wazua Thu, Mar 26, 2026
Welcome Guest Search | Active Topics | Log In

543 Pages«<509510511512513>»
Investors Lounge
lochaz-index
#5101 Posted : Tuesday, March 14, 2017 1:14:10 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Tomorrow is a vital date for the US. A rate hike and a debt ceiling expiration cross swords. Failure to extend the limit automatically results in a budget crisis.

These rate hikes look like a throwback to the period preceeding 1929 with similar conditions for both Europe and the US.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
Cde Monomotapa
#5102 Posted : Thursday, March 16, 2017 11:00:12 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
@hisah @lochaz 0.75-1% Fed rate USD tanks, stocks rise, gold & silver soar.Eh?
lochaz-index
#5103 Posted : Friday, March 17, 2017 3:37:56 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
@hisah @lochaz 0.75-1% Fed rate USD tanks, stocks rise, gold & silver soar.Eh?

Markets unusual. Stocks will have a tight correlation with the Fed hikes until something snaps. Consider the following desperate pension schemes
http://www.zerohedge.com...bout-bring-hell-america
For the USD, gold and silver I think that was reactionary rather than fundamental and they should reverse.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
Cde Monomotapa
#5104 Posted : Friday, March 17, 2017 4:30:23 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
lochaz-index wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
@hisah @lochaz 0.75-1% Fed rate USD tanks, stocks rise, gold & silver soar.Eh?

Markets unusual. Stocks will have a tight correlation with the Fed hikes until something snaps. Consider the following desperate pension schemes
http://www.zerohedge.com...bout-bring-hell-america
For the USD, gold and silver I think that was reactionary rather than fundamental and they should reverse.


What's the median age really of the demography and percentage to total population? Hey! The fund manager rotated from bonds to stocks, conventionally, until now it is no longer that the opposite is true? d'oh!

Gold & Silver; Now that white money is circa 70-80% its return to circulation is a bonanza!! ;-)
hisah
#5105 Posted : Friday, March 17, 2017 5:25:59 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
@hisah @lochaz 0.75-1% Fed rate USD tanks, stocks rise, gold & silver soar.Eh?

Initial moves post announcement are never the real moves. Give it at least 2 to 3 weeks to see the real direction.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
lochaz-index
#5106 Posted : Monday, March 20, 2017 2:09:41 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
@hisah @lochaz 0.75-1% Fed rate USD tanks, stocks rise, gold & silver soar.Eh?

Markets unusual. Stocks will have a tight correlation with the Fed hikes until something snaps. Consider the following desperate pension schemes
http://www.zerohedge.com...bout-bring-hell-america
For the USD, gold and silver I think that was reactionary rather than fundamental and they should reverse.


What's the median age really of the demography and percentage to total population? Hey! The fund manager rotated from bonds to stocks, conventionally, until now it is no longer that the opposite is true? d'oh!

Gold & Silver; Now that white money is circa 70-80% its return to circulation is a bonanza!! ;-)

This is the part where holding onto conventional wisdom gets you routed. Maybe that's why even fund managers are on the sidelines in this stock market rally.

I don't know the median or average age in relation to total population and as much as I acknowledge it is a first world issue, that is hardly whole problem here:

1. If the number of retirees is growing faster than the engaged workforce, the pension is going to have a problem. The labor participation rate bears me witness. The US economy is not absorbing workers as fast as it is retiring them resulting in either hiked contributions for the active workforce and /or pension cuts for the pensioners.

2. The larger the difference between an old geezer's paycheck when exiting the workforce and the starter pack (fresh recruit pay) means it will take more and more new employees to support a single pensioner - contribution wise - depending on the scheme's structure. Talk of a legalized ponzi scheme. With the global economy going to the dogs it is hardly the time to raise entry level pay, my guess is that it's reducing.

3. Pensions schemes are normally overweight bonds and shy of stocks, with interest rates dropping consistently over the last decade - in large part due to ZIRP/NIRP - pension schemes have had poor returns vis a vis their mounting liabilities. That is a recipe for going burst.

Note that KE despite a fantastic demographic structure has similar problems in its pension scheme aka NSSF courtesy of the first two issues...hence the constant upwards review of the retirement age.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
alutacontinua
#5107 Posted : Wednesday, March 22, 2017 4:29:59 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
http://www.cnbc.com/2017...cent-fall-at-least.html

Gartman went short yesterday following the 1% drop in stocks. His calls in the past have been questionable to say the least Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
lochaz-index
#5108 Posted : Thursday, March 23, 2017 11:05:43 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Mozambique is blazing the trail when it comes to outright defaults on its debt obligations. Second default registered on March 22nd, hot on the heels of the January no show.
https://www.bloomberg.co...t-on-credit-suisse-loan
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
alutacontinua
#5109 Posted : Wednesday, April 12, 2017 5:58:59 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
Interesting spike in the VIX today...intraday high of 16.07 yet stocks are relatively flat. Anyone trading the VIX?
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
alutacontinua
#5110 Posted : Tuesday, April 18, 2017 7:19:42 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
So much going on today...

Firstly the announcement of a snap UK election slated for June 8th which had the GBP spike to a 4 month high while the FTSE-100 down 2.5% (biggest drop since the Brexit erasing all of the 2017 gains)

https://www.nytimes.com/...y-general-election.html

Next was the offloading of 22,000 contracts on Gold

http://www.zerohedge.com...3-billion-notional-sale

How an order (notional amount of $3B) was filled is a whole other matter all together...the almost instantaneous recovery is also something else.

Lastly is the debt ceiling for the US (we have 10 days until a shutdown) and the French election at the end of the month!!!
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
543 Pages«<509510511512513>»
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Copyright © 2026 Wazua.co.ke. All Rights Reserved.