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Realities of Forex Investment
hisah
#2951 Posted : Friday, September 12, 2014 12:13:18 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Caution with commodities esp on the long side. Methinks sizable downside is on the cards.

Shorts on copper working fine. Shorts on natgas starting to work out. Prefer natgas to oil, but oil too is taking knocks.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
tonicasert
#2952 Posted : Saturday, September 13, 2014 5:25:43 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
USDJPY seems to be on steroids! 107.30's?? Guess the party will stop after the referendum (Scottish that is)
Ceinz
#2953 Posted : Tuesday, September 16, 2014 12:41:37 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
Sell stop lot 0.3 gu @1.6180, tp 1.60, sl 1.624


Trade idea postponed till gap closes at around 1.63.Drool

Once GBP$ closes that gap, next round starts. GBP weakness is plenty.


I was lucky to get in @ 1.623, targeting 1.604
“small step for man”
Internet
#2954 Posted : Tuesday, September 16, 2014 2:22:53 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 12/16/2009
Posts: 33
Cable Forecast for today:

Pivot: 1.622

Our preference: Short positions below 1.622 with targets @ 1.614 & 1.6105 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.622 look for further upside with 1.625 & 1.6275 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.

Supports and resistances:
1.6275
1.625
1.622
1.618 Last
1.614
1.6105
1.608
hisah
#2955 Posted : Tuesday, September 16, 2014 3:15:56 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
Sell stop lot 0.3 gu @1.6180, tp 1.60, sl 1.624


Trade idea postponed till gap closes at around 1.63.Drool

Once GBP$ closes that gap, next round starts. GBP weakness is plenty.


I was lucky to get in @ 1.623, targeting 1.604

Short GBPUSD @1.6205 for an open objective. Lot size 0.2.

Also took a short trade on GBPAUD @1.8009 in asia session. Lot size 0.5. TP @1.7710

I'm very tempted to short GBPJPY. If it can retest 174, I be on the short side.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2956 Posted : Wednesday, September 17, 2014 6:33:26 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
GBP$ has finally closed the gap after rallying in NY session. Now I sit tight. So tempted to short gebby, but asia has been on USDJPY bid side for weeks now. But gebby above 174 will struggle to maintain uptrend.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Internet
#2957 Posted : Wednesday, September 17, 2014 7:55:19 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 12/16/2009
Posts: 33
What will be the impact of the Scottish referendum on Cable if the vote goes for an independent country?
Internet
#2958 Posted : Wednesday, September 17, 2014 7:57:45 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 12/16/2009
Posts: 33
Internet wrote:
What will be the impact of the Scottish referendum on Cable if the vote goes for an independent country?

Warning from my broker:
A referendum on whether Scotland should be an independent country will take place on Thursday 18 September.

The run-up to this historic vote has led to large increases in volatility on a wide range of markets including the FTSE and GBP/USD. While this volatility creates trading opportunities, we would urge all clients to monitor their exposure carefully. This is important due to the increased likelihood of large, and very sudden, price movements.

Polling closes at 10pm on Thursday 18 September and counting is expected to commence in all 32 local authority areas straight away. An official announcement is expected on Friday the 19th, once all 32 local counts have been verified by the Chief Counting Officer. However, it is very likely that regional centres will announce individual results during the early hours of Friday morning, increasing the likelihood of overnight volatility.
How to protect your positions
With the high chance of overnight volatility on a wide range of markets we offer, we would urge you to do at least one of the following:

• Monitor your positions closely overnight
• Place stops on any open positions to help reduce risk
• Deposit extra funds to account for the chance of an adverse move
• Consider reducing exposure to affected markets, or closing positions beforehand
Ceinz
#2959 Posted : Wednesday, September 17, 2014 8:06:50 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:
GBP$ has finally closed the gap after rallying in NY session. Now I sit tight. So tempted to short gebby, but asia has been on USDJPY bid side for weeks now. But gebby above 174 will struggle to maintain uptrend.


What a rally that was! My trade was stopped, am still bearish gu, though the lower timeframes look bullish.
“small step for man”
hisah
#2960 Posted : Thursday, September 18, 2014 11:34:17 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:
GBP$ has finally closed the gap after rallying in NY session. Now I sit tight. So tempted to short gebby, but asia has been on USDJPY bid side for weeks now. But gebby above 174 will struggle to maintain uptrend.


What a rally that was! My trade was stopped, am still bearish gu, though the lower timeframes look bullish.

Had to take losses on both GBPAUD and GBP$. But I too still maintain that GBP is a sell. Don't mind the upthrust. Live to fight another day.

Investors pull $27bn out of UK in one month

Quote:
The daily equity flow data pointed to “some of the largest UK equity selling on record, demonstrating investor concerns ahead of the Scottish referendum next week,” said Morgan Stanley on Friday.


Let that sink in...

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
396 Pages«<294295296297298>»
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