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ARM HY2017
obiero
#561 Posted : Saturday, July 14, 2018 8:30:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,530
Location: nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
President Uhuru Kenyatta revokes ARM boss Pradeep Paunrana's appointment as Chairman of Anti Counterfeit Agency board,appoints Flora Mutahi as the new chairperson

I would have been a better fit for the position

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
VituVingiSana
#562 Posted : Saturday, July 14, 2018 10:36:02 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
President Uhuru Kenyatta revokes ARM boss Pradeep Paunrana's appointment as Chairman of Anti Counterfeit Agency board,appoints Flora Mutahi as the new chairperson
Jamaa should have been running ARM instead of side hustles.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
BKB
#563 Posted : Monday, July 16, 2018 9:42:41 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 1/14/2015
Posts: 16
Location: Ngamia 1
4.85 ...tick
HaMaina
#564 Posted : Monday, July 16, 2018 9:51:53 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/23/2014
Posts: 910
BKB wrote:
4.85 ...tick


I'm honestly not seeing what the hype is about. Is there something that's on the table but visible to some?
“You can get in way more trouble with a good idea than a bad idea, because you forget that the good idea has limits.” - Ben Graham
rwitre
#565 Posted : Monday, July 16, 2018 9:56:39 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/8/2018
Posts: 507
Location: Nairobi
HaMaina wrote:
BKB wrote:
4.85 ...tick


I'm honestly not seeing what the hype is about. Is there something that's on the table but visible to some?


Flash crash is almost always followed by flash gains before things cool down for price discovery.
For speculators, it's a game of musical chairs.
winmak
#566 Posted : Monday, July 16, 2018 10:46:45 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/1/2007
Posts: 539
Location: Nakuru
rwitre wrote:
HaMaina wrote:
BKB wrote:
4.85 ...tick


I'm honestly not seeing what the hype is about. Is there something that's on the table but visible to some?


Flash crash is almost always followed by flash gains before things cool down for price discovery.
For speculators, it's a game of musical chairs.


Wouldn’t you consider this a flash recovery after the previous precipitous fall?
For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases ~ WB
obiero
#567 Posted : Tuesday, July 17, 2018 1:27:15 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,530
Location: nairobi
winmak wrote:
rwitre wrote:
HaMaina wrote:
BKB wrote:
4.85 ...tick


I'm honestly not seeing what the hype is about. Is there something that's on the table but visible to some?


Flash crash is almost always followed by flash gains before things cool down for price discovery.
For speculators, it's a game of musical chairs.


Wouldn’t you consider this a flash recovery after the previous precipitous fall?

KES 4.4 today's top looser.. Hapa unaweza poteza pesa mingi sana if your timing is off

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
winmak
#568 Posted : Tuesday, July 17, 2018 3:50:16 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/1/2007
Posts: 539
Location: Nakuru
obiero wrote:
winmak wrote:
rwitre wrote:
HaMaina wrote:
BKB wrote:
4.85 ...tick


I'm honestly not seeing what the hype is about. Is there something that's on the table but visible to some?


Flash crash is almost always followed by flash gains before things cool down for price discovery.
For speculators, it's a game of musical chairs.


Wouldn’t you consider this a flash recovery after the previous precipitous fall?

KES 4.4 today's top looser.. Hapa unaweza poteza pesa mingi sana if your timing is off


'we' are shaking off the 'non-believers'
For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases ~ WB
obiero
#569 Posted : Tuesday, July 17, 2018 6:15:41 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,530
Location: nairobi
winmak wrote:
obiero wrote:
winmak wrote:
rwitre wrote:
HaMaina wrote:
BKB wrote:
4.85 ...tick


I'm honestly not seeing what the hype is about. Is there something that's on the table but visible to some?


Flash crash is almost always followed by flash gains before things cool down for price discovery.
For speculators, it's a game of musical chairs.


Wouldn’t you consider this a flash recovery after the previous precipitous fall?

KES 4.4 today's top looser.. Hapa unaweza poteza pesa mingi sana if your timing is off


'we' are shaking off the 'non-believers'

I'm troubled that it fell that hard on the back of a volume of significant 1.3m shares. Let's watch it tomorrow

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
Ericsson
#570 Posted : Tuesday, July 17, 2018 7:14:28 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,701
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
winmak wrote:
rwitre wrote:
HaMaina wrote:
BKB wrote:
4.85 ...tick


I'm honestly not seeing what the hype is about. Is there something that's on the table but visible to some?


Flash crash is almost always followed by flash gains before things cool down for price discovery.
For speculators, it's a game of musical chairs.


Wouldn’t you consider this a flash recovery after the previous precipitous fall?

KES 4.4 today's top looser.. Hapa unaweza poteza pesa mingi sana if your timing is off


Ejaculators wako kazi
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
VituVingiSana
#571 Posted : Wednesday, July 18, 2018 12:30:24 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
winmak wrote:
obiero wrote:
winmak wrote:
rwitre wrote:
HaMaina wrote:
BKB wrote:
4.85 ...tick


I'm honestly not seeing what the hype is about. Is there something that's on the table but visible to some?


