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Estimated 71 Billion Barrels...
youcan'tstopusnow
#471 Posted : Tuesday, September 11, 2012 10:49:10 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
murchr wrote:
Gas not commercially viable Sad

That was fast! It was nice while it lasted though. A new well will be drilled in 2013

http://news.yahoo.com/ke...122514039--finance.html
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
murchr
#472 Posted : Wednesday, September 12, 2012 5:07:58 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
murchr wrote:
Gas not commercially viable Sad

That was fast! It was nice while it lasted though. A new well will be drilled in 2013

http://news.yahoo.com/ke...122514039--finance.html


Am not buying this story, The "investigation is still continuing" says much.
Quote:
Apache will spend the next year interpreting the data from Mbawa to determine if the gas was dry or the result of an oil formation. It will then drill a second well in the L8 block at the end of 2013.
Time will tell tho
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
shocks
#473 Posted : Wednesday, September 12, 2012 10:20:21 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/15/2009
Posts: 362
I'm with you on that.

murchr wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
murchr wrote:
Gas not commercially viable Sad

That was fast! It was nice while it lasted though. A new well will be drilled in 2013

http://news.yahoo.com/ke...122514039--finance.html


Am not buying this story, The "investigation is still continuing" says much.
Quote:
Apache will spend the next year interpreting the data from Mbawa to determine if the gas was dry or the result of an oil formation. It will then drill a second well in the L8 block at the end of 2013.
Time will tell tho


Monday their report was upbeat, tuesday its bad again? it like they are playing a game, considering pancontinental shares shot 70% after the announcement, did someone at pancontinental want to dump his stock at a good price fully aware the well is not commercially viable?
hisah
#474 Posted : Wednesday, September 12, 2012 11:57:08 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
The intent was attention. Goal achieved. Then the commercial announcements next year...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
youcan'tstopusnow
#475 Posted : Wednesday, September 12, 2012 5:20:26 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
If Citigroup is right, Saudi Arabia will cease to be an oil exporter by 2030, far sooner than previously thought.

A 150-page report by Heidy Rehman on the Saudi petrochemical industry should be sober reading for those who think that shale oil and gas have solved our global energy crunch.

• Saudi Arabia Could be an Oil Importer by ~2030 — Saudi Arabia is the world’s largest oil producer (11.1mbpd) & exporter (7.7mbpd). It also consumes 25% of its production. Energy consumption per capita exceeds that of most industrial nations. Oil & its derivatives account for ~50% of Saudi’s electricity production, used mostly (>50%) for residential use. Peak power demand is growing by ~8%/yr. Our analysis shows that if nothing changes Saudi may have no available oil for export by 2030.

• It Already Consumes All Its Gas Production — Saudi Arabia produces 9.6bn ft3/day of natural gas. This is entirely consumed domestically. It is looking to raise gas production to 15.5bn ft3/day by 2015E, implying a 2011-15E CAGR of 12.7%. However, peak power demand is growing at almost 8% pa. We believe Saudi Arabia will need to find new sources to meet residential & industrial demand.

http://blogs.telegraph.c...audi-oil-well-dries-up/

Haiya! Kwani they want to leave us with all the 'responsibilty'?. 2030 they say.
Ominous?smile
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Robinhood
#476 Posted : Wednesday, September 12, 2012 6:10:25 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/11/2008
Posts: 2,306
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
If Citigroup is right, Saudi Arabia will cease to be an oil exporter by 2030, far sooner than previously thought.

A 150-page report by Heidy Rehman on the Saudi petrochemical industry should be sober reading for those who think that shale oil and gas have solved our global energy crunch.

• Saudi Arabia Could be an Oil Importer by ~2030 — Saudi Arabia is the world’s largest oil producer (11.1mbpd) & exporter (7.7mbpd). It also consumes 25% of its production. Energy consumption per capita exceeds that of most industrial nations. Oil & its derivatives account for ~50% of Saudi’s electricity production, used mostly (>50%) for residential use. Peak power demand is growing by ~8%/yr. Our analysis shows that if nothing changes Saudi may have no available oil for export by 2030.

• It Already Consumes All Its Gas Production — Saudi Arabia produces 9.6bn ft3/day of natural gas. This is entirely consumed domestically. It is looking to raise gas production to 15.5bn ft3/day by 2015E, implying a 2011-15E CAGR of 12.7%. However, peak power demand is growing at almost 8% pa. We believe Saudi Arabia will need to find new sources to meet residential & industrial demand.

http://blogs.telegraph.c...audi-oil-well-dries-up/

Haiya! Kwani they want to leave us with all the 'responsibilty'?. 2030 they say.
Ominous?smile


It will be quite a pain for them to live in the desert. They never bothered to diversify
Great men are not always wise, neither do the aged understand judgement...
murchr
#477 Posted : Wednesday, September 12, 2012 7:00:38 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Let us keep in mind that

1. The L8 partners did not have the same results for their pre drilling estimates ie the seismic results, Pan con had an estimate of 4.9 BBO and 552b cubic feet of gas. Their gas estimate was below threshold to what Apache would ideally call commercially viable. Apache on the other hand, was estimating a 200-300MBO.

2. Mbawa (L8) is large so their is a possibility that they drilled at the wrong spot. Remember the first well that was drilled in Block 10BB (Loperot well) was also not very promising - shell got 13M net pay - it was abandoned in 1992, yet the Ngamia 1 well returned a reading of over 100M.

3. A thing to note is that oil slicks were observed at the floor of the ocean, so L8 has a very high chance of returning a oil play and may be gas.

I would like to hear what Tullow's observations are.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
youcan'tstopusnow
#478 Posted : Wednesday, September 12, 2012 7:56:59 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Pancontinental is down 47 percent
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Nabwire
#479 Posted : Wednesday, September 12, 2012 8:29:10 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/22/2011
Posts: 1,325
murchr wrote:

2. Mbawa (L8) is large so their is a possibility that they drilled at the wrong spot. Remember the first well that was drilled in Block 10BB (Loperot well) was also not very promising - shell got 13M net pay - it was abandoned in 1992, yet the Ngamia 1 well returned a reading of over 100M.


Thats the same thing I was thinking, kwanza this is offshore oil!!! So tununue ama tungoje ishuke even more, cant believe just Monday it was up 107% na sasa imerudi price ya Monday, si hii ni mchezo??
alikujia
#480 Posted : Wednesday, September 12, 2012 8:55:46 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/27/2010
Posts: 324
Location: nrb
cma ya huko ni kama ya kenya? ama itachukua action.
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