So we end the week with NSE20 breaking out of the rising wedge downwards with huge volume on the week that the budget was read. That break will definitely push down prices for a while. Same selloff strength is noted on all foreign based KE indices - MSCI KE and the FTSE NSE 15/25.
The budget offered mixed signals, but that VAT bill if implemented as per IMF prayers, inflation will strike back.
Overall the correction that was on the cards since April 2013 is very welcome. Above 5000 the market was priced ahead of itself and soberness has to run the show after the election euphoria has gone. Tbills continue falling with 91 days now below 6% as per this week's auction results i.e. 5.424%. Market correcting, tbills falling and again that divergence scenario pops up. But with that current account deficit I don't expect Tbills to fall too far from here.
Remember, low tbill rates = equity market becomes more attractive to park your cash there. So enjoy the discounts on quality stocks as they come.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!