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directional forecast
karasinga
#401 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2016 7:10:46 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
ARM
nice demand zone between 22.5 and 25. Price might retest this zone before moving on. Whistle
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#402 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2016 12:44:57 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
hisah wrote:
KEGN taking too long to test 5 handle means buyers are rapidly absorbing the sellers. I was hoping the 5 handle would be tested during the panic selloff post results, but the buyers have other ideas smile

Technically, 5 looks unreasonable but you know "anything can happen" in financial markets. let me elaborate well by the chart below(as usual). Check from the left and find a good demand zone which held the market very well. If the chart is right and you want to board this bus, it would be better to wait for the price around 5.8 (to get a wholesale price (like the market makers/insiders). Market may retest Demand zone before moving on.

In the mean time, stay safe.
baby steps...


almost thereWhistle
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#403 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2016 12:49:25 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
sparkly wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Kenya Airways Ltd Ord 5.00 broke above the upside resistance level of 3.43, 2 day(s) ago. This is a bullish sign. This previous resistance level of 3.43 may now provide downside support. Volume on the day of the breakout was quite heavy--94% above average. This makes the breakout even more significant. If you decide to trade Kenya Airways Ltd Ord 5.00, you may want to place a stop loss just below the resistance level, in case the breakout is premature.
baby steps...

technically... my thoughts in the chart.

baby steps...

update.
current rally might be wave 4. just thinking....

DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis


a spinning top formed yesterday(26th Oct) indicating uncertainty/indecision. if a bearish candle forms today(27th) at this resistance level(7), it could be used as an exit point(if on board). High volumes seen in the last 3 trading days might indicate profit taking(offloading to wanjiku) by an "insider" to wait for KQ at a lower price. My fear is to wanjiku who will be wooed to the gallow by the sweet news. shaffing might start shortly...
will watch patiently for price action around 3.9
baby steps...


This one will leave many novices holding the monkey.

A continuation cup and handle, with the handle at 4.5 would have signaled a sustainable rally, me thinks.


i concur with you, all financial markets are manipulated in one way or another. And the only way to know whether price move is genuine or not is by using volume. Decisions behind closed door by insiders/market makers can be hidden but volume can't be hidden. Their decision are printed daily on our charts. KQ rally has been on vapour volume until 3 days ago(very timely to coincide with release of "good news" by financial media) for many to think they are missing out. Just for train to halt and head "back to the sender". Currently fearful when everyone is greedy until around 3.9

come babie come...
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#404 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2016 2:21:49 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
KENO.
as on 22nd nov @ 1400hrs. I know this will trigger some discussion but this is what it is.

baby steps...
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
mlennyma
#405 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2016 2:29:09 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
karasinga wrote:
KENO.
as on 22nd nov @ 1400hrs. I know this will trigger some discussion but this what it is.

baby steps...

i also expect a correction but i want to see how many sellers are willing to exit
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
karasinga
#406 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2016 2:33:01 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
lochaz-index wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
sparkly wrote:
karasinga wrote:
TPS

are there any fundamentals that might support this analysis?
baby steps...
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis


I think you are onto something.

IMO it will be hard to break the resistance at 25 unless the second half 2016 numbers are very good.

25 is still +7/- from today's price of 18/- so that's a positive. I think 1H will be so-so but 2H is worth looking forward to ceteris paribus. I am in TPSEA coz of the management & "cheap" price.

I've been stocking up on this one lately - as and when I get cash. I would prefer the price lingers in the upper teens for a while longer before taking off.

haiyaiya...
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#407 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2016 2:35:19 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
mlennyma wrote:
karasinga wrote:
KENO.
as on 22nd nov @ 1400hrs. I know this will trigger some discussion but this what it is.

baby steps...

i also expect a correction but i want to see how many sellers are willing to exit

a few of course, but the rally that will follow will be interesting to watch.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#408 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2016 3:48:42 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
KNRE
might be making wave 3. where we are and what is to come well illustrated graphically at the bottom of the chart

I now know why VVS is clinging on this.smile
baby steps...
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
snipermnoma
#409 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2016 4:42:58 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 257
@karasinga good work all round. I have been away for a while and I see I missed a few movements. On the fundies, KENO and KNRE are looking good. This is part of the reason why they have managed to weather the bear. KEGN the rights issue effect has still not worn off. TPS and UCHM I have not looked at so I cannot comment.
VituVingiSana
#410 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2016 4:47:22 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,378
Location: Nairobi
karasinga wrote:
KNRE
might be making wave 3. where we are and what is to come well illustrated graphically at the bottom of the chart

I now know why VVS is clinging on this.smile
baby steps...

It doesn't benefit me if it rises now. I'd rather wait. I remain a buyer but that cash is elusive. Fundamentally, this should at 35 [IMHO] but for 60% GoK ownership. I think if one is patient it will get there once GoK reduces it stake by bringing in a (regional) strategic investor like @ElephantMan had said.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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