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Exchange Bar: Results forecast
obiero
#81 Posted : Tuesday, November 12, 2013 7:59:55 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
HY Results Expectations set at AGM. I expect full turnaround with return to profitability at KES 1.05B for H1 2013

Total revenue 54.2B
Total expenses 53.5B
Kenya Airways H1 PBT 1.05B

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#82 Posted : Tuesday, November 12, 2013 8:05:24 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
Total revenue 54.2B
Total expenses 53.5B
Operating profit 0.7B
Kenya Airways H1 PBT 1.05B

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
PKoli
#83 Posted : Tuesday, November 12, 2013 9:49:19 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
obiero wrote:
Total revenue 54.2B
Total expenses 53.5B
Operating profit 0.7B
Kenya Airways H1 PBT 1.05B


Extremely low margins indeed
PKoli
#84 Posted : Tuesday, November 12, 2013 9:50:56 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
obiero wrote:
Total revenue 54.2B
Total expenses 53.5B
Operating profit 0.7B
Kenya Airways H1 PBT 1.05B


Extremely low margins indeed
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#85 Posted : Wednesday, November 13, 2013 9:47:13 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,220
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
obiero wrote:
Total revenue 54.2B
Total expenses 53.5B
Operating profit 0.7B
Kenya Airways H1 PBT 1.05B

Quite close. Herewith the actuals:


Total revenue 54.3B
Total expenses 52.6B
Operating profit 1.7B
Kenya Airways H1 PBT 0.548B
Applause Applause Applause
@SufficientlyP
obiero
#86 Posted : Wednesday, November 13, 2013 11:43:03 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
obiero wrote:
Total revenue 54.2B
Total expenses 53.5B
Operating profit 0.7B
Kenya Airways H1 PBT 1.05B

Quite close. Herewith the actuals:


Total revenue 54.3B
Total expenses 52.6B
Operating profit 1.7B
Kenya Airways H1 PBT 0.548B
Applause Applause Applause

Now watch the rally reloaded

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#87 Posted : Wednesday, November 13, 2013 12:23:22 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,220
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
obiero wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
obiero wrote:
Total revenue 54.2B
Total expenses 53.5B
Operating profit 0.7B
Kenya Airways H1 PBT 1.05B

Quite close. Herewith the actuals:


Total revenue 54.3B
Total expenses 52.6B
Operating profit 1.7B
Kenya Airways H1 PBT 0.548B
Applause Applause Applause

Now watch the rally reloaded

Flying high.
@SufficientlyP
obiero
#88 Posted : Thursday, November 14, 2013 6:13:10 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
PKoli wrote:
guru267 wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
xxxxx wrote:
obiero wrote:
finally, a running commentary by wazua analysts of quarterly results as they come in, to help guests make somewhat informed decisions..
To start us off, projections for Q3 2013:
Equity PBT 17.5B
KCB PBT 17.0B [negative growth]
COOP PBT 9.6B
SCBK PBT 9.5B
BBK PBT 8.9B
DTB PBT 5.6B
I&M PBT 5.5B
CFC PBT 5.2B
NIC PBT 4.1B
NBK PBT 1.3B
HFCK PBT 875M


@obiero, tell the bar patrons to be careful; the barman must be putting something poisonous in their drinks.Shame on you Shame on you Shame on you Shame on you Shame on you

@xxx Restatements were made on projections for Q3 2013:
KCB PBT 17.0B Actual 15.2B
Equity PBT 15.4B Actual 12.6B
COOP PBT 9.6B
SCBK PBT 9.5B
BBK PBT 8.9B
DTB PBT 5.6B Actual 5.3B
I&M PBT 5.5B
CFC PBT 5.2B
NIC PBT 4.1B
NBK PBT 1.3B Actual 1.2B
HFCK PBT 875M Actual 894.7M

Only one out of three so far has been spot on but many results still to come. I hope @guru254 isnt seeing this..
Check Q3 NBK insider information at work. 2 out of 4 results now spot on.. steam is gathering, credibility being cemented


@obiero 2 out of 4 = average = guesswork smile



@obiero,

If you will be within 90% of estimate for PBT, I will salute you. Keep it up

Check DTB 3 out of 5..

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
VituVingiSana
#89 Posted : Thursday, November 14, 2013 9:50:55 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,103
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
xxxxx wrote:
obiero wrote:
finally, a running commentary by wazua analysts of quarterly results as they come in, to help guests make somewhat informed decisions..
To start us off, projections for Q3 2013:
Equity PBT 17.5B
KCB PBT 17.0B [negative growth]
COOP PBT 9.6B
SCBK PBT 9.5B
BBK PBT 8.9B
DTB PBT 5.6B
I&M PBT 5.5B
CFC PBT 5.2B
NIC PBT 4.1B
NBK PBT 1.3B
HFCK PBT 875M


@obiero, tell the bar patrons to be careful; the barman must be putting something poisonous in their drinks.Shame on you Shame on you Shame on you Shame on you Shame on you

