I was tempted by this counter, until i realized it was overvalued. Heck it will still rally, but for how long will the implied premium cushion you. City trust at 200, would have been a P/B of 1. Thats now a pipe dream. those that bought < 300 got a good deal.
I expect it to rally to 500 before share suspension on march 5( co-incidence), so split to be at 100, then upon listing, a rally to 120.00 is on the cards.
when one predicts a stock it proves them wrong, but, just putting it out there
check out SIB'S summary
Key figures summary
New city trust shares
363,722,034
Acquisition stake in I&M
92.72%
City Trusts' pre-swap holding in I&M
7.28%
Share swap exchange ratio (City Trust:I&M)
13.62x
I&M's average OTC VWAP in 2012
KES 1,085.71
I&M's Fair value range as used in SWAP
KES 1,362.70 - KES 1,431.80
Implied PB range based on I&M's fair value (3Q12 NAV)
2.37x - 2.49x
Total City Trust shares post SWAP and spilt
392,362,039
Dilution (City Trust shareholders)
92.7%
Pre SWAP FY11 NAV (City Trust) - KES
9.75
Post SWAP implied FY11 NAV (I&M Holdings)- KES
37.27
Source: Standard Investment Bank Research
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself