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Stocks picks for 2015
mlennyma
#81 Posted : Monday, February 16, 2015 9:43:10 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,184
Location: nairobi
Mukiri wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
Technical analysts, fundies and my gut feeling all spell doom for 2015. I need a mentor to teach me about treasury bills. What are the current yields for the three month treasury bills? Any idea? Help a newbie in the debt market

Wachana na TBills, play safe in Foreign currency fixed deposits.

are you still scared??
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
S.Mutaga III
#82 Posted : Tuesday, February 17, 2015 2:02:09 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
mlennyma wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
Technical analysts, fundies and my gut feeling all spell doom for 2015. I need a mentor to teach me about treasury bills. What are the current yields for the three month treasury bills? Any idea? Help a newbie in the debt market

Wachana na TBills, play safe in Foreign currency fixed deposits.

are you still scared??

Yes. Very scared indeed. The chances of losing money in the current market are higher than those of gaining any. Since the CMA does not allow shorting, I was forced to liquidate my holdings at the start of the year. I prefer investing when I know that I can comfortably net over 70% in a year. Last year was a sideways market and I still made 93% returns, but I figured this year might be tricky. I will come back to beat the market when there is blood on the streets, and the way I see it, it wont be long, but you will have this year and part of next year to bleed out before my return.Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
littledove
#83 Posted : Tuesday, February 17, 2015 4:03:35 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 906
Location: sky
S.Mutaga III wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
Technical analysts, fundies and my gut feeling all spell doom for 2015. I need a mentor to teach me about treasury bills. What are the current yields for the three month treasury bills? Any idea? Help a newbie in the debt market

Wachana na TBills, play safe in Foreign currency fixed deposits.

are you still scared??

Yes. Very scared indeed. The chances of losing money in the current market are higher than those of gaining any. Since the CMA does not allow shorting, I was forced to liquidate my holdings at the start of the year. I prefer investing when I know that I can comfortably net over 70% in a year. Last year was a sideways market and I still made 93% returns, but I figured this year might be tricky. I will come back to beat the market when there is blood on the streets, and the way I see it, it wont be long, but you will have this year and part of next year to bleed out before my return.Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

thats a very high target, i used to have those kind of target and it was all anxeiety stress and fear, but i have learnt to set manageable targets and that what has kept me in the market.i usually set a target of 25% (that is atleast 20% net) 1st phase during results announcements, and another 15 to 20% during the rest of the year, i have always achieved that.
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
enyands
#84 Posted : Tuesday, February 17, 2015 5:44:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/25/2014
Posts: 2,300
Location: kenya
@littledove, how can u train me to be like you . II'm a learner.
mazingira
#85 Posted : Wednesday, February 18, 2015 1:23:25 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/26/2012
Posts: 136
EQUITY and KCB speculative target by 2017 --- 70 and 80 this is just a rough idea based on their current pattern of growth , all thing being normal and more profits in near future this is likley.
SAFCOM target 2017 -- 21 , TV growth in data and voice if they penetrate home internet and 27BN in MPESA
Britam 50 ; further purchases of subsidiaries rental income from tower balance sheet growth.
KENGEN : As electricity penetrates more and more rural areas and i think the railway will eventually be grounded and not diesel driven
S.Mutaga III
#86 Posted : Wednesday, February 18, 2015 10:45:37 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
littledove wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
Technical analysts, fundies and my gut feeling all spell doom for 2015. I need a mentor to teach me about treasury bills. What are the current yields for the three month treasury bills? Any idea? Help a newbie in the debt market

Wachana na TBills, play safe in Foreign currency fixed deposits.

are you still scared??

Yes. Very scared indeed. The chances of losing money in the current market are higher than those of gaining any. Since the CMA does not allow shorting, I was forced to liquidate my holdings at the start of the year. I prefer investing when I know that I can comfortably net over 70% in a year. Last year was a sideways market and I still made 93% returns, but I figured this year might be tricky. I will come back to beat the market when there is blood on the streets, and the way I see it, it wont be long, but you will have this year and part of next year to bleed out before my return.Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

thats a very high target, i used to have those kind of target and it was all anxeiety stress and fear, but i have learnt to set manageable targets and that what has kept me in the market.i usually set a target of 25% (that is atleast 20% net) 1st phase during results announcements, and another 15 to 20% during the rest of the year, i have always achieved that.

