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Playing the market 2014 - 2016
Rank: New-farer Joined: 10/2/2012 Posts: 21
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uchumi wrote:i agree with you on kenol kobil. Money is like manure. You have to spread it around or it smells. ~ J. Paul Getty
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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SittingPretty wrote:In the spirit of disclosure!! My 2013 closing Portfolio: Coop: 29% EQTy: 12% NIC: 22% SAFC: 21% KK: 16% A bag of mixed results. A return of 20.97% I was and am still a novice, much thanks to @Hisah, @Obiero and @Stockmaster. Influenced almost 99% of my purchases. For 2014: Safc: Hold Long Term Coop: Hold Long Term KK: Hold not sure for how long NIC& EQTY: Sell after results Kengen: Buy before and accumulate after rights issue, with any new cash for long long term.
63% in financials. Diversify... Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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sparkly wrote:SittingPretty wrote:In the spirit of disclosure!! My 2013 closing Portfolio: Coop: 29% EQTy: 12% NIC: 22% SAFC: 21% KK: 16% A bag of mixed results. A return of 20.97% I was and am still a novice, much thanks to @Hisah, @Obiero and @Stockmaster. Influenced almost 99% of my purchases. For 2014: Safc: Hold Long Term Coop: Hold Long Term KK: Hold not sure for how long NIC& EQTY: Sell after results Kengen: Buy before and accumulate after rights issue, with any new cash for long long term.
63% in financials. Diversify... reduce exposure in financials to less than 50% The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/20/2007 Posts: 2,037 Location: Lagos, Nigeria
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HFCK at 34+ in 8th Jan 2014 is a clear indication that it will surpass april 2014 target price of 38.18 bob. It should be at 44-48 bob then. I regard @stockmaster selection of HFCK as the best followed by DTB. TPSE is actually the odd one, the spoiler of the good job. I hope after a year if my prediction come true that is if TPSE underperforms relative to the set benchmark the witty @stocksmaster will be bold enough to substitute it with another counter to complete the remaining 2 years. This is very much allowed, afterall review or re-appraisal of stock portfolio is a normal activity of a good equity investor. The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
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Rank: Member Joined: 9/12/2009 Posts: 312
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uchumi wrote:i agree with you on kenol kobil. Happy new year fellow investors. its yet another year for us to make a shilling, or lose depending on the choice one makes. I notice none of you have Carbacid Investment in your portifolios. I'm thinking of making a re entry after they finally put their act together and upload the splits( I gather the bonus shares have been uploaded already.)What you say about that. . All the best.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2008 Posts: 4,449
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Rank: Member Joined: 2/16/2013 Posts: 123 Location: MSA
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Aguytrying wrote:sparkly wrote:SittingPretty wrote:In the spirit of disclosure!! My 2013 closing Portfolio: Coop: 29% EQTy: 12% NIC: 22% SAFC: 21% KK: 16% A bag of mixed results. A return of 20.97% I was and am still a novice, much thanks to @Hisah, @Obiero and @Stockmaster. Influenced almost 99% of my purchases. For 2014: Safc: Hold Long Term Coop: Hold Long Term KK: Hold not sure for how long NIC& EQTY: Sell after results Kengen: Buy before and accumulate after rights issue, with any new cash for long long term.
63% in financials. Diversify... reduce exposure in financials to less than 50% I think once I prop up more of the Energy Sub sectors, with extra cash or sales Proceeds in the next cycle, then will be fairly balanced!! Timely advice is as lovely as golden apples in a silver basket. Proverbs 25:11
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/30/2007 Posts: 1,558 Location: Nairobi
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In 2013, I was all in at carbacid at an average purchase price of 135/= I got out at 240/=
I sold and got into HFCK @27/= 100%
Bought More HF@33
I usually buy 1 stock, research it thoroughly, set my targets and buy into it. However this year, I might do it differently.
Researching into 1 more stock, which I reckon could do well. All in all, 2013 was a great year. Hopefully I can replicate 2013.
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Rank: Member Joined: 1/3/2014 Posts: 257
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SittingPretty wrote:Aguytrying wrote:sparkly wrote:SittingPretty wrote:In the spirit of disclosure!! My 2013 closing Portfolio: Coop: 29% EQTy: 12% NIC: 22% SAFC: 21% KK: 16% A bag of mixed results. A return of 20.97% I was and am still a novice, much thanks to @Hisah, @Obiero and @Stockmaster. Influenced almost 99% of my purchases. For 2014: Safc: Hold Long Term Coop: Hold Long Term KK: Hold not sure for how long NIC& EQTY: Sell after results Kengen: Buy before and accumulate after rights issue, with any new cash for long long term.
