Emerging Markets Lean Over the EdgeQuote:When investors all decide to stampede into the same asset, there's always the worry that the fast money in will be just as fast on the way out.
Investors have largely ignored this concern over the past few months and piled in developing-market bonds, especially those denominated in dollars. This debt has posted huge returns, dwarfing gains on U.S. government bonds and stocks. The nations benefiting the most have often been among the weakest, including Venezuela, Brazil and Sri Lanka.
The largest exchange-traded fund that focuses on this debt -- the iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF -- just posted a record one-day withdrawal. That's a marked reversal for an ETF that has received more than $4 billion of deposits so far this year.
Few expect the USD to stage a nasty parabolic as capital flies back into US assets. With NIRP in full operational in euroland and the Japs running one freak show on the same, that capital flight will be awesome as funds chase quality USD asset yields when reality strikes soon!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!