hope your profits will soar. All the best ....smile
mlefu
#552 Posted : Tuesday, November 16, 2010 9:42:24 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/11/2007
Posts: 1,680
Location: nairobi
toni...ati demod'oh! ...i never got anywhere with that apart from uncontrolled excitement and i forgot to look at the real picture, developed an expert advisor and during the bp oil spill(eurusd was at 1.2***, from the demo account, i could make a clean $300 per hour, i went in to a massive saving discipline, came back when the eurusd was at 1.4*** and the expert just lost it all...NOW what if i had drunk all that..damn.
anyway..that was an investment..i am not giving up on this. ..lets check the indicators.
hisah
#553 Posted : Tuesday, November 16, 2010 9:54:38 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
ProverB wrote:
hisah wrote:

If Ireland comes running for help next week or anytime soon, I expect the euro to sharply sell-off in a similar way to the May Greek crisis scare. This should also spook the global equity markets


Progress on this front?


Ireland is still delaying their song. The news headlines are still not too bearish, which means the announcement is due soon. The PIIGS CDS index is still aiming higher so that should indicate more distress for these nations when trying to sell bonds. I want to the EURUSD to take out 1.34, then we get a relief bounce before the next leg down. Note that the $ index is above 79 today which means $ strength ahead in coming weeks. I wonder if the $ will rally like it did last Nov. If it does, then Dec will be a selling month for global stocks.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
ngapat
#554 Posted : Wednesday, November 17, 2010 11:39:58 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/11/2006
Posts: 930
The Merchant wrote:
ngapat wrote:
what a rise by the pound. my profits wiped and a loss booked.

Hey, the cable dropped over 200 pips today. Maybe you are trading on very little capital? If not you need to adjust your lot size. A big factor in winning this forex game is making sure you are properly capitalized. Reduce your lot size and increase your time frames then I hope your profits will soar. All the best ....smile



the pound disappointed me yesterday. sold at 1.6036 nad placed a stoploss at 1.6080. then there was this spike that went for my stop loss and then prices fell by more than 200pips. i sold the euro/USD though and managed to recover the losses
“Invest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.”
hisah
#555 Posted : Wednesday, November 17, 2010 6:20:00 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
ngapat wrote:
The Merchant wrote:
ngapat wrote:
what a rise by the pound. my profits wiped and a loss booked.

Hey, the cable dropped over 200 pips today. Maybe you are trading on very little capital? If not you need to adjust your lot size. A big factor in winning this forex game is making sure you are properly capitalized. Reduce your lot size and increase your time frames then I hope your profits will soar. All the best ....smile



the pound disappointed me yesterday. sold at 1.6036 nad placed a stoploss at 1.6080. then there was this spike that went for my stop loss and then prices fell by more than 200pips. i sold the euro/USD though and managed to recover the losses


I'm wondering between the euro and cable, which one will be hammered the most when Ireland pleads guilty. UK banks are the most exposed to Ireland's bad loans, but so is Germany and France when it comes to Spain and Portuguese bad loans. If a bailout is announced soon, wait for the spike high on both the euro and cable, and go short. I expect a repeat play of May 2010. Disclaimer - this is not investment advice smile
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
tonicasert
#556 Posted : Wednesday, November 17, 2010 7:26:34 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
I'm thinking the Ireland issues have been discounted, n when the bailout finally happens (Ireland is denying they need help at the moment), I think Euro may spike higher as a vote of confidence. I'm bullish on this announcement, but not to much of a rally, possibly 1.4200?... I could be wrong, its anyone's guess
hisah
#557 Posted : Monday, November 22, 2010 10:42:58 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Closing the EURUSD short here - 320pips in the bag. The weekend bailout news played into the expected early asia spike. May 2010 is repeating itself with the euro which is good for $ strength.
Now hunting for Aussie shorts since the China rate hikes last week are bearish for aussie. Of interest is AUDUSD, AUDCAD and AUDNZD. I'll post my positions when I establish them. So far I'm still holding to USDJPY and I've now upgraded it to a weekly play. But its a dinosaur, hardly moving since last week. USDCHF still working out for some weeks now - aiming 1.05s. USDCAD is still struggling to hold on above 1.02s. Above 1.0250, I'll be long aiming 1.04 then 1.06.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
ngapat
#558 Posted : Tuesday, November 23, 2010 7:38:00 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/11/2006
Posts: 930
@hisah, you wish u didn't close
“Invest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.”
ndumesidubu
#559 Posted : Tuesday, November 30, 2010 4:20:24 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 10/31/2010
Posts: 11
Location: nairobi
just a word of caution to those those trading fx,after thanksgiving every year i have noticed that liquidity reduces heavily and therefore causing a lot of ranging thus whipsaws, in the early years i experienced most losses in this last two months of the year, i have therefore found it prudent to wait it out until the big boys return around second week of january, if you have to trade then do so cautiously but by all means shut off those expert advisors, give those stoplosses some slag from supports and resistances, i spend most of my time in this period developing new strategies and automating them plus a lot of relaxation.
"Individuals who cannot master their emotions are ill-suited to profit from the investment process."
Benjamin Graham
Rabin
#560 Posted : Wednesday, December 01, 2010 9:49:04 AM
Rank: Hello

Joined: 11/11/2010
Posts: 4
Location: Nairobi
I want to start trading with real a/c i have been doing it with demo a/c is there any limitations by our banks (equity,kcb)for one to get a visa card advice
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