@xxx Restatements were made on projections for Q3 2013:
KCB PBT 17.0B Actual 15.2B
Equity PBT 15.4B Actual 12.6B
COOP PBT 9.6B
SCBK PBT 9.5B
BBK PBT 8.9B
DTB PBT 5.6B
I&M PBT 5.5B
CFC PBT 5.2B
NIC PBT 4.1B
NBK PBT 1.3B
HFCK PBT 875M Actual 894.7M

Only one out of three so far has been spot on but many results still to come. I hope @guru254 isn't seeing this.. [/quote] Not bad at all. DTB came in at 5.34bn so very close (within 5%) to @Obiero's forecast.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
obiero
#90 Posted : Wednesday, November 20, 2013 1:24:45 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
xxxxx wrote:
[quote=obiero]finally, a running commentary by wazua analysts of quarterly results as they come in, to help guests make somewhat informed decisions..
To start us off, projections for Q3 2013:
KCB PBT 17.0B Actual 15.2B
Equity PBT 15.4B Actual 12.6B
COOP PBT 9.6B Actual 8.9B
SCBK PBT 9.5B
BBK PBT 8.9B
DTB PBT 5.6B
I&M PBT 5.5B
CFC PBT 5.2B
NIC PBT 4.1B
NBK PBT 1.3B
HFCK PBT 875M Actual 894.7M

Only one out of three so far has been spot on but many results still to come. I hope @guru254 isn't seeing this..
Not bad at all. DTB came in at 5.34bn so very close (within 5%) to @Obiero's forecast.


HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
S.Mutaga III
#91 Posted : Wednesday, November 20, 2013 1:28:42 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
xxxxx wrote:
[quote=obiero]finally, a running commentary by wazua analysts of quarterly results as they come in, to help guests make somewhat informed decisions..
To start us off, projections for Q3 2013:
KCB PBT 17.0B Actual 15.2B
Equity PBT 15.4B Actual 12.6B
COOP PBT 9.6B Actual 8.9B
SCBK PBT 9.5B
BBK PBT 8.9B
DTB PBT 5.6B
I&M PBT 5.5B
CFC PBT 5.2B
NIC PBT 4.1B
NBK PBT 1.3B
HFCK PBT 875M Actual 894.7M

Only one out of three so far has been spot on but many results still to come. I hope @guru254 isn't seeing this..
Not bad at all. DTB came in at 5.34bn so very close (within 5%) to @Obiero's forecast.



How correct or wrong can you judge the projections...margin of error at 5%,10%??
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
obiero
#92 Posted : Wednesday, November 20, 2013 2:03:29 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
S.Mutaga III wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
xxxxx wrote:
[quote=obiero]finally, a running commentary by wazua analysts of quarterly results as they come in, to help guests make somewhat informed decisions..
To start us off, projections for Q3 2013:
KCB PBT 17.0B Actual 15.2B
Equity PBT 15.4B Actual 12.6B
COOP PBT 9.6B Actual 8.9B
SCBK PBT 9.5B
BBK PBT 8.9B
DTB PBT 5.6B
I&M PBT 5.5B
CFC PBT 5.2B
NIC PBT 4.1B
NBK PBT 1.3B
HFCK PBT 875M Actual 894.7M

Only one out of three so far has been spot on but many results still to come. I hope @guru254 isn't seeing this..
Not bad at all. DTB came in at 5.34bn so very close (within 5%) to @Obiero's forecast.



How correct or wrong can you judge the projections...margin of error at 5%,10%??

5% is fair

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#93 Posted : Wednesday, November 20, 2013 2:12:21 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
xxxxx wrote:
[quote=obiero]finally, a running commentary by wazua analysts of quarterly results as they come in, to help guests make somewhat informed decisions..
To start us off, projections for Q3 2013:
KCB PBT 17.0B Actual 15.2B
Equity PBT 15.4B Actual 12.6B
COOP PBT 9.6B Actual 8.9B
SCBK PBT 9.5B
BBK PBT 8.9B
DTB PBT 5.6B Actual 5.3B
I&M PBT 5.5B
CFC PBT 5.2B
NIC PBT 4.1B
NBK PBT 1.3B Actual 1.2B
HFCK PBT 875M Actual 894.7M

Only one out of three so far has been spot on but many results still to come. I hope @guru254 isn't seeing this..
Not bad at all. DTB came in at 5.34bn so very close (within 5%) to @Obiero's forecast.



HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#94 Posted : Wednesday, November 20, 2013 2:16:03 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
xxxxx wrote:
[quote=obiero]finally, a running commentary by wazua analysts of quarterly results as they come in, to help guests make somewhat informed decisions..
To start us off, projections for Q3 2013:
KCB PBT 17.0B Actual 15.2B
Equity PBT 15.4B Actual 12.6B
COOP PBT 9.6B Actual 8.9B
SCBK PBT 9.5B
BBK PBT 8.9B
DTB PBT 5.6B Actual 5.3B
I&M PBT 5.5B
CFC PBT 5.2B
NIC PBT 4.1B
NBK PBT 1.3B Actual 1.2B
HFCK PBT 875M Actual 894.7M

Only one out of three so far has been spot on but many results still to come. I hope @guru254 isn't seeing this..
Not bad at all. DTB came in at 5.34bn so very close (within 5%) to @Obiero's forecast.