63% in financials. Diversify... reduce exposure in financials to less than 50% I think once I prop up more of the Energy Sub sectors, with extra cash or sales Proceeds in the next cycle, then will be fairly balanced!! Good move reducing exposure and the energy sub sector is one of the best options you have.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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@horton. diversification as you well know reduces your risk. my target is to have at least 7-10 counters. stocks are very unpredictable and volatile. for example even now, no one can say with certainty if the nse index will close higher or lower at end year and those are 20 of the best stocks. The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/30/2007 Posts: 1,558 Location: Nairobi
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Aguytrying wrote:@horton. diversification as you well know reduces your risk. my target is to have at least 7-10 counters. stocks are very unpredictable and volatile. for example even now, no one can say with certainty if the nse index will close higher or lower at end year and those are 20 of the best stocks. Hi aguy. Happy 2014. I've done this way since 2003. The success is great. I don't diversify. I pick 1-2 stocks and watch them like a hawk
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 6/17/2009 Posts: 1,619
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My holdings are split into two...a long term portion,which i intend to hold for at least the next five years. 1.BAT..@ 138,a proven dividend payer. 2.WTK...bought in the 190-200 range,sold some at 300 to give me the initial capital invested,the remaining i will hold on to. 3.HFCK..a huge volume for this one,bought in the 15-18 range,sold enough at 26 to get back the seed capital,the remaining chunk i hold for the long term. 4.CFC stanbic holdings...64 to 86,the same play as the above two. Short term portion@...purchased from mid last year to early this year,these i intend to sell as soon as my target prices are reached, Centum @31...22.2% Equity@ 31...47.9% HFCK @31...20.6% Pan africa ins@64...9.2% Let us see which way Mr market goes in 2014.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2008 Posts: 4,449
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ecstacy wrote:My picks:
NBK HFCK NBK is headed for the skies. Let those with ears listen..
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/10/2007 Posts: 1,587
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ecstacy wrote:ecstacy wrote:My picks:
NBK HFCK NBK is headed for the skies. Let those with ears listen.. @ecstacy, What are fundamentals driving this stock? Are you targeting to exit after FY results or you are in for long term ?
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,551 Location: nairobi
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SittingPretty wrote:In the spirit of disclosure!! My 2013 closing Portfolio: Coop: 29% EQTy: 12% NIC: 22% SAFC: 21% KK: 16% A bag of mixed results. A return of 20.97% I was and am still a novice, much thanks to @Hisah, @Obiero and @Stockmaster. Influenced almost 99% of my purchases. For 2014: Safc: Hold Long Term Coop: Hold Long Term KK: Hold not sure for how long NIC& EQTY: Sell after results Kengen: Buy before and accumulate after rights issue, with any new cash for long long term.
Karibu. Btw, thats a healthy portfolio for 2014. Only kenol is a little speculative HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,551 Location: nairobi
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gatoho wrote:sparkly wrote:S.Mutaga III wrote:Mirena wrote:Hello Wazuans,
Thanks @Stocksmaster for your commentary. I have been following you passively for the past one year and hope to invest as per your guidance in this new year! What happened to independent thinking? Another Hello starting by saying "hello wazuans". No disrespect @Mirena, just driving home a point. You were never nice to monos in high School, were you Sparks? Hii @mirena lazima ilianza kufollow the master after Jan 13. Last year @stockmaster failed the nse test and he admitted it, very honorably. that said, he remains one of the sharpest minds here HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2008 Posts: 4,449
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PKoli wrote:ecstacy wrote:ecstacy wrote:My picks:
NBK HFCK NBK is headed for the skies. Let those with ears listen.. @ecstacy, What are fundamentals driving this stock? Are you targeting to exit after FY results or you are in for long term ? I expect overdue management change and better market strategies from this laggard. It's a wait and see. If the former happens, I anticipate positive market reaction.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/10/2007 Posts: 1,587
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ecstacy wrote:PKoli wrote:ecstacy wrote:ecstacy wrote:My picks:
NBK HFCK NBK is headed for the skies. Let those with ears listen.. @ecstacy, What are fundamentals driving this stock? Are you targeting to exit after FY results or you are in for long term ? I expect overdue management change and better market strategies from this laggard. It's a wait and see. If the former happens, I anticipate positive market reaction. Not easy to overhaul Coop management. Ownership is by Saccos, so expecting any radical changes is difficult. My wish was to have Coopholding sell 50% of their shares to a strategic investor. They could bring to the board some new blood.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2008 Posts: 4,449
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PKoli wrote:ecstacy wrote:PKoli wrote:ecstacy wrote:ecstacy wrote:My picks:
NBK HFCK NBK is headed for the skies. Let those with ears listen.. @ecstacy, What are fundamentals driving this stock? Are you targeting to exit after FY results or you are in for long term ? I expect overdue management change and better market strategies from this laggard. It's a wait and see. If the former happens, I anticipate positive market reaction. Not easy to overhaul Coop management. Ownership is by Saccos, so expecting any radical changes is difficult. My wish was to have Coopholding sell 50% of their shares to a strategic investor. They could bring to the board some new blood. I believe we shall have a clearer picture come mid-end Feb?
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Rank: New-farer Joined: 1/3/2014 Posts: 32
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