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Realities of Forex Investment
hisah
#3361 Posted : Sunday, February 14, 2016 4:19:26 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Caution, the more the euro and yen rally the crazier their CBs will get. In order to survive the huge deflation storm they'll have to devalue vs USD. Dodge that storm and let US take the hit. A number of EU members are having elections with anti-EU opponents likely to take charge. The trouble with the euro 2.0 will be really ugly next year. In Japan the 10 year govt bond is now on negative interest rates! Soon the market will boycott this situation and refuse to buy (no bid). What do you think will happen to the stock markets, which are now selling off? They will catch a strong bid! You don't want to miss that event... New all time highs will be registered across equity markets as capital ejects from the deadly govt debt tailspin.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3362 Posted : Thursday, February 18, 2016 1:45:37 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Caution euro bulls. Sizable slide likely soon.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
alutacontinua
#3363 Posted : Thursday, February 18, 2016 8:14:07 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
hisah wrote:
Caution euro bulls. Sizable slide likely soon.


Have to hand it to you Hisah....great call on this. Sentiment has def shifted to the downside. We def could see stops under 1.11 and 1.1068 taken out tomorrow which could open up the floor for a move further down. Been a really sluggish week within that nasty range.
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
alutacontinua
#3364 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2016 2:56:58 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
alutacontinua wrote:
hisah wrote:
Caution euro bulls. Sizable slide likely soon.


Have to hand it to you Hisah....great call on this. Sentiment has def shifted to the downside. We def could see stops under 1.11 and 1.1068 taken out tomorrow which could open up the floor for a move further down. Been a really sluggish week within that nasty range.



As mentioned stops under 1.1068 have been cleared which should see the euro begin its slide.....

ION anyone affected by the technical issues on EUREX T7 system today???? Price feed on DAX stalled for about an hour during the morning bullish run....Anyone trading it should have had a series of mini heart attacks Laughing out loudly
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
hisah
#3365 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2016 6:08:04 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
alutacontinua wrote:
alutacontinua wrote:
hisah wrote:
Caution euro bulls. Sizable slide likely soon.


Have to hand it to you Hisah....great call on this. Sentiment has def shifted to the downside. We def could see stops under 1.11 and 1.1068 taken out tomorrow which could open up the floor for a move further down. Been a really sluggish week within that nasty range.



As mentioned stops under 1.1068 have been cleared which should see the euro begin its slide.....

ION anyone affected by the technical issues on EUREX T7 system today???? Price feed on DAX stalled for about an hour during the morning bullish run....Anyone trading it should have had a series of mini heart attacks Laughing out loudly

No issues noted. Yes the EUR$ was going to run stops below .1100 since it showed weakness last week.

Meanwhile GBP$ is attempting to form a 4hr hammer candle after getting support at 1.4050. Caution on shorting cable.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3366 Posted : Tuesday, February 23, 2016 5:57:29 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Jap bonds

2,5,10yr bond yields all negative!!? 30yr also sub 1% and also poised to break below 0%. This is beyond the definition of madness! They're wiping out pension funds and savers while it has a huge aging population burden. This is political kamikaze!

This is simple, the govt bonds will collapse! Capital in jap will run riot very soon by dumping any govt holdings (public) and flood in private holdings.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3367 Posted : Wednesday, February 24, 2016 5:45:10 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
GBP$ failed to close the hammer candle on the 4hr on Monday thus opening up the possibility testing the temp support at 1.4050. Today in Asia session it has broken below 1.40 handle. GFC low lies at 1.35. That's the last line of defence. Break below will unleash a crazy slide!

Crazy that GBP has been on a selling turbo since June 2014 when I spotted it in the futures!

1.35 handle had better hold! Soros GBP flashback Sept 16 1992??!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3368 Posted : Tuesday, March 08, 2016 9:01:36 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
The trouble with the euro unfolded and still lingers to date.

The next trouble is coming. The trouble with cable! Get ready. I'm 90% convinced from what I've spotted that cable is going to nosedive in a crazy way! Caution if bullish long term on cable.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3369 Posted : Wednesday, March 09, 2016 11:38:31 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
The trouble with the euro unfolded and still lingers to date.

Memories!!!That was a Great call!
The next trouble is coming. The trouble with cable! Get ready. I'm 90% convinced from what I've spotted that cable is going to nosedive in a crazy way! Caution if bullish long term on cable.


Sitting on my hands till i see the sub GFCs 1.35 printsmile
@SufficientlyP
Aguytrying
#3370 Posted : Wednesday, March 09, 2016 9:04:35 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
The trouble with the euro unfolded and still lingers to date.

Memories!!!That was a Great call!
The next trouble is coming. The trouble with cable! Get ready. I'm 90% convinced from what I've spotted that cable is going to nosedive in a crazy way! Caution if bullish long term on cable.


Sitting on my hands till i see the sub GFCs 1.35 printsmile


I'm floating seriously. What is cable?
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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