How correct or wrong can you judge the projections...margin of error at 5%,10%??

5% is fair


HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#95 Posted : Wednesday, November 20, 2013 10:05:58 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
xxxxx wrote:
finally, a running commentary by wazua analysts of quarterly results as they come in, to help guests make somewhat informed decisions..
To start us off, projections for Q3 2013:
KCB PBT 17.0B Actual 15.2B
Equity PBT 15.4B Actual 12.6B
COOP PBT 9.6B Actual 8.8B
SCBK PBT 9.5B
BBK PBT 8.9B
DTB PBT 5.6B Actual 5.3B
I&M PBT 5.5B
CFC PBT 5.2B
NIC PBT 4.1B
NBK PBT 1.3B Actual 1.2B
HFCK PBT 875M Actual 894.7M

Only one out of three so far has been spot on but many results still to come. I hope @guru254 isn't seeing this..
Not bad at all. DTB came in at 5.34bn so very close (within 5%) to @Obiero's forecast.



How correct or wrong can you judge the projections...margin of error at 5%,10%??

5% is fair


Have Stanchart & BBK lost the plot???

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
King G
#96 Posted : Thursday, November 21, 2013 9:27:05 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/20/2012
Posts: 3,855
Location: Othumo
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
xxxxx wrote:
finally, a running commentary by wazua analysts of quarterly results as they come in, to help guests make somewhat informed decisions..
To start us off, projections for Q3 2013:
KCB PBT 17.0B Actual 15.2B
Equity PBT 15.4B Actual 12.6B
COOP PBT 9.6B Actual 8.8B
SCBK PBT 9.5B
BBK PBT 8.9B
DTB PBT 5.6B Actual 5.3B
I&M PBT 5.5B
CFC PBT 5.2B
NIC PBT 4.1B
NBK PBT 1.3B Actual 1.2B
HFCK PBT 875M Actual 894.7M

Only one out of three so far has been spot on but many results still to come. I hope @guru254 isn't seeing this..
Not bad at all. DTB came in at 5.34bn so very close (within 5%) to @Obiero's forecast.



How correct or wrong can you judge the projections...margin of error at 5%,10%??

5% is fair


Have Stanchart & BBK lost the plot???


They must be in SHOCK!!!!!
Thieves
obiero
#97 Posted : Thursday, November 21, 2013 9:56:42 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
King G wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
S.Mutaga III wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
xxxxx wrote:
finally, a running commentary by wazua analysts of quarterly results as they come in, to help guests make somewhat informed decisions..
To start us off, projections for Q3 2013:
KCB PBT 17.0B Actual 15.2B
Equity PBT 15.4B Actual 12.6B
COOP PBT 9.6B Actual 8.8B
SCBK PBT 9.5B
BBK PBT 8.9B
DTB PBT 5.6B Actual 5.3B
I&M PBT 5.5B
CFC PBT 5.2B
NIC PBT 4.1B
NBK PBT 1.3B Actual 1.2B
HFCK PBT 875M Actual 894.7M

Only one out of three so far has been spot on but many results still to come. I hope @guru254 isn't seeing this..
Not bad at all. DTB came in at 5.34bn so very close (within 5%) to @Obiero's forecast.



How correct or wrong can you judge the projections...margin of error at 5%,10%??

5% is fair


Have Stanchart & BBK lost the plot???


They must be in SHOCK!!!!!

Stanchart is know for suprises. May easily announce above 20% gain

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#98 Posted : Thursday, November 21, 2013 6:39:50 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,516
Location: nairobi
KCB PBT 17.0B Actual 15.2B
Equity PBT 15.4B Actual 12.6B
COOP PBT 9.6B Actual 8.8B
SCBK PBT 9.5B Actual 9.9B
BBK PBT 8.9B
DTB PBT 5.6B Actual 5.3B
I&M PBT 5.5B
CFC PBT 5.2B
NIC PBT 4.1B
NBK PBT 1.3B Actual 1.2B
HFCK PBT 875M Actual 894.7M [/quote]
Four out of seven bang on the money. Long live insider information/trading..

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
the deal
#99 Posted : Thursday, November 21, 2013 11:14:19 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Q3 2013 Banking Pretax Profits were Ksh92.5Bn...7 banks have announced so far for a combined Pretax Profit of Ksh53.9Bn....I'm expecting suprises from the 4 remaining...huge possibility 1 or 2 of them did exceptionally well...the 4 remaining are NIC Bank, BBK, CFC and I&M...who will shine and who will flop? .........Le Wait!?!smile
mwekez@ji
#100 Posted : Friday, November 22, 2013 8:48:46 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
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