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hisah
#4461 Posted : Tuesday, January 06, 2015 8:10:01 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Crude oil breaks below $50 handle with brent oil also sub 55 and likely to test sub 50. Will the price remain at the basement in 2015. Oil producers will crash their fx reserves at this rate leading to current account deficits. Those with shallow fx reserve pockets face tough economical turbulence. Will OPEC remain intact or will the cartel members start an internal gang fight...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Metasploit
#4462 Posted : Tuesday, January 06, 2015 5:35:40 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
hisah wrote:
Crude oil breaks below $50 handle with brent oil also sub 55 and likely to test sub 50. Will the price remain at the basement in 2015. Oil producers will crash their fx reserves at this rate leading to current account deficits. Those with shallow fx reserve pockets face tough economical turbulence. Will OPEC remain intact or will the cartel members start an internal gang fight...


How long will these hold ? this will eventually put the shale producers and a good number of players off and finally supply will be diminished in respect to demand (unless global economy slows down kabisa )

I see AOL and Tullow trading at ***** prices !!!

I should start working on having an account that will make me trade in these shares

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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Nabwire
#4463 Posted : Wednesday, January 07, 2015 5:18:17 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/22/2011
Posts: 1,325
kyt wrote:
i see @nabwire, so a visitor enter the NYSE, say, on a tour?


Oh you meant enter as in tour the NYSE? The public can no longer go inside the building for tours after the 09/11 attacks. You can only walk around the building, only staff and media are allowed inside the building.
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hisah
#4464 Posted : Thursday, January 08, 2015 12:31:41 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Metasploit wrote:
hisah wrote:
Crude oil breaks below $50 handle with brent oil also sub 55 and likely to test sub 50. Will the price remain at the basement in 2015. Oil producers will crash their fx reserves at this rate leading to current account deficits. Those with shallow fx reserve pockets face tough economical turbulence. Will OPEC remain intact or will the cartel members start an internal gang fight...


How long will these hold ? this will eventually put the shale producers and a good number of players off and finally supply will be diminished in respect to demand (unless global economy slows down kabisa )

I see AOL and Tullow trading at ***** prices !!!

I should start working on having an account that will make me trade in these shares

AOL and TLW fat discounts are so fantastic. Hope these basement prices last much longer for a sustained scoop for the long term basket. KE CGT on mining firms is also adding bear pressure for oil stocks with operations in KE. Currently scoping hydrocarbon stocks to pick for this year with the fat discount making it difficult to choose. Drool
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#4465 Posted : Monday, January 19, 2015 2:03:58 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
Mart_Consult wrote:
THE Cartel's spoken...what say you @Hisah?

I'm not buying their story of saying by maintaining output at current levels, low Oil prices will fuel global economy growth...something doesn't sound right there, OPEC isn't the world's keeper...bye-bye to a now crippled Venezuela economy too...

Indeed OPEC is out of sorts. Oil has just broken another critical support level in what has now become a norm since Sept!? Shale oil sector and small hydrocarbon economies are facing a nasty crossfire.

This Putin guy. Watch him.


Russia Cuts Off Gas Supplies through Ukraine To Six European Countries

Market volatility will likely be the dominant theme in 2015.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#4466 Posted : Thursday, January 22, 2015 7:00:11 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Whoa! This hedgefund blew up $100M fund this January down to $200K?!? Margin call central... Volatility affects everyone.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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kyt
#4467 Posted : Thursday, January 22, 2015 7:12:35 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/7/2007
Posts: 2,182
hisah wrote:
Whoa! This hedgefund blew up $100M fund this January down to $200K?!? Margin call central... Volatility affects everyone.

but hisah, this is just plain madness, how do you lose 90% of the funds in less than a year, and the guy is just "truly sorry? what does that even mean?
LOVE WHAT YOU DO, DO WHAT YOU LOVE.
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murchr
#4468 Posted : Thursday, January 22, 2015 7:21:22 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
Mart_Consult wrote:
THE Cartel's spoken...what say you @Hisah?

I'm not buying their story of saying by maintaining output at current levels, low Oil prices will fuel global economy growth...something doesn't sound right there, OPEC isn't the world's keeper...bye-bye to a now crippled Venezuela economy too...

Indeed OPEC is out of sorts. Oil has just broken another critical support level in what has now become a norm since Sept!? Shale oil sector and small hydrocarbon economies are facing a nasty crossfire.

This Putin guy. Watch him.


Russia Cuts Off Gas Supplies through Ukraine To Six European Countries

Market volatility will likely be the dominant theme in 2015.


Job cuts in oil industry
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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hisah
#4469 Posted : Thursday, January 22, 2015 7:42:10 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Incredible oil selloff looking at the 5yr chart. Absolutely insane. Many funds will blow up against such a swift solid move...

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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  | | Edit by user: Thursday, January 22, 2015 7:44 AM | Reason: Not specified
Kagame
#4470 Posted : Thursday, January 22, 2015 9:56:09 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 4/1/2014
Posts: 47
@hisah,am lost as to what triggered the rapid decline.is it the volumes,increased research or america and Canada shale production.or politics by Saudi.did Elliott wave movement foresee the probability of such.big question.can the same happen to equities world over now that we are all inter link.imagine a UK or euro crisis.can fall of china bring untold pain.external factors are very dangerous as we can't predict how African equities will act.i think the oil saga has made me open up to various possibilities.
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