70% should be made relatively easily in a bull market if you are a seasoned investor. A seasoned investor should outperform even the best performing hedge funds purely because of the small amount of capital he has relative to the counters making it easy for him to enter and exit positions without affecting the price of the counter. I achieved 93% gain last year in a sideways market, outperforming the market by a factor of 33 or thereabout. Stocksmaster once made a 109% return on investment in 2010 I guess outperforming the index by a factor of 3 or thereabouts. But you only make those kinds of returns when the odds are in your favor, this year the odds did not seem in my favor so I decided to invest elsewhere...but I dont think its rocket science. With leverage, one could even do 200% returns, but nobody will loan you their money to buy shares
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
kiterunner
#87 Posted : Wednesday, February 18, 2015 11:43:02 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 7/9/2011
Posts: 730
Location: Nairobi
S.Mutaga III wrote:
littledove wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
Technical analysts, fundies and my gut feeling all spell doom for 2015. I need a mentor to teach me about treasury bills. What are the current yields for the three month treasury bills? Any idea? Help a newbie in the debt market

Wachana na TBills, play safe in Foreign currency fixed deposits.

are you still scared??

Yes. Very scared indeed. The chances of losing money in the current market are higher than those of gaining any. Since the CMA does not allow shorting, I was forced to liquidate my holdings at the start of the year. I prefer investing when I know that I can comfortably net over 70% in a year. Last year was a sideways market and I still made 93% returns, but I figured this year might be tricky. I will come back to beat the market when there is blood on the streets, and the way I see it, it wont be long, but you will have this year and part of next year to bleed out before my return.Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

thats a very high target, i used to have those kind of target and it was all anxeiety stress and fear, but i have learnt to set manageable targets and that what has kept me in the market.i usually set a target of 25% (that is atleast 20% net) 1st phase during results announcements, and another 15 to 20% during the rest of the year, i have always achieved that.

70% should be made relatively easily in a bull market if you are a seasoned investor. A seasoned investor should outperform even the best performing hedge funds purely because of the small amount of capital he has relative to the counters making it easy for him to enter and exit positions without affecting the price of the counter. I achieved 93% gain last year in a sideways market, outperforming the market by a factor of 33 or thereabout. Stocksmaster once made a 109% return on investment in 2010 I guess outperforming the index by a factor of 3 or thereabouts. But you only make those kinds of returns when the odds are in your favor, this year the odds did not seem in my favor so I decided to invest elsewhere...but I dont think its rocket science. With leverage, one could even do 200% returns, but nobody will loan you their money to buy shares


@S Mutaga I would like to get in touch my email is busy.idler@yahoo.cu.uk
our goals are best achieved indirectly
Gatheuzi
#88 Posted : Monday, March 02, 2015 10:14:07 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/16/2009
Posts: 994
Gatheuzi wrote:
Gatheuzi wrote:
Buy Scangroup at below 46 sell at 57 after results.

NIC are of similar opinion. Courtesy of @pesanane read the full script below;

Pesa Nane wrote:
January 2015 stock picks - Source: NIC

SCANGROUP BUY at TP 59.05 Current Price KES 45.00

♦ Currently receiving more support from parent company WPP after the latter’s increased stake saw Scangroup upgrade to a subsidiary (previously an associate).

♦ M&A activity to drive performance. Scangroup expects to increase its geographical presence and product offering across SSA through mergers and acquisitions.

♦ Acquisition of Experiential Marketing of South Africa to boost 2H14 performance. Scangroup acquired 80.04% of the marketing firm whose revenues stood at KES 1.6bn in FY13.

♦ Scangroup plans to boost revenue from digital advertising leveraging off WPP Digital, the digital arm of WPP



Bye bye 40's...
Time is money, so money is time. Money saved is time gained in reverse! Money stores your life’s energy. You expend your energy, get paid money, and store that money for a future purchase made in a currency.
murchr
#89 Posted : Friday, March 13, 2015 5:55:52 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
It's becoming more and more difficult to spot gems now. How I miss 2011
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Aguytrying
#90 Posted : Friday, March 13, 2015 8:42:02 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
murchr wrote:
It's becoming more and more difficult to spot gems now. How I miss 2011


me too, nostalgia
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
S.Mutaga III
#91 Posted : Saturday, March 14, 2015 7:50:30 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
After she staying in the sidelines for two months, I have finally decided to invest in stocks once again, because I have spotted a good long term opportunity. My first investment of the year will be Kenya Re, starting Monday.
Activity 1:
Kenya Reinsurance:- It turns out that having a majority shareholding by uncle Sam has some advantages too. Ironically, unlike in other firms, the government is a good business partner in Kenya Re http://www.businessdaily.../-/4r26sdz/-/index.html . The link reveals that it has guaranteed the business of the reinsurer for the next five years. In addition, the valuation of the counter is very low with a single digit P/E. The FY profits have been growing at a good rate in the last three years and despite the low dividend yield, the counter is a good growth stock. I intend to purchase 10,000 shares on Monday at the current price of 18.55. This will be my first investment in 2015. I will update my next buy if an opportunity arises. Happy Hunting 2015
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
obiero
#92 Posted : Saturday, March 14, 2015 8:38:27 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,568
Location: nairobi
the above writing has an uncanny resemblance to @stocksmaster's style.. ama ni mimi tu naona

