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KPC IPO - Bearish Noise
wukan
#81 Posted : Tuesday, March 10, 2026 6:15:29 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,649
obiero wrote:
wukan wrote:
stocksmaster wrote:
mufasa wrote:
@xtina thanks. I've seen the allocations.

I think that's good for the retail investor, the likelihood of hitting 12bob in the coming month is high.

This thing will go up before it comes down


OMCs, Retail Investors, International Investors and even KPC employees all avoided this at Ksh 9.....unless NSSF wants to add onto its share holding on this, limited demand will pull it lower on listing especially now with the Iran issue hence potential limitations on oil supply for KPC to distribute.

Happy Hunting


I thought they announced that more than 600 institutional investors bought more than 3x their allocation

The KPC share should rise tomorrow upon listing on day 1. It will be a highly illiquid share given that it is largely owned by institutions, and the retail investors that bought at 9.00 will obviously not sell below IPO price hurriedly. There's no logical reason for it to collapse. It should rise, but ideally via NBV, it is worth KES 6.40


I see it more rangebound 6-8 for the accumulation stage then eventually settle at 12 over the medium term.
MaichBlack
#82 Posted : Tuesday, March 10, 2026 8:40:19 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,811
Today is that day!!

Leo ndio ile siku!!
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
xtina
#83 Posted : Tuesday, March 10, 2026 10:08:25 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/26/2008
Posts: 398
MaichBlack wrote:
xtina wrote:
HaMaina wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
People need to relax. Monday is not far. Those swimming naked will be known that day!!


Swimming Naked is the most relaxing and fulfilling swim ever. Its just that everyone else thinks your mad.

On KPC Im waiting for my stocks to hit 25 and above by the end of this month. Uganda being a major shareholder and about to begin export of Oil is a definit + for KPC. KPC Shall rise.Applause Applause



Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly 25 bob aje na weak hands is only 2.56% Laughing out loudly

Uli apply ngapi @xtina? (if you don't mind saying that is)



Individually it was mid 6 figures, as chama collectively was 8 figures. For both, the objective was long term, boring, monopoly stock.
xtina
#84 Posted : Tuesday, March 10, 2026 10:12:18 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/26/2008
Posts: 398
wukan wrote:
obiero wrote:
wukan wrote:
stocksmaster wrote:
mufasa wrote:
@xtina thanks. I've seen the allocations.

I think that's good for the retail investor, the likelihood of hitting 12bob in the coming month is high.

This thing will go up before it comes down


OMCs, Retail Investors, International Investors and even KPC employees all avoided this at Ksh 9.....unless NSSF wants to add onto its share holding on this, limited demand will pull it lower on listing especially now with the Iran issue hence potential limitations on oil supply for KPC to distribute.

Happy Hunting


I thought they announced that more than 600 institutional investors bought more than 3x their allocation

The KPC share should rise tomorrow upon listing on day 1. It will be a highly illiquid share given that it is largely owned by institutions, and the retail investors that bought at 9.00 will obviously not sell below IPO price hurriedly. There's no logical reason for it to collapse. It should rise, but ideally via NBV, it is worth KES 6.40


I see it more rangebound 6-8 for the accumulation stage then eventually settle at 12 over the medium term.


Applause Applause Glad to have locked in a strong head start core position, what is remaining to accumulate the dips. Not too worried about volatility with 97% under Uganda/Rwanda, govt and institutions
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