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Realities of Forex Investment
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hisah
#3341 Posted : Tuesday, January 19, 2016 1:14:42 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
Next year the awesome trade will be selling pounds. Since 2014 the pound selling is gathering momentum.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Ceinz
#3342 Posted : Wednesday, January 20, 2016 6:37:49 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
Next year the awesome trade will be selling pounds. Since 2014 the pound selling is gathering momentum.


“small step for man”
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mnandii
#3343 Posted : Friday, January 22, 2016 7:15:38 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:
My earlier outlook for a bull run in GU did not work out. However, this one below should.



Unless 1.4033 (the red line) is broken, I expect GU to rally strongly for at least 2000 pips (the two blue lines) in wave (2).



Bottom in place now at 1.4074.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#3344 Posted : Wednesday, January 27, 2016 7:38:22 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


GBPJPY has bottomed at 164.42. Long target is above 196.00
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#3345 Posted : Wednesday, January 27, 2016 7:41:20 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
My earlier outlook for a bull run in GU did not work out. However, this one below should.



Unless 1.4033 (the red line) is broken, I expect GU to rally strongly for at least 2000 pips (the two blue lines) in wave (2).



Bottom in place now at 1.4074.




If you are LONG, SL should now be raised to 1.4173 (the red line).

#best
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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hisah
#3346 Posted : Wednesday, January 27, 2016 11:57:46 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@mnandii are your GBP plays short term? I hope so. Long term charts don't suggest a rosy outlook. GBP is heading down for a long time!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#3347 Posted : Sunday, January 31, 2016 6:03:24 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Now that BoJ has decided to implement NIR like ECB, this ensures it's now safe to short the yen. So another long term play is selling yens until BoJ comes out with another bazooka to change this devaluation stance.

Best play will be long USDJPY as yen funds rush into USD.

Btw this BoJ move is a nasty curveball for chingland. Another round of yuan devaluation is now very likely.

If the fed hikes rates in March the bottom will definitely be blown into pieces as the USD strength rips the markets apart!

But this strong USD will also be a problem for US. An epic bubble will form as it sucks in capital from everywhere. That bubble pop will definitely shake the global economy. A new reserve currency will emerge then during that chaotic pop.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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  | | Edit by user: Sunday, January 31, 2016 6:06 AM | Reason: Not specified
Spikes
#3348 Posted : Sunday, January 31, 2016 10:18:58 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
hisah wrote:
Now that BoJ has decided to implement NIR like ECB, this ensures it's now safe to short the yen. So another long term play is selling yens until BoJ comes out with another bazooka to change this devaluation stance.

Best play will be long USDJPY as yen funds rush into USD.

Btw this BoJ move is a nasty curveball for chingland. Another round of yuan devaluation is now very likely.

If the fed hikes rates in March the bottom will definitely be blown into pieces as the USD strength rips the markets apart!

But this strong USD will also be a problem for US. An epic bubble will form as it sucks in capital from everywhere. That bubble pop will definitely shake the global economy. A new reserve currency will emerge then during that chaotic pop.


Let's keenly follow how currency wars unfold on the global stage. Will the KES sustain the pressure from dominant currencies ?
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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  | | Edit by user: Sunday, January 31, 2016 10:21 AM | Reason: Not specified
hisah
#3349 Posted : Sunday, January 31, 2016 1:17:28 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Spikes wrote:
hisah wrote:
Now that BoJ has decided to implement NIR like ECB, this ensures it's now safe to short the yen. So another long term play is selling yens until BoJ comes out with another bazooka to change this devaluation stance.

Best play will be long USDJPY as yen funds rush into USD.

Btw this BoJ move is a nasty curveball for chingland. Another round of yuan devaluation is now very likely.

If the fed hikes rates in March the bottom will definitely be blown into pieces as the USD strength rips the markets apart!

But this strong USD will also be a problem for US. An epic bubble will form as it sucks in capital from everywhere. That bubble pop will definitely shake the global economy. A new reserve currency will emerge then during that chaotic pop.


Let's keenly follow how currency wars unfold on the global stage. Will the KES sustain the pressure from dominant currencies ?

The global trade currency is the USD. A strong USD will cause deflation as expenditure is cut back. KES as well as other currencies will come under huge pressure from this event. Unwinding $9 trillion in debt will definitely cause a liquidity vacuum event.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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  |
Spikes
#3350 Posted : Sunday, January 31, 2016 3:39:59 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
hisah wrote:
Spikes wrote:
hisah wrote:
Now that BoJ has decided to implement NIR like ECB, this ensures it's now safe to short the yen. So another long term play is selling yens until BoJ comes out with another bazooka to change this devaluation stance.

Best play will be long USDJPY as yen funds rush into USD.

Btw this BoJ move is a nasty curveball for chingland. Another round of yuan devaluation is now very likely.

If the fed hikes rates in March the bottom will definitely be blown into pieces as the USD strength rips the markets apart!

But this strong USD will also be a problem for US. An epic bubble will form as it sucks in capital from everywhere. That bubble pop will definitely shake the global economy. A new reserve currency will emerge then during that chaotic pop.


Let's keenly follow how currency wars unfold on the global stage. Will the KES sustain the pressure from dominant currencies ?

The global trade currency is the USD. A strong USD will cause deflation as expenditure is cut back. KES as well as other currencies will come under huge pressure from this event. Unwinding $9 trillion in debt will definitely cause a liquidity vacuum event.


Which means US territory will be flooded with liquidity thereby triggering inflation that could prompt Fed to apply emergency breaks on rate hikes. Still Asians countries-mainly China and Japan- are battling US efforts to resuscitate the interest rates trajectory. As time passes by the US economy will overheat and get back to a financial crisis as frontier markets reinvigorate the appreciation of their currencies and competitively remain in the balance with the ease of doing business.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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  | | Edit by user: Sunday, January 31, 2016 4:25 PM | Reason: Not specified
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