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murchr
#4321 Posted : Wednesday, July 30, 2014 8:55:38 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
mnandii wrote:
murchr wrote:
Will Argentina default?

Understanding Argentina’s Coming Default

Quote:
At the time of this writing, Argentina is a few days away from formally defaulting on its debts.How could this happen three times in just twenty-eight years?

link



12 more hours...
http://www.economist.com...7/economist-explains-22

"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
mnandii
#4322 Posted : Wednesday, July 30, 2014 9:50:33 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Mastermind wrote:
mnandii wrote:
Travel firm says Kenya 'joking' about tourism figures
Tourism Figures Not Pretty


When i read that statement by KTB i assumed they meant Arrivals and not tourist arrivals.

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#4323 Posted : Wednesday, July 30, 2014 9:54:18 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
murchr wrote:
mnandii wrote:
murchr wrote:
Will Argentina default?

Understanding Argentina’s Coming Default

Quote:
At the time of this writing, Argentina is a few days away from formally defaulting on its debts.How could this happen three times in just twenty-eight years?

link



12 more hours...
http://www.economist.com...7/economist-explains-22


Argentina's is a classic failure of Keynesianism: The belief that deficits are 'good' for the economy is a misplaced notion.

Quote:
It could be said that Judge Griesa had to do little more than read the contract that Argentina offered its creditors. In spite of this, much has been said in Argentina (and abroad) about how Judge Griesa’s ruling damages the legal security of sovereign bonds and debt restructuring.

The problem is not Judge Griesa’s ruling. The problem is that Argentina had decided to once again prefer deficits and unrestrained government spending to paying its obligations. Griesa’s ruling suggests that a default cannot be used as a political tool to ignore contracts at politician’s convenience.


Quote:
A ruling favorable to Argentina’s government would have allowed a government to violate its own contracts, making it even harder for poor countries to access capital.

We can simplify the case to an analogy on a smaller scale. Try to explain to your bank that since it was you who squandered your earnings for more than a decade,you have the right to not pay the mortgage with which you purchased your home. When the bank takes you to court for not paying your mortgage, explain to the judge that you are a poor victim of evil money vultures and that you have the right to ignore creditors because you couldn’t be bothered with changing your unsustainable spending habits. When the judge rules against you, try to explain to the world in international newspapers how the decision of the judge is an injustice that endangers the international banking market (as the Argentine government has been doing recently). Try now to justify the position of the Argentine government.


same link
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#4324 Posted : Wednesday, July 30, 2014 9:57:58 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Mastermind wrote:
mnandii wrote:
Travel firm says Kenya 'joking' about tourism figures
Tourism Figures Not Pretty


When i read that statement by KTB i assumed they meant Arrivals and not tourist arrivals.

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
murchr
#4325 Posted : Wednesday, July 30, 2014 11:10:19 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Mastermind wrote:
mnandii wrote:
Travel firm says Kenya 'joking' about tourism figures
Tourism Figures Not Pretty


When i read that statement by KTB i assumed they meant Arrivals and not tourist arrivals.


All arrivals are tourists. The how much they spend and where they spend it is the question.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
murchr
#4326 Posted : Thursday, July 31, 2014 5:14:00 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
mnandii wrote:
murchr wrote:
mnandii wrote:
murchr wrote:
Will Argentina default?

Understanding Argentina’s Coming Default

Quote:
At the time of this writing, Argentina is a few days away from formally defaulting on its debts.How could this happen three times in just twenty-eight years?

link



12 more hours...
http://www.economist.com...7/economist-explains-22


Argentina's is a classic failure of Keynesianism: The belief that deficits are 'good' for the economy is a misplaced notion.

Quote:
It could be said that Judge Griesa had to do little more than read the contract that Argentina offered its creditors. In spite of this, much has been said in Argentina (and abroad) about how Judge Griesa’s ruling damages the legal security of sovereign bonds and debt restructuring.

The problem is not Judge Griesa’s ruling. The problem is that Argentina had decided to once again prefer deficits and unrestrained government spending to paying its obligations. Griesa’s ruling suggests that a default cannot be used as a political tool to ignore contracts at politician’s convenience.


Quote:
A ruling favorable to Argentina’s government would have allowed a government to violate its own contracts, making it even harder for poor countries to access capital.

We can simplify the case to an analogy on a smaller scale. Try to explain to your bank that since it was you who squandered your earnings for more than a decade,you have the right to not pay the mortgage with which you purchased your home. When the bank takes you to court for not paying your mortgage, explain to the judge that you are a poor victim of evil money vultures and that you have the right to ignore creditors because you couldn’t be bothered with changing your unsustainable spending habits. When the judge rules against you, try to explain to the world in international newspapers how the decision of the judge is an injustice that endangers the international banking market (as the Argentine government has been doing recently). Try now to justify the position of the Argentine government.


same link



Argentina Declared in Default by S&P as Talks Fail

"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Thiong'o
#4327 Posted : Monday, August 04, 2014 7:59:05 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/14/2011
Posts: 661
11 Countries Near Bankruptcy

The countries with the lowest credit ratings significantly differ from one another. They span the globe, ranging from Greece and Ukraine in Europe, to Pakistan in Asia, to Ecuador, Venezuela, and Belize in South America.
These nations also suffer from vastly different problems. Some nations, such as Ukraine and Egypt, owe their recent downgrades to political conditions. Others, such as Belize and Ecuador, have actually been upgraded in recent years based on their improved financial positions.

http://www.huffingtonpos...id=txtlnkusaolp00000592
The optimist
#4328 Posted : Monday, August 04, 2014 8:22:27 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/14/2010
Posts: 521
Location: Nairobi
East African Community banks poised for strong growth:
Strong growth and expansion are likely over the next two years for the five banking systems within the East African Community, says a new report by Moody's Investors Service.
- See more at: http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/news/east-african-community-banks-poised-for-strong-growth.html#sthash.YrehYQG2.dpuf
hisah
#4329 Posted : Tuesday, August 05, 2014 3:12:51 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
GE warns that closing ExIm Bank would hit US-Africa trade - http://www.cnbc.com/id/101891211

Ching people are making the US uncomfy when it comes to Africa trade smile
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#4330 Posted : Tuesday, August 05, 2014 8:47:07 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Just thinking wildly, will we ever see a day where commodities will be traded on the exchange in Kenya? Silver, Gold etc? How does it happen elsewhere?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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