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Realities of Forex Investment
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alutacontinua
#3381 Posted : Thursday, March 17, 2016 4:23:24 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
Yet again rumors of BOJ intervention after 110.97 (Low of the year) gave way....quick 100 pip rally to prevent another huge sell off.
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
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hisah
#3382 Posted : Thursday, March 17, 2016 4:51:47 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
alutacontinua wrote:
Yet again rumors of BOJ intervention after 110.97 (Low of the year) gave way....quick 100 pip rally to prevent another huge sell off.

Thanks for tip. I hope this pair moves lower toward 104 - 105 zone for the next relaunch to the upside.

I can see the beast is offering nice opportunities at the moment.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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  | | Edit by user: Thursday, March 17, 2016 4:53 PM | Reason: Not specified
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3383 Posted : Thursday, March 17, 2016 6:00:54 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Kuroda must have sleepless nights. Was a sight to behold,as the yen lost 100 pips in just a matter of minutes just 3 hours ago. USD bulls have been stopped out across all major pairs. 400 pips plus for the USD bears since Fed's dovish statementsApplause Applause Applause
@SufficientlyP
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lochaz-index
#3384 Posted : Friday, March 18, 2016 10:14:36 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Kuroda must have sleepless nights. Was a sight to behold,as the yen lost 100 pips in just a matter of minutes just 3 hours ago. USD bulls have been stopped out across all major pairs. 400 pips plus for the USD bears since Fed's dovish statementsApplause Applause Applause


These fed mandarins just can't get the hang of it,can they? From extremely hawkish to dovish in a record three months! What changed to necessitate a policy shift? Clearly they are out of their depth here.

Apparently soaring debt/ebitda was one of the basis for hiking rates. Which begs the question, why create a problem and then act as a catalyst to exacerbate the consequences?


Policy errors will not be kind to the already wobbling global economy. I am looking forward to the dollar decoupling from the fed chosen course of action in the medium term.

NIRP is beckoning.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3385 Posted : Friday, March 18, 2016 11:00:02 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
lochaz-index wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Kuroda must have sleepless nights. Was a sight to behold,as the yen lost 100 pips in just a matter of minutes just 3 hours ago. USD bulls have been stopped out across all major pairs. 400 pips plus for the USD bears since Fed's dovish statementsApplause Applause Applause


These fed mandarins just can't get the hang of it,can they? From extremely hawkish to dovish in a record three months! What changed to necessitate a policy shift? Clearly they are out of their depth here.

Apparently soaring debt/ebitda was one of the basis for hiking rates. Which begs the question, why create a problem and then act as a catalyst to exacerbate the consequences?


Policy errors will not be kind to the already wobbling global economy. I am looking forward to the dollar decoupling from the fed chosen course of action in the medium term.

NIRP is beckoning.

That's the whole idea. Make the USD weaker to force inflation to the 2% target. The dollar will sell until the surprise rate hikes show up maybe in Dec after the US elections.Obama has to leave office with the Dow at
18k plus....you know.... Cheap money will be here for a while.
@Mnadii's 105 call on the USDJPY will surely print......poor KurodaSad
@SufficientlyP
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3386 Posted : Friday, March 18, 2016 11:01:58 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
In the meantime, the Chings are having a field day strenthening the Yuan with each subsequent USD shave. Clever......Currently fixed at 6.46 vs USDsmile
@SufficientlyP
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hisah
#3387 Posted : Friday, March 18, 2016 12:22:26 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
In the meantime, the Chings are having a field day strenthening the Yuan with each subsequent USD shave. Clever......Currently fixed at 1.46 vs USDsmile

Unsustainable. The Chings are better off letting CNY devalue to rescue their export trade balance. Besides their debt market (real estate and commodity finance) can't support a strong CNY. Very messy at the moment.

The race to the bottom is still on with the USD likely to finish last before lights out. The bulb will blow when euro$ and £/$ crash past the 1.00 handle! Only then will a new reserve currency coming into play to reset the expected extremely chaotic global debt market.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3388 Posted : Friday, March 18, 2016 12:49:34 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
In the meantime, the Chings are having a field day strenthening the Yuan with each subsequent USD shave. Clever......Currently fixed at 6.46 vs USDsmile

Unsustainable. The Chings are better off letting CNY devalue to rescue their export trade balance. Besides their debt market (real estate and commodity finance) can't support a strong CNY. Very messy at the moment.

The race to the bottom is still on with the USD likely to finish last before lights out. The bulb will blow when euro$ and £/$ crash past the 1.00 handle! Only then will a new reserve currency coming into play to reset the expected extremely chaotic global debt market.


They are now looking to cut their reliance on exports and focus on their 1billion plus population hence the clamour for a strong CNY. They will also gain on their USD denominated loans.
Kuroda is still looking to devalue the Yen further, just like Draghi, to little success, so as to lift his export figure. Lets see how this plays out.
@SufficientlyP
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3389 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 7:53:56 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
USDJPY back up to 112Applause Applause Applause Thank you Kuroda.
Waiting for it down there again at the 111.30 levels where there seems to be some support.
@SufficientlyP
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3390 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 8:04:26 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Cable craters below 1.42 on brexit concerns
@SufficientlyP
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