COOP 70,000 ABP 15.20; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
Pesa Nane
#93 Posted : Saturday, March 14, 2015 10:17:03 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
obiero wrote:
the above writing has an uncanny resemblance to @stocksmaster's style.. ama ni mimi tu naona

Click HERE
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
S.Mutaga III
#94 Posted : Sunday, March 15, 2015 2:08:01 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
obiero wrote:
the above writing has an uncanny resemblance to @stocksmaster's style.. ama ni mimi tu naona


Lets just say I learned a great deal from that guy. A real master indeed!!
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
murchr
#95 Posted : Sunday, March 15, 2015 2:16:27 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Pesa Nane wrote:
obiero wrote:
the above writing has an uncanny resemblance to @stocksmaster's style.. ama ni mimi tu naona

Click HERE


Contrarian is = @deal, @Mutanga III mastered the art from @stockmaster
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
sparkly
#96 Posted : Sunday, March 15, 2015 7:31:45 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
S.Mutaga III wrote:
After she staying in the sidelines for two months, I have finally decided to invest in stocks once again, because I have spotted a good long term opportunity. My first investment of the year will be Kenya Re, starting Monday.
Activity 1:
Kenya Reinsurance:- It turns out that having a majority shareholding by uncle Sam has some advantages too. Ironically, unlike in other firms, the government is a good business partner in Kenya Re http://www.businessdaily.../-/4r26sdz/-/index.html . The link reveals that it has guaranteed the business of the reinsurer for the next five years. In addition, the valuation of the counter is very low with a single digit P/E. The FY profits have been growing at a good rate in the last three years and despite the low dividend yield, the counter is a good growth stock. I intend to purchase 10,000 shares on Monday at the current price of 18.55. This will be my first investment in 2015. I will update my next buy if an opportunity arises. Happy Hunting 2015


Welcome to this bus.
Life is short. Live passionately.
obiero
#97 Posted : Sunday, March 15, 2015 7:32:21 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,568
Location: nairobi
murchr wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
obiero wrote:
the above writing has an uncanny resemblance to @stocksmaster's style.. ama ni mimi tu naona

Click HERE


Contrarian is = @deal, @Mutanga III mastered the art from @stockmaster

I dont hear/see much from @deal @stockmaster on wazua. These were sober men

COOP 70,000 ABP 15.20; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
S.Mutaga III
#98 Posted : Sunday, March 15, 2015 10:00:19 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
obiero wrote:
murchr wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
obiero wrote:
the above writing has an uncanny resemblance to @stocksmaster's style.. ama ni mimi tu naona

Click HERE


Contrarian is = @deal, @Mutanga III mastered the art from @stockmaster

I dont hear/see much from @deal @stockmaster on wazua. These were sober men

Does that imply that am not a sober man?
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
TheGeek
#99 Posted : Sunday, March 15, 2015 11:00:17 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 7/3/2014
Posts: 245
S.Mutaga III wrote:
After she staying in the sidelines for two months, I have finally decided to invest in stocks once again, because I have spotted a good long term opportunity. My first investment of the year will be Kenya Re, starting Monday.
Activity 1:
Kenya Reinsurance:- It turns out that having a majority shareholding by uncle Sam has some advantages too. Ironically, unlike in other firms, the government is a good business partner in Kenya Re http://www.businessdaily.../-/4r26sdz/-/index.html . The link reveals that it has guaranteed the business of the reinsurer for the next five years. In addition, the valuation of the counter is very low with a single digit P/E. The FY profits have been growing at a good rate in the last three years and despite the low dividend yield, the counter is a good growth stock. I intend to purchase 10,000 shares on Monday at the current price of 18.55. This will be my first investment in 2015. I will update my next buy if an opportunity arises. Happy Hunting 2015


target price ?
Time frame ?
In the world of securities, courage and patience become the supreme virtues after adequate knowledge and a tested judgment are at hand.
Aguytrying
#100 Posted : Sunday, March 15, 2015 9:47:01 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
murchr wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
obiero wrote:
the above writing has an uncanny resemblance to @stocksmaster's style.. ama ni mimi tu naona

Click HERE


Contrarian is = @deal, @Mutanga III mastered the art from @stockmaster


If he replicates last year performance we can start believing we have a new stocksmaster
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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