Flash crash is almost always followed by flash gains before things cool down for price discovery.
For speculators, it's a game of musical chairs.


Wouldn’t you consider this a flash recovery after the previous precipitous fall?

KES 4.4 today's top looser.. Hapa unaweza poteza pesa mingi sana if your timing is off


'we' are shaking off the 'non-believers'

I'm troubled that it fell that hard on the back of a volume of significant 1.3m shares. Let's watch it tomorrow

Thank you for your concern but don't cry for us @Obiero Laughing out loudly
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
littledove
#572 Posted : Wednesday, July 18, 2018 11:25:48 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 903
Location: sky
winmak wrote:
obiero wrote:
winmak wrote:
rwitre wrote:
HaMaina wrote:
BKB wrote:
4.85 ...tick


I'm honestly not seeing what the hype is about. Is there something that's on the table but visible to some?


Flash crash is almost always followed by flash gains before things cool down for price discovery.
For speculators, it's a game of musical chairs.


Wouldn’t you consider this a flash recovery after the previous precipitous fall?

KES 4.4 today's top looser.. Hapa unaweza poteza pesa mingi sana if your timing is off


'we' are shaking off the 'non-believers'

above 4 well defended, 6 is coming soon
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
VituVingiSana
#573 Posted : Wednesday, July 18, 2018 1:20:26 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
All these minor ups and downs are irrelevant for me from a long-term perspective.

The 1H 2018 results (and commentary) vs 2H 2017 vs 1H 2017 will light the way.
The commentary will be important especially the discussion about the CDC/IFC loans.
ARM has 3 months to release the results and can ask for an extension so as to provide a comprehensive update.

2018: The (private) construction market in Kenya is suffering and once the current crop of buildings/projects are completed, there will be a pause/slowdown. The public sector may see slower construction as GoK struggles to pay for what's under construction.

Unless GoK's interest rates reduce to sub-10% the banks have little incentive to lend long-term to the private sector. Plus there's plenty of competition from other cement firms which are also expanding capacity.

Investing in ARM is not for the short-term nor the jumpy. Then there are other firms, not in a turnaround situation, whose share prices have tumbled in 2018 which means investors have choices.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
sparkly
#574 Posted : Wednesday, July 18, 2018 10:06:08 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
All these minor ups and downs are irrelevant for me from a long-term perspective.

The 1H 2018 results (and commentary) vs 2H 2017 vs 1H 2017 will light the way.
The commentary will be important especially the discussion about the CDC/IFC loans.
ARM has 3 months to release the results and can ask for an extension so as to provide a comprehensive update.

2018: The (private) construction market in Kenya is suffering and once the current crop of buildings/projects are completed, there will be a pause/slowdown. The public sector may see slower construction as GoK struggles to pay for what's under construction.

Unless GoK's interest rates reduce to sub-10% the banks have little incentive to lend long-term to the private sector. Plus there's plenty of competition from other cement firms which are also expanding capacity.

Investing in ARM is not for the short-term nor the jumpy. Then there are other firms, not in a turnaround situation, whose share prices have tumbled in 2018 which means investors have choices.


Exercise caution. Fundamentals are poor for ARM and the nse is generally depressed. Take profits when you can.
Life is short. Live passionately.
VituVingiSana
#575 Posted : Thursday, July 19, 2018 7:51:38 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
sparkly wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
All these minor ups and downs are irrelevant for me from a long-term perspective.

The 1H 2018 results (and commentary) vs 2H 2017 vs 1H 2017 will light the way.
The commentary will be important especially the discussion about the CDC/IFC loans.
ARM has 3 months to release the results and can ask for an extension so as to provide a comprehensive update.

2018: The (private) construction market in Kenya is suffering and once the current crop of buildings/projects are completed, there will be a pause/slowdown. The public sector may see slower construction as GoK struggles to pay for what's under construction.

Unless GoK's interest rates reduce to sub-10% the banks have little incentive to lend long-term to the private sector. Plus there's plenty of competition from other cement firms which are also expanding capacity.

Investing in ARM is not for the short-term nor the jumpy. Then there are other firms, not in a turnaround situation, whose share prices have tumbled in 2018 which means investors have choices.


Exercise caution. Fundamentals are poor for ARM and the nse is generally depressed. Take profits when you can.
I will probably wait for the 1H 2018 results. Unlike my core holdings, I monitor ARM far more closely.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Spikes
#576 Posted : Thursday, July 19, 2018 7:52:29 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
sparkly wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
All these minor ups and downs are irrelevant for me from a long-term perspective.

The 1H 2018 results (and commentary) vs 2H 2017 vs 1H 2017 will light the way.
The commentary will be important especially the discussion about the CDC/IFC loans.
ARM has 3 months to release the results and can ask for an extension so as to provide a comprehensive update.

2018: The (private) construction market in Kenya is suffering and once the current crop of buildings/projects are completed, there will be a pause/slowdown. The public sector may see slower construction as GoK struggles to pay for what's under construction.

