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lochaz-index
#4921 Posted : Tuesday, September 13, 2016 5:16:17 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Considering that we are at a 5000 year global all time low in interest rates the markets maybe reverting to the mean...this will be extremely painful. The cost of money has been a reliable market signal right up to the GFC, after which it never reflected the real risk inherent in multiple investment avenues. NIRP is just a facet of that misnomer. Bonds from CCC, junk, investment grade, AT1/CoCo and sovereigns are about to be very expensive to service. A decade long(probably longer) sellside is coming for most developed markets. My take is that that development will tip the balance back to emerging and frontier markets in the long run.
http://www.thefiscaltime...l-Bank-About-Blow-Market
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
hisah
#4922 Posted : Tuesday, September 13, 2016 5:33:26 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
IMF chief Lagarde to face trial after French court rejects her appeal regarding $440mn payout

Former AIG chief Hank Greenberg finally goes on trial

Is the house of cards finally starting to tumble...? Think
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#4923 Posted : Tuesday, September 13, 2016 5:34:27 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
lochaz-index wrote:
Considering that we are at a 5000 year global all time low in interest rates the markets maybe reverting to the mean...this will be extremely painful. The cost of money has been a reliable market signal right up to the GFC, after which it never reflected the real risk inherent in multiple investment avenues. NIRP is just a facet of that misnomer. Bonds from CCC, junk, investment grade, AT1/CoCo and sovereigns are about to be very expensive to service. A decade long(probably longer) sellside is coming for most developed markets. My take is that that development will tip the balance back to emerging and frontier markets in the long run.
http://www.thefiscaltime...-Bank-About-Blow-Market

What the BoJ has done is beyond criminal Sad
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
lochaz-index
#4924 Posted : Tuesday, September 13, 2016 10:09:13 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127

Looks like things are not going according to script in many ways. With Obama's term coming to an end, Lagarde will lose her teflon suit and become fair game.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
lochaz-index
#4925 Posted : Friday, September 16, 2016 9:26:00 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Eurozone is a basket case. Quite possibly the market has stopped pricing in inflation expectations and is focused on increasing default probabilities hence the spike in bond yields.

ECB's QE program runs out in March of next year. The 'blue-chip economy' of the Eurozone is Germany but it is of late extremely anti-QE led by Deutsche and Commerzbank. In addition there is not much monetizing room left for the ECB to explore. This could mean that Eurozone QE has a maximum of seven months...another development being priced in by the bond markets.

Meanwhile, funds from the peripheral EU economies is still piling in the bunds despite falling prices.

http://www.telegraph.co....n-and-that-is-dangerous/
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
alutacontinua
#4926 Posted : Friday, September 16, 2016 11:24:01 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
DB leading banking stocks into the red today.....

http://www.usnews.com/ne...-justice-dept-settlement
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
lochaz-index
#4927 Posted : Friday, September 16, 2016 11:32:14 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
[quote=alutacontinua]DB leading banking stocks into the red today.....

http://www.usnews.com/ne...justice-dept-settlement[/quote]
Deutsche Bank was slapped with a $14billion fine. Single digit prices are almost becoming a reality for this stock. Coming at a time when it can barely walk, this s a good example of Murphy's law at work.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
lochaz-index
#4928 Posted : Friday, September 16, 2016 4:24:26 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
European banks are against Basel committee's recommendation to increase their capital despite support for the same measures from their American contemporaries. The latter having benefitted from massive bailouts in 2008 are now turning the screws on their besieged colleagues. At this point even AT1 bonds don't seem like a viable alternative to raise cash for European banks, especially the Italian ones.

http://www.bloomberg.com...nk-capital-rule-overhaul
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
tmatekwa
#4929 Posted : Monday, September 19, 2016 5:04:35 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/1/2007
Posts: 232
I wonder how the markets will react? Another down trend?

http://www.nation.co.ke/...7230-vud7roz/index.html
researchfirst
#4930 Posted : Monday, September 19, 2016 7:52:08 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/24/2015
Posts: 154
Location: Nairobi
tmatekwa wrote:
I wonder how the markets will react? Another down trend?

http://www.nation.co.ke/...7230-vud7roz/index.html


Nobody will give a crap. International investors, who are the ones who really drive the market, aren't looking to the past. They are waiting to see what will happen next year. If the election is smooth, we'll all be farting through silk.
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