Magunia wrote:Allow me to chime in
According to an article by Duncan Miriri "there were less than 25,000 mortgages in Kenya and mortgage debt made up just 3.15 percent of the GDP in 2015."
Those saying that there will be a real estate bubble burst are mistaken.
In Kenya the banks protect themselves very well. The only way rent prices will go down is by oversupply of homes by the government. That is not going to happen because of the ppp thing
http://www.reuters.com/a...worldbank-idUSL9N13C01R
I am convinced there is creative accounting and mis-reporting going on at banks. Some of them should be quite distressed. There must be a lot of capital tied up in half-finished projects or in projects completed but with no occupancy or buyers, which means the owners are not servicing loans. These loans should be in bad debt / write-down territory now, fire sale mode. But no, everyone remains stiff lipped, probably hoping things will turn around, the turds in the books remain hidden somehow cause the fundamentals don't appear badly off, it is all hunky-dory.
What if there is no turn-around in the next 5 to 10 years? How bad are the books I wonder? Will it be another Nakumatt-like scenario, a shiny edifice that is hollow inside?