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Safaricom HY2013 Profit before tax up 113%
young
#521 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:42:54 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,074
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
mv_ufanisi wrote:
Now hit 9.50 - its bull season and then will come bear season.


Yes safaricom price cannot appreciate everyday indefinately. There will be price correction after foreign insitutional investors finish their buying spree. It might touch 10 bob before this happens.
This correction may be momentary because if November expected HY safaricom result is excellent as expected, the bull run will resume past 10 bob on or before early 2014.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
the deal
#522 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 1:22:06 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
young wrote:
mv_ufanisi wrote:
Now hit 9.50 - its bull season and then will come bear season.


Yes safaricom price cannot appreciate everyday indefinately. There will be price correction after foreign insitutional investors finish their buying spree. It might touch 10 bob before this happens.
This correction may be momentary because if November expected HY safaricom result is excellent as expected, the bull run will resume past 10 bob on or before early 2014.

I see the bull market euphoria has gotten into your head @MrYoung...Bears feed on Euphoria.
young
#523 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 1:49:18 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,074
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
the deal wrote:
young wrote:
mv_ufanisi wrote:
Now hit 9.50 - its bull season and then will come bear season.


Yes safaricom price cannot appreciate everyday indefinately. There will be price correction after foreign insitutional investors finish their buying spree. It might touch 10 bob before this happens.
This correction may be momentary because if November expected HY safaricom result is excellent as expected, the bull run will resume past 10 bob on or before early 2014.

I see the bull market euphoria has gotten into your head @MrYoung...Bears feed on Euphoria.



@The deal of Namibia,

Be aware fundamentals is not everything. What drives prices is consistent profit growth not necessarily PE.

ARM with a PE of 29.08 is apprciating at the moment faster than Bamburi with a PE of 17.58.

The big boy EABL has a PE of 38.55, what is driving its price ?

What is making KCB grow faster than Equity ?
It is the HY results. KCB performed better than Equity. But look at the PEs. KCB at 11.44 and equity at 10.51 ? If Equity performs better in Q3 VS KCB, you will see a steep rise in equity, but if KCB outperforms equity, the gap between KCB VS Equity will be wider irrspective of the fact that equity may still have lower PE which means it is cheaper.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
muganda
#524 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 2:11:05 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
In my view @young @the deal, we are coming into a new phenomenon best described with one word - foreigners .

So much so that the biggest risk to NSE advance is their perception, the Euro, the US shutdown. And any stock they perceive as puny goes nowhere.

At price of SCOM 9.50 and KCB 49, the large blocks move only between these aliens; not fund managers, not you and me. And the rising tide it creates lifts everything up smile

young
#525 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 2:39:28 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,074
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
Greeting dear @Muganda,

I beg to differ. Foreigners influence has always been there especially on blue chips. The counters look expensive to locals but cheap for foreigners who are mainly long termers, not short term as the locals.
Also foreigners include foreign managers, and institutional inventors not only high net worth individuals. I am privy of the fact that Databank of Ghana that owns epack are buying Safaricom up to 10 bob , KCB up to 48.50 bob and EABL up to 350 bob before they exit.
The locals (Kenya) are minority stake holders in NSE blue chips from my best of my knowledge. You only have a few rich kenyans that control high percentage of this stocks and they rarely sale as they prefer to have influence in these companies as board appointments etc. It is the Nwananchi retailers that provide supply to institutional inventors.

After all those that bought SAfaricom at 5.00 bob during IPO in 2006 are happy to sale at 9.00 bob. The foreigners will buy hold it for same 4 years and exit at 20+. Who is better off ?
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
young
#526 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 2:41:19 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,074
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
Greeting dear @Muganda,

I beg to differ. Foreigners influence has always been there especially on blue chip. The look expensive to locals but cheap for foreigners who are mainly long termers, not short term as the locals.
Also foreigners include foreign foreign managers, and institutional inventors not only high net worth individuals. I am privy of the fact that Databank of Ghana that owns epack are buying Safaricom up to 10 bob , KCB up to 48.50 bob and EABL up to 350 bob before they exit.
The locals (Kenya) are minority stake holders in NSE blue chips from my best of my knowledge. You only have a few rich kenyans that control high percentage of this stocks and they rarely sale as they prefer to have influence in these companies as board appointments etc. It is the Nwananchi retailers that provide supply to institutional inventors.

After all those that bought SAfaricom at 5.00 bob during IPO in 2006 are happy to sale at 9.00 bob. The foreigners will buy hold it for same 4 years and exit at 20+. Who is better off ?
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
selah
#527 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 3:55:40 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/13/2009
Posts: 1,950
Location: in kenya
young wrote:
Greeting dear @Muganda,

After all those that bought SAfaricom at 5.00 bob during IPO in 2006 are happy to sale at 9.00 bob. The foreigners will buy hold it for same 4 years and exit at 20+. Who is better off ?


That would be the day we achieve vision 2030...YOu mean safaricom can hit a Market capitalization of Sh.800B in 4 yrs ...I think thats just being too optimistic.
'......to the acknowledgment of the mystery of God, and of the Father, and of Christ; 3 In whom are hid all the treasures of wisdom and knowledge.' Colossians 2:2-3
muganda
#528 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 4:17:51 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
Hello @young, I must admit I did not factor in African purchases. After excluding retail and local institutional investors, I was only thinking of HSBC, Morgan Stanley and the like...

Interestingly, isn't it fair to estimate...
Vodafone 40%
Government 35%
Foreign investors 15%
Local corporate 7.5%
Local retail 2.5%

young wrote:
Greeting dear @Muganda,

I beg to differ. Foreigners influence has always been there especially on blue chip. The look expensive to locals but cheap for foreigners who are mainly long termers, not short term as the locals.
Also foreigners include foreign foreign managers, and institutional inventors not only high net worth individuals. I am privy of the fact that Databank of Ghana that owns epack are buying Safaricom up to 10 bob , KCB up to 48.50 bob and EABL up to 350 bob before they exit.
The locals (Kenya) are minority stake holders in NSE blue chips from my best of my knowledge. You only have a few rich kenyans that control high percentage of this stocks and they rarely sale as they prefer to have influence in these companies as board appointments etc. It is the Nwananchi retailers that provide supply to institutional inventors.

After all those that bought SAfaricom at 5.00 bob during IPO in 2006 are happy to sale at 9.00 bob. The foreigners will buy hold it for same 4 years and exit at 20+. Who is better off ?

young
#529 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 4:47:43 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,074
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
Safaricom to be debt free in 2015

http://www.businessdaily.../-/vgwyj8z/-/index.html


Safaricom Sees Rising Dividend as Debt Falls

http://www.businessdaily...6/-/ilvhrv/-/index.html


Question ? What do you expect in the next 2 to 4 years ?
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#530 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 5:01:36 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Karibu @Young.@Hisah and I are sworn safari aka mpesa bank diehardssmile
@SufficientlyP
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