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directional forecast
cyruskulei
#761 Posted : Friday, March 03, 2017 11:42:17 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/9/2010
Posts: 320
Location: kenya
muandiwambeu wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
SANLAM:

@muandiwambeu:
This counter seem to be extremely oversold but still bearish and may not go south without a retracement. The retracement might be small to around 33 and then shortly another leg down(which might be the last leg) to the following potential targets:
1= 26
2= 22.6(most probable)
3= 13.1

hope this helps
baby steps...

SANLAM update:
after sanlam withdrew earlier profit warning after review of liabilities, chances are this might play out

best wishes

will need to update this chart when I get time. And no one is paying me a dime for the "signals". ...smile just kidding
Best wishes

@karas, open a donations account and we will generously donate. We may even pay for your daily break. On a light note though. Keep up doing this chap.



Which analyzis tool is this. It's extremely good
Work hard at your job and you can make a living. Work hard on yourself and you can make a fortune.

karasinga
#762 Posted : Friday, March 03, 2017 3:44:02 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
Angelica _ann wrote:
@Hisah & # now that Safcom has breached 17bob downwards, any comment on direction it will take? Disclaimer, this is by pet stock.

hello angelica-ann. I know Hisah will give a better answer but if I may comment. As stated here (Check the chart) SCOM is now bearish.
why?
closed yesterday <17.1 and most likely it might close the same today(3rd march).
Is there a need to panic if in ?
I don't think so. let me explain. back to basics.... Elliott wave. check my chart

best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
hisah
#763 Posted : Friday, March 03, 2017 5:25:14 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Angelica _ann wrote:
@Hisah & # now that Safcom has breached 17bob downwards, any comment on direction it will take? Disclaimer, this is by pet stock.

After testing for supply at 16.55 the price has retraced back to 17 handle level. At the current level the forward dividend estimate yield edges up above 5%, therefore any further price dips will widen the yield and attract bids. But exercise caution in the market. The bears are still in control.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Spikes
#764 Posted : Friday, March 03, 2017 6:11:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
hisah wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
@Hisah & # now that Safcom has breached 17bob downwards, any comment on direction it will take? Disclaimer, this is by pet stock.

After testing for supply at 16.55 the price has retraced back to 17 handle level. At the current level the forward dividend estimate yield edges up above 5%, therefore any further price dips will widen the yield and attract bids. But exercise caution in the market. The bears are still in control.

Good analysis though the dominance report monister is still live and active giving bears stronger muscles. ..Investors are being scared to death. Bleeding continues from next week...
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
karasinga
#765 Posted : Monday, March 06, 2017 7:42:00 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
@Hisah & # now that Safcom has breached 17bob downwards, any comment on direction it will take? Disclaimer, this is by pet stock.

hello angelica-ann. I know Hisah will give a better answer but if I may comment. As stated here (Check the chart) SCOM is now bearish.
why?
closed yesterday <17.1 and most likely it might close the same today(3rd march).
Is there a need to panic if in ?
I don't think so. let me explain. back to basics.... Elliott wave. check my chart

best wishes

In the event SCOM rallies anytime from today (6th March), consider 18.5 and or 19.15 as graceful exit. Just my opinion
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#766 Posted : Monday, March 06, 2017 10:44:00 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
UCHM:
call it wishful thinking but this is what it is technically.

best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#767 Posted : Monday, March 06, 2017 11:31:36 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
SANLAM:
As I said, here it is.Prior analysis here. A close above 37 will be important for the bulls.

best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
snipermnoma
#768 Posted : Monday, March 06, 2017 12:37:44 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 257
karasinga wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
@Karasinga

I went through the thread and have not found your analysis of a few I am interested in: Stanchart, bamburi, Total and NSE. The ones I found (thank you) are Safcom, KCB, KenyaRe, BBK, Kengen, Nation Media and Sanlam.

Meanwhile I am pondering on Benjamin Graham's quote "Investing isn't about beating others at their game. It is about controlling yourself at your own game"


@karasinga, if you have time this weekend, kindly consider the above request.

I never thought that was a request... will try


Thanks @karasinga catching up now. Last week nilikua katika harakati ya kutafuta unga hence the silence.
karasinga
#769 Posted : Monday, March 06, 2017 1:26:16 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
snipermnoma wrote:
karasinga wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
@Karasinga

I went through the thread and have not found your analysis of a few I am interested in: Stanchart, bamburi, Total and NSE. The ones I found (thank you) are Safcom, KCB, KenyaRe, BBK, Kengen, Nation Media and Sanlam.

Meanwhile I am pondering on Benjamin Graham's quote "Investing isn't about beating others at their game. It is about controlling yourself at your own game"


@karasinga, if you have time this weekend, kindly consider the above request.

I never thought that was a request... will try


Thanks @karasinga catching up now. Last week nilikua katika harakati ya kutafuta unga hence the silence.

