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Realities of Forex Investment
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hisah
#2961 Posted : Thursday, September 18, 2014 4:21:00 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
We are at the summit again... Asian crisis, Dotcom bubble, GFC and now the scottish referendum...

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2962 Posted : Friday, September 19, 2014 5:03:05 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
SPX, DOW, RUS2OOO, NASDAQ & FTSE triggering interesting conditions.

Sizable shakeout likely soon; very likely Q4 2014 (Oct-Nov). Avoid shorting $. Projections for $CHF = 1.10 and USDJPY = 110. GBP rally unsustainable...! Caution.

Brace for impact...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Mainat
#2963 Posted : Friday, September 19, 2014 5:21:13 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Scots have voted NO. Expect a 2% FTSE rally today
Sehemu ndio nyumba
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hisah
#2964 Posted : Tuesday, September 23, 2014 4:27:48 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
GBP bulls caution...

Shorting FTSE and Dow today.

Commodities bulls caution. Commodo fx longs not encouraged.

Gold sitting at critical support level. Breakdown of 1180 aims 1050-80. Been bearish gold against 1350-1400 resistance. Hard to be bullish gold or commodos with USD on steriods.

Oil, WTI if 90 breaks down 80 is next target. Forget the Ukraine, ISIS nonsense. Bearish oil. I've been trading natgas shorts instead.

Iron ore, all time lows. I've been trading copper shorts instead. Very bearish.

Currently watching gold's bulls fighting to hold the 1180-1200 zone and SNB defending their EURCHF 1.20 floor. Interesting times ahead... smile

If you can't stand the volatility sit on your hands smile
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mnandii
#2965 Posted : Tuesday, September 30, 2014 10:40:05 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Another triangle in gold implies more weakness ahead.

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#2966 Posted : Wednesday, October 01, 2014 8:39:58 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
A/U, G/U , E/U look ready for a strong rise to day.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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alutacontinua
#2967 Posted : Wednesday, October 01, 2014 8:23:32 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
GBPJPY finally abt to break out after weeks of consolidation, NZD on the verge of FX intervention by RBNZ, Rumours of SNB starting to interevene, USD still well bid going into ECB and NFP. Should be an interesting end to the week. Safe to say volatility is back smile
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
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mnandii
#2968 Posted : Thursday, October 02, 2014 10:22:53 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
alutacontinua wrote:
GBPJPY finally abt to break out after weeks of consolidation, NZD on the verge of FX intervention by RBNZ, Rumours of SNB starting to interevene, USD still well bid going into ECB and NFP. Should be an interesting end to the week. Safe to say volatility is back smile

On GJ looks like a false breakout downward. A turn upward likely by today. Will look for opportunity to go long.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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hisah
#2969 Posted : Thursday, October 02, 2014 10:59:01 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mnandii wrote:
A/U, G/U , E/U look ready for a strong rise to day.

I hope you are not planning to hold on for too long on the GBP longs. This GBP things be cautious. Likely scope for 1.6050 to be rested and broken down towards 1.58! The referendum outcome is clouding judgement. GBP futures in Aug shows a sizable sellside bet.

Aussie and Kiwi are caught up in the commodities sellside crossfire. Staying long is dangerous biz.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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alutacontinua
#2970 Posted : Thursday, October 02, 2014 7:21:20 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
mnandii wrote:
alutacontinua wrote:
GBPJPY finally abt to break out after weeks of consolidation, NZD on the verge of FX intervention by RBNZ, Rumours of SNB starting to interevene, USD still well bid going into ECB and NFP. Should be an interesting end to the week. Safe to say volatility is back smile

On GJ looks like a false breakout downward. A turn upward likely by today. Will look for opportunity to go long.


@mnandii still gonna hold short in the interim and wait for 108.20 to give on USDJPY on the back of equities sliding.

In other news, YM has been an absolute pleasure to trade intraday this week as dip buyers and algos have had it given to them. Flight to bonds yesterday was also a telling sign as safe haven flows are starting to sturr things up. Tomorrows NFP should be very interesting to say the least smile
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
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396 Pages«<295296297298299>»
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