Unless GoK's interest rates reduce to sub-10% the banks have little incentive to lend long-term to the private sector. Plus there's plenty of competition from other cement firms which are also expanding capacity.

Investing in ARM is not for the short-term nor the jumpy. Then there are other firms, not in a turnaround situation, whose share prices have tumbled in 2018 which means investors have choices.


Exercise caution. Fundamentals are poor for ARM and the nse is generally depressed. Take profits when you can.


Considering declining NAV of about kes 20 per share the stock is currently trading too low the fundamentals...
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
sparkly
#577 Posted : Friday, July 20, 2018 11:31:53 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Spikes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
All these minor ups and downs are irrelevant for me from a long-term perspective.

The 1H 2018 results (and commentary) vs 2H 2017 vs 1H 2017 will light the way.
The commentary will be important especially the discussion about the CDC/IFC loans.
ARM has 3 months to release the results and can ask for an extension so as to provide a comprehensive update.

2018: The (private) construction market in Kenya is suffering and once the current crop of buildings/projects are completed, there will be a pause/slowdown. The public sector may see slower construction as GoK struggles to pay for what's under construction.

Unless GoK's interest rates reduce to sub-10% the banks have little incentive to lend long-term to the private sector. Plus there's plenty of competition from other cement firms which are also expanding capacity.

Investing in ARM is not for the short-term nor the jumpy. Then there are other firms, not in a turnaround situation, whose share prices have tumbled in 2018 which means investors have choices.


Exercise caution. Fundamentals are poor for ARM and the nse is generally depressed. Take profits when you can.


Considering declining NAV of about kes 20 per share the stock is currently trading too low the fundamentals...


Which fundamentals?
Life is short. Live passionately.
Spikes
#578 Posted : Friday, July 20, 2018 11:55:10 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
sparkly wrote:
Spikes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
All these minor ups and downs are irrelevant for me from a long-term perspective.

The 1H 2018 results (and commentary) vs 2H 2017 vs 1H 2017 will light the way.
The commentary will be important especially the discussion about the CDC/IFC loans.
ARM has 3 months to release the results and can ask for an extension so as to provide a comprehensive update.

2018: The (private) construction market in Kenya is suffering and once the current crop of buildings/projects are completed, there will be a pause/slowdown. The public sector may see slower construction as GoK struggles to pay for what's under construction.

Unless GoK's interest rates reduce to sub-10% the banks have little incentive to lend long-term to the private sector. Plus there's plenty of competition from other cement firms which are also expanding capacity.

Investing in ARM is not for the short-term nor the jumpy. Then there are other firms, not in a turnaround situation, whose share prices have tumbled in 2018 which means investors have choices.


Exercise caution. Fundamentals are poor for ARM and the nse is generally depressed. Take profits when you can.


Considering declining NAV of about kes 20 per share the stock is currently trading too low the fundamentals...


Which fundamentals?


NAV
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
obiero
#579 Posted : Friday, July 20, 2018 12:54:54 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,530
Location: nairobi
Spikes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Spikes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
All these minor ups and downs are irrelevant for me from a long-term perspective.

The 1H 2018 results (and commentary) vs 2H 2017 vs 1H 2017 will light the way.
The commentary will be important especially the discussion about the CDC/IFC loans.
ARM has 3 months to release the results and can ask for an extension so as to provide a comprehensive update.

2018: The (private) construction market in Kenya is suffering and once the current crop of buildings/projects are completed, there will be a pause/slowdown. The public sector may see slower construction as GoK struggles to pay for what's under construction.

Unless GoK's interest rates reduce to sub-10% the banks have little incentive to lend long-term to the private sector. Plus there's plenty of competition from other cement firms which are also expanding capacity.

Investing in ARM is not for the short-term nor the jumpy. Then there are other firms, not in a turnaround situation, whose share prices have tumbled in 2018 which means investors have choices.


Exercise caution. Fundamentals are poor for ARM and the nse is generally depressed. Take profits when you can.


Considering declining NAV of about kes 20 per share the stock is currently trading too low the fundamentals...


Which fundamentals?


NAV

NAV counts for nothing if the asset book has been fingered to be cooked, as stated by the company's own auditors

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
VituVingiSana
#580 Posted : Friday, July 20, 2018 1:13:52 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,118
Location: Nairobi
Do not cry for us, @Obiero
We will not forget you
All these years
You have told us
That NAV doesn't matter
The Open Offer does
That promises can carry us through
Even after all the cooking
And the fingering
And the losses
And negative equity
And concerns as a going concern
As long as there is an Open Offer
Which will make us rich
Beyond our wildest dreams
With Naikuni and Mbugua
Then Ngunze and Mbugua
Now Joseph and Mikosz

So do not cry for us, @Obiero

We have Pradeep who betrayed us
Then the CDC came in
Now we await a IFC the savior
To find us a White Knight
on a Pozzolana horse
Who will save us

Do not cry for us, @Obiero
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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