You are most welcome. Invest wisely and tafuta unga kabisa. See you when you are buying me supper... just kidding
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#770 Posted : Thursday, March 09, 2017 7:25:52 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
@Hisah & # now that Safcom has breached 17bob downwards, any comment on direction it will take? Disclaimer, this is by pet stock.

hello angelica-ann. I know Hisah will give a better answer but if I may comment. As stated here (Check the chart) SCOM is now bearish.
why?
closed yesterday <17.1 and most likely it might close the same today(3rd march).
Is there a need to panic if in ?
I don't think so. let me explain. back to basics.... Elliott wave. check my chart

best wishes

In the event SCOM rallies anytime from today (6th March), consider 18.5 and or 19.15 as graceful exit. Just my opinion

having said SCOM IS NOW BEARISH,it should not be construed to mean there will be no retracements. Currently, RSI is extremely oversold and we might have a correction. I am not happy with how angry bears look so will treat the coming wave north as a temporary profit taking...and shuffling continues shortly afterwards unless scom achieves a close above 18.9.

just my opinion. best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#771 Posted : Friday, March 10, 2017 6:07:56 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
LKL:
We have a potential bullish butterfly in the making.In terms of structural analysis, the current expectation is a NSL. Will watch price action around 2.8 and 2.5 for possible buy.

best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#772 Posted : Friday, March 10, 2017 6:48:52 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
@Hisah & # now that Safcom has breached 17bob downwards, any comment on direction it will take? Disclaimer, this is by pet stock.

hello angelica-ann. I know Hisah will give a better answer but if I may comment. As stated here (Check the chart) SCOM is now bearish.
why?
closed yesterday <17.1 and most likely it might close the same today(3rd march).
Is there a need to panic if in ?
I don't think so. let me explain. back to basics.... Elliott wave. check my chart

best wishes

In the event SCOM rallies anytime from today (6th March), consider 18.5 and or 19.15 as graceful exit. Just my opinion

having said SCOM IS NOW BEARISH,it should not be construed to mean there will be no retracements. Currently, RSI is extremely oversold and we might have a correction. I am not happy with how angry bears look so will treat the coming wave north as a temporary profit taking...and shuffling continues shortly afterwards unless scom achieves a close above 18.9.

just my opinion. best wishes

watching... just a few cents
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#773 Posted : Friday, March 10, 2017 10:25:36 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
UCHM:
call it wishful thinking but this is what it is technically.

best wishes

Whistle
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
Metasploit
#774 Posted : Friday, March 10, 2017 10:47:15 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
UCHM:
call it wishful thinking but this is what it is technically.

best wishes

Whistle


There is a bullish reversals..But the volumes are too thin!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! to give meaningful analysis

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
karasinga
#775 Posted : Friday, March 10, 2017 12:42:10 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
KNRE:
Prior analysis hereThinking loudly...

best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#776 Posted : Sunday, March 12, 2017 7:45:25 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
ARM:
Almost there...Prior analysis here

enjoy your weekend.best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#777 Posted : Sunday, March 12, 2017 11:05:11 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
NIC update:
prior analyis here

karasinga wrote:
Spikes wrote:
@karasinga quickly review the direction of NIC Bank.

come slowly mate... you can be checking here in the meantime.

Spikes, I know this was not quick enough but might be helpful.
best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#778 Posted : Sunday, March 12, 2017 11:22:21 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mkate_nusu wrote:
karasinga wrote:
mkate_nusu wrote:
@karasinga please post any developments on KQ chart.
thanks

Hello Mkate_nusu
KQ is at a strategic place("on the run way") on the chart indicating sky is the limit.
Technical reasons.
1. Price in the Golden zone
2. Price has just reacted on a very strong demand zone.(check my chart)
3. Presence of a hidden divergence- denoting continuation on the prior rally
4. Very little volume during the correction.
5. Low of 4.6 might have achieved wave 2.
The list goes on and on. Enough of this... let us look at the chart

expectation
If this is wave 2 then
Wave 3 = either 1.62 x length of Wave 1(10.4)
or 2.62 x length of Wave 1(14.8)
or 4.25 x length of Wave 1(22)
The most common multiples are 1.62 and 2.62. However, if the 3rd Wave is an extended wave, then 2.62 and 4.25 ratios are more common.
Hope this is helpful.
best wishes.
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis

Price has started respecting your chart Applause Applause Let's watch out for the 10.4 target going forward smile

let us see how market dance. I won't be surprised if I see KQ spike from weekly demand zone. If that does not happen we enjoy the flight. One of the fundamental truth about trading is, "Anything can happen".
best wishes

for our beloved friends who can't see the plane but can hear the sound, all is not lost. DO NOT RUN AFTER THE MARKET. Technically, we might come down to pick anyone willing to go with us. When? I don't know.
What I know is that the following has happened.
1. bearish momentum trend line broken.
2. demand zone created between 4.95-4.75. (this can be the lowest KQ might come to)
3. price currently within a thick "kumo"/cloud. Turbulence is expected. They say it is better to fly over or below the clouds. Do I sound like a pilot. ... he he he. just kidding
In the meantime enjoy the ride (if in this flight)
best wishes

I am not surprised. playing out as expected

Something interesting for MA believers/followers happened the last trading day(10th March 2017). For the first time in many years 200MA crossed over 400MA at the same time price is above both. A close of 5.8 or above on 13th march might start another bullish rally. just my opinion
note:re-read above disclaimer. best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#779 Posted : Sunday, March 12, 2017 11:26:27 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
LKL:
I hope this is not a forced harmonic pattern.A potential bullish butterfly pattern in the making.

best wishes
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#780 Posted : Monday, March 13, 2017 6:51:27 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
HAFR:
Am I stretching my imagination too far... time will tell. An all time low of 0.7-0.6 might print any time from today 13th March then:
1. first target 1.6
2. second target 2.1


best wishes
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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