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KCB results not so impressive:
Scubidu
#81 Posted : Monday, March 01, 2010 1:32:13 PM
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Joined: 9/4/2009
Posts: 700
Location: Nairobi
@wa_ithaka. you gotta stop with the google thing dude, better to ask those in the profession, but will look into the issues u mentioned. I have a cool dvd someone sent me on banking and economics, if u want to see it email me.

@vvs. when I referred to accounting, I was not referring to capital, I was actually referring to processes of making loans and creating deposits (thus impact on core capital ratio). But you're right these regulations were devised by the BIS long ago in the late 80s.

I'm not aware of the minimum time frame on debt as 'capital' (will look into it). I just read an NIC annual report and Tier 2 capital includes subordinated debt not exceeding 50% of core capital...so KCB will look at raising no more than 11b if it wants to include it as capital, every reason why they should issue it in tranches...so wa_ithaka may have a genuine point (but then again that wasn't the debate).
“We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
VituVingiSana
#82 Posted : Monday, March 01, 2010 11:03:42 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
@scubidu - Only non-callable (by the bondholder) debt is used as 'debt capital' & I think (not 100% sure) but any amount due within 12 months cant be used/considered as 'debt capital'...

Callable debt/bonds (of course, many variations) generally become due in less than 12 months if called...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Scubidu
#83 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 11:24:44 AM
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Posts: 700
Location: Nairobi
vvs. You got a source for this. How many companies have issued callable bonds, apart from the former Celtel Kenya? And do you think KCB or banks in general would want to put a call option on their corporate debt, don't see why?
“We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
kizee
#84 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 11:25:43 AM
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Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
isnt the kengen bond callable?
Scubidu
#85 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 11:32:23 AM
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Joined: 9/4/2009
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Location: Nairobi
I would have thought it would have been an essential feature of the bond. If it was, it wasn't mentioned (loudly).
“We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
VituVingiSana
#86 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 11:37:50 AM
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Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
Scubidu wrote:
vvs. You got a source for this. How many companies have issued callable bonds, apart from the former Celtel Kenya? And do you think KCB or banks in general would want to put a call option on their corporate debt, don't see why?

I don't deal in bonds but I am sure there may be 1-2 callable bonds. I think MRM are callable.

The call option gives bondholders additional 'security' or seniority thus have a lower yield. The only reason for firms to give a put option to the bondholders is to lower the yield/rate they pay.

BTW, the KenGen Bond does have a (somewhat) 'call' feature except the the Call Option is KenGen's...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Wa_ithaka
#87 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 11:42:56 AM
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Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
Scubidu-tx for the dvd offer. I've picked up most of ma knowledge from bartalk so there might be something in it. Lakini I rarely get time to watch dvds.
Scubidu, vvs. One thing you may need to bear in mind is the fact that the forcoming Basel 3 will almost certainly tighten the definition of capital and this may mean narrowing it down to sharholder capital and retained earnings. Ofcourse, CBK has not even adopted Basel 2 so we have a long way to go...
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
Scubidu
#88 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 12:08:49 PM
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Joined: 9/4/2009
Posts: 700
Location: Nairobi
Wa_ithaka. Wow, I didn't know they had Basel 3 rules lined up. No prob on the DVDs-I can't wait for the new Wall Street movie to come out (i hope it's better than the old one).

@vvs. what's the (somewhat) 'call' feature? I would have noticed that cos I read that thing quite slowly months ago (b4 I sold all my holdings).
“We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
VituVingiSana
#89 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 12:35:28 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
Wall Street is a classic... Beating the original will be tough... Gordon Gekko... "Greed is GOOD"... great flik!

I dont have the KenGen Bond Prospectus on me but KenGen had the option of retiring part of the bond early on (I think after the initial 2 years)...

Plus the bond was designed to allow KenGen 'retire' a small portion (6.25%) every 6 months after the 1st 2 years... Or something like that...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Gordon Gekko
#90 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 1:11:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
@vvs, Michael Douglas is now 23 years older. He cant surely be as sharp as he was in the first Wall Street...
Intelligentsia
#91 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 2:49:31 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/1/2009
Posts: 2,436
Wa_ithaka wrote:
...the fact that the forcoming Basel 3 will almost certainly tighten the definition of capital and this may mean narrowing it down to sharholder capital and retained earnings. Ofcourse, CBK has not even adopted Basel 2 so we have a long way to go...

I don't get the use of Basel 3 if 100% understanding, much less implementation, of Basel 2 is still rocket science in certian pockets in the West. Coming in the wake of the financial crisis in the west it will tighten regulation so much there that bank management will not manage a decent fart without the regulator's say-so that they can let it out slow and easy and exhale. Maybe they need to anchor State bailout in the financial reforms seeing its a reality anyway and its played a pivotal role in restoring sanity in the markets. To confirm finally that varying degrees of capitalism and socialise are err..strange bedfellows than can actually co-exist together happily ever after - remember the USSA (United Socialist States States of America) tag?
http://www.basel-iii-accord.com/
Scubidu
#92 Posted : Wednesday, March 03, 2010 9:39:35 AM
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Posts: 700
Location: Nairobi
vvs. Well I don't know much about call options...but i thot kengen didn't have an option but payback in installments after 2 years. If kcb puts a call option for its bondholders, won't it be equivalent to deleveraging? Wouldn't it make more sense for normal companies that are not banks to use this tool as they could find themselves with excess funds in the future?
“We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
2012
#93 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 9:49:15 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
Over 16m traded so far today. Any new happenings at KCB?
Pse share.

BBI will solve it
:)
guru267
#94 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 10:10:20 AM
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Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@2012 no news just some big fish taking a position in the company...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Jaguar
#95 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 10:11:48 AM
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Joined: 6/7/2007
Posts: 263
Location: humu humu
@2012, there was a huge buy at 9:31am, price 21.50, volume 15,989,200. My guess is that it was a Kenyan institution that bought
VituVingiSana
#96 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 1:23:26 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
Well, I hope we can see who bought in the Annual Report...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
cnn
#97 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 4:05:57 PM
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Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,619
@vvs,that is only 0.7% of issued KCB shares,i dont think it is enough to make it to the top ten holders whose breakdown is usually included in the annual reports,that said KCB has been heavily sold in the last year so there may just be significant changes.
2012
#98 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 4:18:03 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
Jaguar wrote:
@2012, there was a huge buy at 9:31am, price 21.50, volume 15,989,200. My guess is that it was a Kenyan institution that bought


Wow! So if KCB hits 24/- (and I see this happening soon) they'd be 44m bob richer?!! So that's how easy people like Buffet make billions?...

BBI will solve it
:)
VituVingiSana
#99 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 8:28:19 PM
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Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
@2012 - No, Warren Buffett makes money after holding the shares for years... after he buys at good/fair prices...

So u need to buy KCB 'cheap' & wait till it takes off...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
2012
#100 Posted : Tuesday, March 23, 2010 9:12:26 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
So u need to buy KCB 'cheap' & wait till it takes off...


@vvs, what do you think, is KCB cheap at the moment?

I was just wondering who or which local institution would spend about 350m in one morning on one counter and I couldn't help but wonder if NSSF is fully back on board...

BBI will solve it
:)
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